| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||
| Iteration | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.5291 | -0.363 | -0.0751 |
| (p-val) | (0.2651 ) | (0.1442 ) | (0.8848 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.5949 | -0.3893 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0115 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 867.887373910806 |
| -2310.76055426217 |
| 33887.6444887768 |
| 539.212673668442 |
| -113.259367679531 |
| 23414.8578864401 |
| 13446.0831164117 |
| 259066.574123226 |
| -177888.951403365 |
| 5856.66678472352 |
| 70767.1540921033 |
| 10451.1892309667 |
| -77315.5472359485 |
| -2418.16064652718 |
| -49040.9588354121 |
| 35433.3186282645 |
| 89016.2017142809 |
| -203759.028606354 |
| 138207.511744351 |
| -196923.898982547 |
| 171820.046567019 |
| 137369.96882179 |
| 74651.4642686262 |
| 82999.1925511774 |
| 112247.954058301 |
| 55812.2299502235 |
| 16105.7301180323 |
| -24185.7677692501 |
| -19067.6885258149 |
| -105343.791589883 |
| -72847.2941706726 |
| -123822.180263341 |
| 55494.1031166157 |
| 34855.7889978605 |
| -6241.04390596573 |
| -27228.7319681154 |
| -4338.80585525193 |
| -46532.2031794662 |
| 66263.4129813794 |
| 47856.5161251718 |
| -182320.640182577 |
| 92648.4793757084 |
| -33576.539295977 |
| -119912.848295111 |
| 190001.306237099 |
| 29461.7334435329 |
| 6728.54203407036 |
| 12800.710369225 |
| 2664.86753728892 |
| 29709.7823695417 |
| -50031.6542215556 |
| -68503.3472991099 |
| -20615.9001682726 |
| -50976.3290766104 |
| -46165.5086305187 |
| -57358.8004246923 |
| 69559.3469957161 |
| -31628.6645888941 |
| -13602.2050428682 |
| -32546.8811052622 |
| -25768.7090451231 |
