Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
47	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	60	69	35.2147	102.7853	0.3008	0.5	0.5	0.5
50	56	69	21.2204	116.7796	0.2969	0.644	0.644	0.5
51	58	69	10.4822	127.5178	0.3563	0.6684	0.6684	0.5
52	50	69	1.4294	136.5706	0.2908	0.6252	0.6252	0.5
53	51	69	-6.5462	144.5462	0.3203	0.689	0.689	0.5
54	53	69	-13.7567	151.7567	0.3524	0.6651	0.6651	0.5
55	37	69	-20.3875	158.3875	0.2414	0.6371	0.6371	0.5
56	22	69	-26.5592	164.5592	0.1675	0.7442	0.7442	0.5
57	55	69	-32.3559	170.3559	0.3933	0.8183	0.8183	0.5
58	70	69	-37.8385	175.8385	0.4927	0.6013	0.6013	0.5
59	62	69	-43.0531	181.0531	0.4513	0.493	0.493	0.5
60	58	69	-48.0357	186.0357	0.4269	0.5467	0.5467	0.5
61	39	69	-52.8146	190.8146	0.3147	0.5702	0.5702	0.5
62	49	69	-57.413	195.413	0.3782	0.6791	0.6791	0.5
63	58	69	-61.8499	199.8499	0.4346	0.6178	0.6178	0.5
64	47	69	-66.1411	204.1411	0.3748	0.5634	0.5634	0.5
65	42	69	-70.3003	208.3003	0.352	0.6215	0.6215	0.5
66	62	69	-74.3388	212.3388	0.4619	0.644	0.644	0.5
67	39	69	-78.2667	216.2667	0.3448	0.5371	0.5371	0.5
68	40	69	-82.0924	220.0924	0.3534	0.6514	0.6514	0.5
69	72	69	-85.8236	223.8236	0.4849	0.6432	0.6432	0.5
70	70	69	-89.467	227.467	0.4951	0.4852	0.4852	0.5
71	54	69	-93.0285	231.0285	0.428	0.4952	0.4952	0.5
72	65	69	-96.5134	234.5134	0.4811	0.5705	0.5705	0.5

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
49	0.2498	-0.15	0.15	0.1395	81	0	0	-0.7753	0.7753
50	0.3533	-0.2321	0.1911	0.1738	169	125	11.1803	-1.1199	0.9476
51	0.4327	-0.1897	0.1906	0.1736	121	123.6667	11.1206	-0.9476	0.9476
52	0.4996	-0.38	0.2379	0.21	361	183	13.5277	-1.6367	1.1199
53	0.5586	-0.3529	0.2609	0.228	324	211.2	14.5327	-1.5506	1.206
54	0.6119	-0.3019	0.2678	0.2337	256	218.6667	14.7874	-1.3783	1.2347
55	0.661	-0.8649	0.3531	0.2866	1024	333.7143	18.2678	-2.7566	1.4521
56	0.7066	-2.1364	0.576	0.3799	2209	568.125	23.8354	-4.0487	1.7767
57	0.7495	-0.2545	0.5403	0.3628	196	526.7778	22.9516	-1.206	1.7133
58	0.79	0.0143	0.4877	0.3279	1	474.2	21.7761	0.0861	1.5506
59	0.8286	-0.1129	0.4536	0.3078	49	435.5455	20.8697	-0.603	1.4644
60	0.8654	-0.1897	0.4316	0.2966	121	409.3333	20.232	-0.9476	1.4213
61	0.9007	-0.7692	0.4576	0.3165	900	447.0769	21.1442	-2.5843	1.5108
62	0.9347	-0.4082	0.454	0.3181	400	443.7143	21.0645	-1.7228	1.5259
63	0.9675	-0.1897	0.4364	0.3085	121	422.2	20.5475	-0.9476	1.4874
64	0.9993	-0.4681	0.4384	0.3129	484	426.0625	20.6413	-1.8951	1.5129
65	1.03	-0.6429	0.4504	0.3231	729	443.8824	21.0685	-2.3258	1.5607
66	1.0599	-0.1129	0.4317	0.3111	49	421.9444	20.5413	-0.603	1.5075
67	1.0889	-0.7692	0.4494	0.324	900	447.1053	21.1449	-2.5843	1.5642
68	1.1172	-0.725	0.4632	0.3344	841	466.8	21.6056	-2.4981	1.6109
69	1.1448	0.0417	0.4431	0.3205	9	445	21.095	0.2584	1.5465
70	1.1717	0.0143	0.4237	0.3066	1	424.8182	20.6111	0.0861	1.4801
71	1.1981	-0.2778	0.4173	0.3038	225	416.1304	20.3993	-1.2921	1.4719
72	1.2238	-0.0615	0.4025	0.2937	16	399.4583	19.9865	-0.3446	1.4249