Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9679 |
R-squared | 0.9369 |
RMSE | 0.0226 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 0.284654 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.0300506785714286 |
2 | 0.368674 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.0423582068965517 |
3 | 0.332634 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.00631820689655171 |
4 | 0.368975 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.0426592068965517 |
5 | 0.410335 | 0.440619571428571 | -0.0302845714285714 |
6 | 0.357775 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.0314592068965517 |
7 | 0.211756 | 0.2165405 | -0.0047845 |
8 | 0.163755 | 0.1681295 | -0.0043745 |
9 | 0.231571 | 0.226956375 | 0.00461462500000001 |
10 | 0.271362 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.0167586785714285 |
11 | 0.24974 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.00486332142857146 |
12 | 0.275931 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.0213276785714285 |
13 | 0.138512 | 0.1247856 | 0.0137264 |
14 | 0.199889 | 0.188353136363636 | 0.0115358636363636 |
15 | 0.1701 | 0.1681295 | 0.00197049999999999 |
16 | 0.234589 | 0.226956375 | 0.007632625 |
17 | 0.218164 | 0.226956375 | -0.00879237499999999 |
18 | 0.430788 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.104472206896552 |
19 | 0.377429 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.0511132068965517 |
20 | 0.322111 | 0.326315793103448 | -0.00420479310344829 |
21 | 0.365391 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.0390752068965518 |
22 | 0.259765 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.00516167857142857 |
23 | 0.285695 | 0.326315793103448 | -0.0406207931034483 |
24 | 0.253556 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.00104732142857145 |
25 | 0.215961 | 0.2165405 | -0.000579500000000011 |
26 | 0.219514 | 0.2165405 | 0.00297349999999999 |
27 | 0.147403 | 0.152658466666667 | -0.00525546666666665 |
28 | 0.162999 | 0.152658466666667 | 0.0103405333333333 |
29 | 0.108514 | 0.106387222222222 | 0.00212677777777778 |
30 | 0.135242 | 0.1247856 | 0.0104564 |
31 | 0.085569 | 0.0659325714285714 | 0.0196364285714286 |
32 | 0.068501 | 0.0659325714285714 | 0.00256842857142858 |
33 | 0.09632 | 0.106387222222222 | -0.0100672222222222 |
34 | 0.056141 | 0.0659325714285714 | -0.00979157142857142 |
35 | 0.044539 | 0.0659325714285714 | -0.0213935714285714 |
36 | 0.05761 | 0.0659325714285714 | -0.00832257142857142 |
37 | 0.165827 | 0.1681295 | -0.00230250000000001 |
38 | 0.173218 | 0.1681295 | 0.0050885 |
39 | 0.141929 | 0.1247856 | 0.0171434 |
40 | 0.160691 | 0.1681295 | -0.00743850000000001 |
41 | 0.130554 | 0.1247856 | 0.00576840000000001 |
42 | 0.11573 | 0.106387222222222 | 0.00934277777777778 |
43 | 0.095032 | 0.0950256363636364 | 6.36363636363768e-06 |
44 | 0.117399 | 0.1247856 | -0.00738659999999999 |
45 | 0.09147 | 0.0950256363636364 | -0.00355563636363637 |
46 | 0.102706 | 0.0950256363636364 | 0.00768036363636364 |
47 | 0.097336 | 0.0950256363636364 | 0.00231036363636364 |
48 | 0.086398 | 0.0950256363636364 | -0.00862763636363637 |
49 | 0.133867 | 0.1247856 | 0.00908140000000002 |
50 | 0.128872 | 0.1247856 | 0.00408639999999999 |
51 | 0.103561 | 0.1247856 | -0.0212246 |
52 | 0.105993 | 0.1247856 | -0.0187926 |
53 | 0.119308 | 0.106387222222222 | 0.0129207777777778 |
54 | 0.147491 | 0.1247856 | 0.0227054 |
55 | 0.3167 | 0.326315793103448 | -0.00961579310344829 |
56 | 0.344834 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.0185182068965517 |
57 | 0.335041 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.00872520689655171 |
58 | 0.314464 | 0.326315793103448 | -0.0118517931034482 |
59 | 0.326197 | 0.326315793103448 | -0.000118793103448256 |
60 | 0.316395 | 0.326315793103448 | -0.00992079310344829 |
61 | 0.101516 | 0.106387222222222 | -0.00487122222222222 |
62 | 0.098555 | 0.0950256363636364 | 0.00352936363636364 |
63 | 0.103224 | 0.106387222222222 | -0.00316322222222222 |
64 | 0.093534 | 0.0950256363636364 | -0.00149163636363636 |
65 | 0.073581 | 0.0659325714285714 | 0.00764842857142857 |
66 | 0.091546 | 0.0950256363636364 | -0.00347963636363637 |
67 | 0.226156 | 0.226956375 | -0.000800374999999992 |
68 | 0.226247 | 0.226956375 | -0.000709374999999984 |
69 | 0.18558 | 0.188353136363636 | -0.00277313636363638 |
70 | 0.141958 | 0.152658466666667 | -0.0107004666666667 |
71 | 0.180828 | 0.188353136363636 | -0.00752513636363639 |
72 | 0.242981 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.0116223214285714 |
73 | 0.18818 | 0.188353136363636 | -0.000173136363636389 |
74 | 0.225461 | 0.226956375 | -0.00149537499999999 |
75 | 0.244512 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.0100913214285714 |
76 | 0.228624 | 0.226956375 | 0.00166762500000001 |
77 | 0.193918 | 0.188353136363636 | 0.00556486363636363 |
78 | 0.232744 | 0.226956375 | 0.00578762500000002 |
79 | 0.260015 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.00541167857142855 |
80 | 0.277948 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.0233446785714285 |
81 | 0.327978 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.00166220689655172 |
82 | 0.260633 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.00602967857142855 |
83 | 0.264666 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.0100626785714286 |
84 | 0.177275 | 0.1681295 | 0.00914549999999997 |
85 | 0.242119 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.0124843214285714 |
86 | 0.200423 | 0.188353136363636 | 0.0120698636363636 |
87 | 0.144614 | 0.152658466666667 | -0.00804446666666667 |
88 | 0.220968 | 0.2165405 | 0.0044275 |
89 | 0.194052 | 0.188353136363636 | 0.00569886363636363 |
90 | 0.332086 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.00577020689655172 |
91 | 0.301952 | 0.326315793103448 | -0.0243637931034483 |
92 | 0.13412 | 0.152658466666667 | -0.0185384666666667 |
93 | 0.186489 | 0.188353136363636 | -0.00186413636363639 |
94 | 0.160809 | 0.1681295 | -0.00732050000000001 |
95 | 0.160812 | 0.152658466666667 | 0.00815353333333335 |
96 | 0.164916 | 0.152658466666667 | 0.0122575333333333 |
97 | 0.151709 | 0.152658466666667 | -0.000949466666666648 |
98 | 0.340623 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.0143072068965517 |
99 | 0.260375 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.00577167857142857 |
100 | 0.378483 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.0521672068965517 |
101 | 0.370961 | 0.440619571428571 | -0.0696585714285715 |
102 | 0.356881 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.0305652068965517 |
103 | 0.444774 | 0.440619571428571 | 0.00415442857142856 |
104 | 0.113942 | 0.1247856 | -0.0108436 |
105 | 0.093193 | 0.106387222222222 | -0.0131942222222222 |
106 | 0.112878 | 0.106387222222222 | 0.00649077777777779 |
107 | 0.106802 | 0.106387222222222 | 0.000414777777777778 |
108 | 0.105306 | 0.1247856 | -0.0194796 |
109 | 0.11513 | 0.1247856 | -0.0096556 |
110 | 0.185668 | 0.188353136363636 | -0.00268513636363638 |
111 | 0.23252 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.0220833214285714 |
112 | 0.13639 | 0.1247856 | 0.0116044 |
113 | 0.268144 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.0135406785714285 |
114 | 0.177807 | 0.188353136363636 | -0.0105461363636364 |
115 | 0.115515 | 0.1247856 | -0.00927059999999999 |
116 | 0.274407 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.0198036785714286 |
117 | 0.170106 | 0.1681295 | 0.00197649999999999 |
118 | 0.28278 | 0.326315793103448 | -0.0435357931034483 |
119 | 0.251972 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.00263132142857148 |
120 | 0.220657 | 0.2165405 | 0.0041165 |
121 | 0.152428 | 0.152658466666667 | -0.000230466666666651 |
122 | 0.234809 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.0197943214285715 |
123 | 0.229892 | 0.226956375 | 0.00293562500000003 |
124 | 0.215558 | 0.226956375 | -0.011398375 |
125 | 0.181988 | 0.188353136363636 | -0.00636513636363636 |
126 | 0.222716 | 0.2165405 | 0.0061755 |
127 | 0.214075 | 0.2165405 | -0.00246550000000001 |
128 | 0.196535 | 0.188353136363636 | 0.00818186363636361 |
129 | 0.112856 | 0.1247856 | -0.0119296 |
130 | 0.183572 | 0.188353136363636 | -0.00478113636363636 |
131 | 0.169923 | 0.1681295 | 0.00179349999999998 |
132 | 0.170633 | 0.1681295 | 0.00250349999999999 |
133 | 0.232209 | 0.226956375 | 0.00525262500000001 |
134 | 0.141422 | 0.1247856 | 0.0166364 |
135 | 0.24308 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.0115233214285715 |
136 | 0.228319 | 0.226956375 | 0.00136262500000001 |
137 | 0.259451 | 0.326315793103448 | -0.0668647931034483 |
138 | 0.274387 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.0197836785714285 |
139 | 0.209191 | 0.188353136363636 | 0.0208378636363636 |
140 | 0.184985 | 0.188353136363636 | -0.00336813636363636 |
141 | 0.277227 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.0226236785714286 |
142 | 0.231723 | 0.226956375 | 0.00476662500000002 |
143 | 0.209863 | 0.2165405 | -0.0066775 |
144 | 0.189032 | 0.188353136363636 | 0.00067886363636363 |
145 | 0.159777 | 0.1681295 | -0.00835250000000001 |
146 | 0.232861 | 0.226956375 | 0.00590462500000002 |
147 | 0.457533 | 0.440619571428571 | 0.0169134285714286 |
148 | 0.336085 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.00976920689655175 |
149 | 0.418646 | 0.440619571428571 | -0.0219735714285714 |
150 | 0.270173 | 0.254603321428571 | 0.0155696785714285 |
151 | 0.301487 | 0.326315793103448 | -0.0248287931034483 |
152 | 0.527367 | 0.440619571428571 | 0.0867474285714286 |
153 | 0.454721 | 0.440619571428571 | 0.0141014285714285 |
154 | 0.168581 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.0860223214285714 |
155 | 0.247455 | 0.326315793103448 | -0.0788607931034483 |
156 | 0.206256 | 0.326315793103448 | -0.120059793103448 |
157 | 0.220546 | 0.226956375 | -0.006410375 |
158 | 0.261305 | 0.326315793103448 | -0.0650107931034483 |
159 | 0.249703 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.00490032142857144 |
160 | 0.216638 | 0.226956375 | -0.010318375 |
161 | 0.244948 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.00965532142857145 |
162 | 0.238281 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.0163223214285715 |
163 | 0.22052 | 0.2165405 | 0.0039795 |
164 | 0.212386 | 0.2165405 | -0.00415450000000001 |
165 | 0.367233 | 0.326315793103448 | 0.0409172068965517 |
166 | 0.119652 | 0.1247856 | -0.0051336 |
167 | 0.091604 | 0.0950256363636364 | -0.00342163636363636 |
168 | 0.075587 | 0.0659325714285714 | 0.00965442857142858 |
169 | 0.202879 | 0.188353136363636 | 0.0145258636363636 |
170 | 0.100881 | 0.0950256363636364 | 0.00585536363636363 |
171 | 0.09622 | 0.0950256363636364 | 0.00119436363636363 |
172 | 0.160376 | 0.152658466666667 | 0.00771753333333333 |
173 | 0.174152 | 0.1681295 | 0.00602249999999999 |
174 | 0.179677 | 0.188353136363636 | -0.00867613636363637 |
175 | 0.163118 | 0.1681295 | -0.0050115 |
176 | 0.184067 | 0.188353136363636 | -0.00428613636363637 |
177 | 0.174429 | 0.1681295 | 0.00629949999999999 |
178 | 0.132703 | 0.1247856 | 0.00791739999999999 |
179 | 0.160306 | 0.152658466666667 | 0.00764753333333335 |
180 | 0.19273 | 0.188353136363636 | 0.00437686363636364 |
181 | 0.144105 | 0.152658466666667 | -0.00855346666666665 |
182 | 0.19771 | 0.188353136363636 | 0.00935686363636362 |
183 | 0.156368 | 0.152658466666667 | 0.00370953333333335 |
184 | 0.215724 | 0.2165405 | -0.000816499999999998 |
185 | 0.252404 | 0.254603321428571 | -0.00219932142857143 |
186 | 0.214346 | 0.2165405 | -0.00219449999999999 |
187 | 0.120605 | 0.1247856 | -0.00418059999999999 |
188 | 0.138868 | 0.152658466666667 | -0.0137904666666667 |
189 | 0.121777 | 0.1247856 | -0.0030086 |
190 | 0.112838 | 0.1247856 | -0.0119476 |
191 | 0.13305 | 0.1247856 | 0.00826440000000001 |
192 | 0.168895 | 0.152658466666667 | 0.0162365333333333 |
193 | 0.131728 | 0.1247856 | 0.00694240000000002 |
194 | 0.123306 | 0.1247856 | -0.0014796 |
195 | 0.148569 | 0.188353136363636 | -0.0397841363636364 |