Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 84728 | NA | NA | 2940.19 | NA |
2 | 84412 | NA | NA | 186.087 | NA |
3 | 84092 | NA | NA | -213.367 | NA |
4 | 83430 | NA | NA | 399.559 | NA |
5 | 89981 | NA | NA | 4972.57 | NA |
6 | 89635 | NA | NA | 3897.83 | NA |
7 | 84728 | 83772.1 | 84203.3 | -431.209 | 955.876 |
8 | 81466 | 80218 | 84134.7 | -3916.7 | 1248.03 |
9 | 81781 | 83793.6 | 84066.2 | -272.598 | -2012.61 |
10 | 81781 | 76709.8 | 83943.7 | -7233.84 | 5071.18 |
11 | 82133 | 82363.3 | 83861.8 | -1498.55 | -230.281 |
12 | 82764 | 85100.4 | 83930.3 | 1170.03 | -2336.36 |
13 | 83746 | 87130.3 | 84190.1 | 2940.19 | -3384.31 |
14 | 83746 | 84703.4 | 84517.3 | 186.087 | -957.42 |
15 | 83115 | 84644.5 | 84857.9 | -213.367 | -1529.51 |
16 | 81466 | 85543.9 | 85144.4 | 399.559 | -4077.93 |
17 | 89981 | 90321.4 | 85348.8 | 4972.57 | -340.402 |
18 | 91279 | 89492 | 85594.2 | 3897.83 | 1787 |
19 | 89319 | 85395.1 | 85826.3 | -431.209 | 3923.88 |
20 | 84728 | 82060 | 85976.7 | -3916.7 | 2668.03 |
21 | 86692 | 85826.7 | 86099.2 | -272.598 | 865.348 |
22 | 83746 | 79001.2 | 86235 | -7233.84 | 4744.84 |
23 | 85075 | 84790.5 | 86289.1 | -1498.55 | 284.469 |
24 | 85710 | 87500 | 86330 | 1170.03 | -1790.03 |
25 | 86372 | 89352 | 86411.8 | 2940.19 | -2980.02 |
26 | 84728 | 86720.7 | 86534.6 | 186.087 | -1992.67 |
27 | 85075 | 86566.6 | 86780 | -213.367 | -1491.59 |
28 | 82764 | 87452.5 | 87052.9 | 399.559 | -4688.48 |
29 | 89981 | 92352.7 | 87380.1 | 4972.57 | -2371.65 |
30 | 92261 | 91673.6 | 87775.8 | 3897.83 | 587.376 |
31 | 90301 | 87713.9 | 88145.1 | -431.209 | 2587.13 |
32 | 86692 | 84529.2 | 88445.9 | -3916.7 | 2162.82 |
33 | 90617 | 88541.2 | 88813.8 | -272.598 | 2075.77 |
34 | 86372 | 82180.2 | 89414 | -7233.84 | 4191.84 |
35 | 90301 | 88543.4 | 90042 | -1498.55 | 1757.59 |
36 | 89981 | 91634.2 | 90464.2 | 1170.03 | -1653.2 |
37 | 90964 | 93540.3 | 90600.1 | 2940.19 | -2576.27 |
38 | 87355 | 90826.9 | 90640.8 | 186.087 | -3471.92 |
39 | 91279 | 90495.8 | 90709.2 | -213.367 | 783.2 |
40 | 90964 | 91136.3 | 90736.8 | 399.559 | -172.309 |
41 | 96852 | 95696 | 90723.4 | 4972.57 | 1156.02 |
42 | 95523 | 94634.4 | 90736.6 | 3897.83 | 888.584 |
43 | 90301 | 90372.8 | 90804 | -431.209 | -71.7905 |
44 | 87670 | 86996.9 | 90913.6 | -3916.7 | 673.071 |
45 | 91279 | 90682.2 | 90954.8 | -272.598 | 596.848 |
46 | 86372 | 83719.8 | 90953.6 | -7233.84 | 2652.22 |
47 | 89981 | 89413 | 90911.6 | -1498.55 | 567.969 |
48 | 90617 | 91877.2 | 90707.2 | 1170.03 | -1260.2 |
49 | 91946 | 93429.6 | 90489.4 | 2940.19 | -1483.61 |
50 | 89004 | 90444.6 | 90258.5 | 186.087 | -1440.59 |
51 | 90617 | 89760.3 | 89973.7 | -213.367 | 856.7 |
52 | 91599 | 89856.2 | 89456.6 | 399.559 | 1742.82 |
53 | 95208 | 93734 | 88761.5 | 4972.57 | 1473.97 |
54 | 92261 | 92127.6 | 88229.8 | 3897.83 | 133.376 |
55 | 88337 | 87430.4 | 87861.6 | -431.209 | 906.584 |
56 | 84092 | 83589.9 | 87506.6 | -3916.7 | 502.112 |
57 | 88021 | 86757.4 | 87030 | -272.598 | 1263.56 |
58 | 77221 | 79211.5 | 86445.4 | -7233.84 | -1990.53 |
59 | 82448 | 84265.9 | 85764.4 | -1498.55 | -1817.86 |
60 | 85390 | 86185.2 | 85015.2 | 1170.03 | -795.198 |
61 | 88337 | 87178.5 | 84238.3 | 2940.19 | 1158.48 |
62 | 84092 | 83660.7 | 83474.6 | 186.087 | 431.288 |
63 | 84092 | 82469.8 | 82683.2 | -213.367 | 1622.2 |
64 | 84092 | 82263.5 | 81864 | 399.559 | 1828.48 |
65 | 86372 | 86086 | 81113.5 | 4972.57 | 285.973 |
66 | 83115 | 84329.5 | 80431.6 | 3897.83 | -1214.46 |
67 | 78839 | 79251.2 | 79682.4 | -431.209 | -412.166 |
68 | 75261 | 74947.8 | 78864.5 | -3916.7 | 313.237 |
69 | 77857 | 77813.6 | 78086.2 | -272.598 | 43.4317 |
70 | 67724 | 70046.4 | 77280.3 | -7233.84 | -2322.45 |
71 | 73933 | 74977.2 | 76475.7 | -1498.55 | -1044.16 |
72 | 77541 | 76922.6 | 75752.5 | 1170.03 | 618.427 |
73 | 78204 | 77997.4 | 75057.2 | 2940.19 | 206.645 |
74 | 74595 | 74548.1 | 74362 | 186.087 | 46.8715 |
75 | 74910 | 73589.3 | 73802.6 | -213.367 | 1320.74 |
76 | 73933 | 73684.9 | 73285.4 | 399.559 | 248.066 |
77 | 77221 | 77727.5 | 72755 | 4972.57 | -506.527 |
78 | 74910 | 76189.6 | 72291.8 | 3897.83 | -1279.62 |
79 | 70355 | 71368.5 | 71799.8 | -431.209 | -1013.54 |
80 | 67062 | 67336.9 | 71253.6 | -3916.7 | -274.929 |
81 | 72630 | 70231.8 | 70504.4 | -272.598 | 2398.22 |
82 | 60537 | 62372.2 | 69606 | -7233.84 | -1835.2 |
83 | 68390 | 67248.8 | 68747.4 | -1498.55 | 1141.18 |
84 | 71968 | 69031.2 | 67861.1 | 1170.03 | 2936.84 |
85 | 71968 | 69806.7 | 66866.5 | 2940.19 | 2161.31 |
86 | 67724 | 65948.3 | 65762.2 | 186.087 | 1775.7 |
87 | 63799 | 64362.9 | 64576.3 | -213.367 | -563.925 |
88 | 63484 | 63803.3 | 63403.8 | 399.559 | -319.309 |
89 | 67062 | 67339.5 | 62366.9 | 4972.57 | -277.485 |
90 | 63799 | 65378.1 | 61480.2 | 3897.83 | -1579.08 |
91 | 57595 | 60299.6 | 60730.8 | -431.209 | -2704.58 |
92 | 53319 | 56159.8 | 60076.5 | -3916.7 | -2840.85 |
93 | 57911 | 59149.7 | 59422.3 | -272.598 | -1238.73 |
94 | 47115 | 51656.9 | 58890.7 | -7233.84 | -4541.86 |
95 | 56928 | 56914.6 | 58413.1 | -1498.55 | 13.4271 |
96 | 62150 | 59105.6 | 57935.5 | 1170.03 | 3044.43 |
97 | 63799 | 60342.6 | 57402.4 | 2940.19 | 3456.39 |
98 | 60191 | 56893.2 | 56707.1 | 186.087 | 3297.83 |
99 | 55631 | 55731.1 | 55944.5 | -213.367 | -100.133 |
100 | 58893 | 55566.9 | 55167.3 | 399.559 | 3326.15 |
101 | 60191 | 59416.9 | 54444.4 | 4972.57 | 774.057 |
102 | 59208 | 57565.4 | 53667.6 | 3897.83 | 1642.58 |
103 | 49391 | 52446.2 | 52877.5 | -431.209 | -3055.25 |
104 | 44835 | 48170.4 | 52087.1 | -3916.7 | -3335.39 |
105 | 48093 | 50968.7 | 51241.3 | -272.598 | -2875.69 |
106 | 38280 | 43133.9 | 50367.7 | -7233.84 | -4853.91 |
107 | 48413 | 47969.2 | 49467.8 | -1498.55 | 443.802 |
108 | 52022 | 49670.6 | 48500.5 | 1170.03 | 2351.43 |
109 | 54964 | 50406.5 | 47466.3 | 2940.19 | 4557.52 |
110 | 50057 | 46630 | 46443.9 | 186.087 | 3427.04 |
111 | 45466 | 45247.5 | 45460.9 | -213.367 | 218.45 |
112 | 48093 | 44864.4 | 44464.8 | 399.559 | 3228.65 |
113 | 49391 | 48468.8 | 43496.2 | 4972.57 | 922.182 |
114 | 46795 | 46644.6 | 42746.8 | 3897.83 | 150.376 |
115 | 36982 | NA | NA | -431.209 | NA |
116 | 32706 | NA | NA | -3916.7 | NA |
117 | 36631 | NA | NA | -272.598 | NA |
118 | 25835 | NA | NA | -7233.84 | NA |
119 | 37613 | NA | NA | -1498.55 | NA |
120 | 44835 | NA | NA | 1170.03 | NA |