Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 145756 | NA | NA | -320.522 | NA |
2 | 145472 | NA | NA | -3088.6 | NA |
3 | 145160 | NA | NA | -1528.21 | NA |
4 | 144588 | NA | NA | 4831.79 | NA |
5 | 150460 | NA | NA | 8898.96 | NA |
6 | 150172 | NA | NA | 8372.5 | NA |
7 | 145756 | 146966 | 145242 | 1724.24 | -1210.07 |
8 | 142820 | 143873 | 144996 | -1123 | -1053.16 |
9 | 143108 | 139863 | 144616 | -4753.6 | 3245.43 |
10 | 143108 | 137079 | 144273 | -7193.91 | 6028.91 |
11 | 143392 | 139074 | 143930 | -4855.74 | 4317.91 |
12 | 143992 | 142537 | 143501 | -963.91 | 1454.74 |
13 | 143992 | 142690 | 143011 | -320.522 | 1301.69 |
14 | 141340 | 139309 | 142397 | -3088.6 | 2031.43 |
15 | 140172 | 140132 | 141660 | -1528.21 | 40.2068 |
16 | 141340 | 145632 | 140800 | 4831.79 | -4292.13 |
17 | 145472 | 148804 | 139905 | 8898.96 | -3331.96 |
18 | 144872 | 147456 | 139083 | 8372.5 | -2583.83 |
19 | 139288 | 139998 | 138274 | 1724.24 | -709.738 |
20 | 134560 | 136377 | 137500 | -1123 | -1817.5 |
21 | 133676 | 131986 | 136740 | -4753.6 | 1690.1 |
22 | 131908 | 128785 | 135978 | -7193.91 | 3123.41 |
23 | 133104 | 130325 | 135181 | -4855.74 | 2779.08 |
24 | 134560 | 133333 | 134297 | -963.91 | 1226.58 |
25 | 133988 | 133044 | 133364 | -320.522 | 944.355 |
26 | 132792 | 129367 | 132456 | -3088.6 | 3424.76 |
27 | 130456 | 130008 | 131537 | -1528.21 | 447.54 |
28 | 132792 | 135339 | 130507 | 4831.79 | -2546.96 |
29 | 134872 | 138290 | 129391 | 8898.96 | -3418.13 |
30 | 134272 | 136599 | 128226 | 8372.5 | -2326.83 |
31 | 127492 | 128724 | 127000 | 1724.24 | -1231.9 |
32 | 124556 | 124588 | 125711 | -1123 | -32.3302 |
33 | 121620 | 119743 | 124496 | -4753.6 | 1877.1 |
34 | 119256 | 116260 | 123454 | -7193.91 | 2996.08 |
35 | 118972 | 117604 | 122460 | -4855.74 | 1367.74 |
36 | 120736 | 120342 | 121306 | -963.91 | 393.91 |
37 | 118372 | 119685 | 120006 | -320.522 | -1313.31 |
38 | 117488 | 115543 | 118632 | -3088.6 | 1944.6 |
39 | 116604 | 115595 | 117123 | -1528.21 | 1009.21 |
40 | 121620 | 120335 | 115503 | 4831.79 | 1284.71 |
41 | 122192 | 122843 | 113944 | 8898.96 | -651.293 |
42 | 119256 | 120818 | 112446 | 8372.5 | -1562.33 |
43 | 111304 | 112770 | 111046 | 1724.24 | -1466.24 |
44 | 107772 | 108598 | 109721 | -1123 | -825.997 |
45 | 102188 | 103642 | 108396 | -4753.6 | -1454.4 |
46 | 99820 | 99888.9 | 107083 | -7193.91 | -68.9228 |
47 | 100988 | 101037 | 105893 | -4855.74 | -49.4228 |
48 | 102756 | 103924 | 104888 | -963.91 | -1167.59 |
49 | 102756 | 103695 | 104016 | -320.522 | -939.478 |
50 | 101304 | 100166 | 103255 | -3088.6 | 1137.6 |
51 | 100988 | 100966 | 102494 | -1528.21 | 22.2068 |
52 | 105720 | 106479 | 101648 | 4831.79 | -759.293 |
53 | 109540 | 109713 | 100814 | 8898.96 | -173.127 |
54 | 107772 | 108476 | 100103 | 8372.5 | -703.664 |
55 | 101872 | 101165 | 99440.8 | 1724.24 | 706.929 |
56 | 98940 | 97556.8 | 98679.8 | -1123 | 1383.17 |
57 | 92756 | 93067.9 | 97821.5 | -4753.6 | -311.904 |
58 | 88936 | 89781.1 | 96975 | -7193.91 | -845.09 |
59 | 91872 | 91259.6 | 96115.3 | -4855.74 | 612.41 |
60 | 94808 | 94292.9 | 95256.8 | -963.91 | 515.077 |
61 | 94808 | 94102.8 | 94423.3 | -320.522 | 705.188 |
62 | 90988 | 90464.4 | 93553 | -3088.6 | 523.596 |
63 | 90704 | 91030.8 | 92559 | -1528.21 | -326.793 |
64 | 95688 | 96335.1 | 91503.3 | 4831.79 | -647.127 |
65 | 98940 | 99298 | 90399 | 8898.96 | -357.96 |
66 | 97768 | 97680.2 | 89307.7 | 8372.5 | 87.8364 |
67 | 91872 | 90039.1 | 88314.8 | 1724.24 | 1832.93 |
68 | 88052 | 86063.7 | 87186.7 | -1123 | 1988.34 |
69 | 79788 | 81280.1 | 86033.7 | -4753.6 | -1492.07 |
70 | 76568 | 77870.9 | 85064.8 | -7193.91 | -1302.92 |
71 | 77736 | 79288.9 | 84144.7 | -4855.74 | -1552.92 |
72 | 82752 | 82222.6 | 83186.5 | -963.91 | 529.41 |
73 | 83036 | 81797.5 | 82118 | -320.522 | 1238.52 |
74 | 75684 | 77801.7 | 80890.3 | -3088.6 | -2117.74 |
75 | 78336 | 78135.6 | 79663.8 | -1528.21 | 200.373 |
76 | 84804 | 83269.1 | 78437.3 | 4831.79 | 1534.87 |
77 | 87740 | 86071.8 | 77172.8 | 8898.96 | 1668.21 |
78 | 85972 | 84292.7 | 75920.2 | 8372.5 | 1679.34 |
79 | 78024 | 76306.2 | 74582 | 1724.24 | 1717.76 |
80 | 72436 | 72097.2 | 73220.2 | -1123 | 338.836 |
81 | 65968 | 67116.6 | 71870.2 | -4753.6 | -1148.57 |
82 | 60952 | 63301.3 | 70495.2 | -7193.91 | -2349.26 |
83 | 63004 | 64289.4 | 69145.2 | -4855.74 | -1285.42 |
84 | 67420 | 66844.4 | 67808.3 | -963.91 | 575.577 |
85 | 66252 | 66139 | 66459.5 | -320.522 | 113.022 |
86 | 59784 | 62107.6 | 65196.2 | -3088.6 | -2323.57 |
87 | 61836 | 62539 | 64067.2 | -1528.21 | -702.96 |
88 | 68304 | 67794.8 | 62963 | 4831.79 | 509.207 |
89 | 71840 | 70685.3 | 61786.3 | 8898.96 | 1154.71 |
90 | 69788 | 68933.5 | 60561 | 8372.5 | 854.503 |
91 | 61836 | 61132.4 | 59408.2 | 1724.24 | 703.596 |
92 | 58304 | 57253.5 | 58376.5 | -1123 | 1050.5 |
93 | 53004 | 52591.2 | 57344.8 | -4753.6 | 412.762 |
94 | 47416 | 49108.6 | 56302.5 | -7193.91 | -1692.59 |
95 | 48300 | 50368.6 | 55224.3 | -4855.74 | -2068.59 |
96 | 52716 | 53070.6 | 54034.5 | -963.91 | -354.59 |
97 | 53288 | 52364 | 52684.5 | -320.522 | 924.022 |
98 | 47988 | 48038.1 | 51126.7 | -3088.6 | -50.071 |
99 | 48872 | 47868.5 | 49396.7 | -1528.21 | 1003.54 |
100 | 56252 | 52338.3 | 47506.5 | 4831.79 | 3913.71 |
101 | 58016 | 54503.5 | 45604.5 | 8898.96 | 3512.54 |
102 | 55056 | 52086.8 | 43714.3 | 8372.5 | 2969.17 |
103 | 44168 | 43451.1 | 41726.8 | 1724.24 | 716.929 |
104 | 38584 | 38555.7 | 39678.7 | -1123 | 28.3364 |
105 | 31204 | 32962.2 | 37715.8 | -4753.6 | -1758.24 |
106 | 23852 | 28681.4 | 35875.3 | -7193.91 | -4829.42 |
107 | 26216 | 29276.6 | 34132.3 | -4855.74 | -3060.59 |
108 | 29436 | 31548.9 | 32512.8 | -963.91 | -2112.92 |
109 | 28868 | 30781.8 | 31102.3 | -320.522 | -1913.81 |
110 | 23252 | 26762.4 | 29851 | -3088.6 | -3510.4 |
111 | 26500 | 27133.1 | 28661.3 | -1528.21 | -633.127 |
112 | 34452 | 32388.8 | 27557 | 4831.79 | 2063.21 |
113 | 37984 | 35326.8 | 26427.8 | 8898.96 | 2657.21 |
114 | 36220 | 33574 | 25201.5 | 8372.5 | 2646 |
115 | 29152 | NA | NA | 1724.24 | NA |
116 | 23568 | NA | NA | -1123 | NA |
117 | 17668 | NA | NA | -4753.6 | NA |
118 | 10884 | NA | NA | -7193.91 | NA |
119 | 12084 | NA | NA | -4855.74 | NA |
120 | 14136 | NA | NA | -963.91 | NA |