Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 1.2103 | NA | NA | 0.988253 | NA |
2 | 1.1938 | NA | NA | 0.984995 | NA |
3 | 1.202 | NA | NA | 1.00179 | NA |
4 | 1.2271 | NA | NA | 1.012 | NA |
5 | 1.277 | NA | NA | 0.998869 | NA |
6 | 1.265 | NA | NA | 0.994731 | NA |
7 | 1.2684 | 1.27547 | 1.25939 | 1.01276 | 0.994459 |
8 | 1.2811 | 1.2777 | 1.26786 | 1.00777 | 1.00266 |
9 | 1.2727 | 1.27812 | 1.27768 | 1.00034 | 0.995758 |
10 | 1.2611 | 1.29041 | 1.28796 | 1.0019 | 0.977285 |
11 | 1.2881 | 1.29536 | 1.29624 | 0.999326 | 0.994393 |
12 | 1.3213 | 1.29896 | 1.30253 | 0.997259 | 1.0172 |
13 | 1.2999 | 1.29464 | 1.31003 | 0.988253 | 1.00406 |
14 | 1.3074 | 1.29794 | 1.31771 | 0.984995 | 1.00729 |
15 | 1.3242 | 1.32834 | 1.32596 | 1.00179 | 0.996883 |
16 | 1.3516 | 1.35362 | 1.33757 | 1.012 | 0.99851 |
17 | 1.3511 | 1.35028 | 1.35181 | 0.998869 | 1.00061 |
18 | 1.3419 | 1.35779 | 1.36498 | 0.994731 | 0.988299 |
19 | 1.3716 | 1.39538 | 1.3778 | 1.01276 | 0.982956 |
20 | 1.3622 | 1.40274 | 1.39193 | 1.00777 | 0.971098 |
21 | 1.3896 | 1.40891 | 1.40843 | 1.00034 | 0.986293 |
22 | 1.4227 | 1.42998 | 1.42726 | 1.0019 | 0.994911 |
23 | 1.4684 | 1.44413 | 1.4451 | 0.999326 | 1.01681 |
24 | 1.457 | 1.45851 | 1.46252 | 0.997259 | 0.998966 |
25 | 1.4718 | 1.46258 | 1.47997 | 0.988253 | 1.0063 |
26 | 1.4748 | 1.47174 | 1.49416 | 0.984995 | 1.00208 |
27 | 1.5527 | 1.50446 | 1.50177 | 1.00179 | 1.03206 |
28 | 1.5751 | 1.51797 | 1.49997 | 1.012 | 1.03764 |
29 | 1.5557 | 1.48638 | 1.48807 | 0.998869 | 1.04663 |
30 | 1.5553 | 1.46749 | 1.47526 | 0.994731 | 1.05984 |
31 | 1.577 | 1.48312 | 1.46443 | 1.01276 | 1.0633 |
32 | 1.4975 | 1.46135 | 1.45009 | 1.00777 | 1.02474 |
33 | 1.4369 | 1.43208 | 1.43159 | 1.00034 | 1.00337 |
34 | 1.3322 | 1.41328 | 1.4106 | 1.0019 | 0.942631 |
35 | 1.2732 | 1.39104 | 1.39198 | 0.999326 | 0.915286 |
36 | 1.3449 | 1.37385 | 1.37763 | 0.997259 | 0.978926 |
37 | 1.3239 | 1.34819 | 1.36422 | 0.988253 | 0.981982 |
38 | 1.2785 | 1.33394 | 1.35426 | 0.984995 | 0.958438 |
39 | 1.305 | 1.35455 | 1.35212 | 1.00179 | 0.963423 |
40 | 1.319 | 1.37546 | 1.35915 | 1.012 | 0.958953 |
41 | 1.365 | 1.37291 | 1.37447 | 0.998869 | 0.994237 |
42 | 1.4016 | 1.3811 | 1.38841 | 0.994731 | 1.01485 |
43 | 1.4088 | 1.41541 | 1.39757 | 1.01276 | 0.995329 |
44 | 1.4268 | 1.41654 | 1.40563 | 1.00777 | 1.00724 |
45 | 1.4562 | 1.41203 | 1.41155 | 1.00034 | 1.03128 |
46 | 1.4816 | 1.4173 | 1.41461 | 1.0019 | 1.04537 |
47 | 1.4914 | 1.41004 | 1.41099 | 0.999326 | 1.0577 |
48 | 1.4614 | 1.3951 | 1.39894 | 0.997259 | 1.04752 |
49 | 1.4272 | 1.36964 | 1.38592 | 0.988253 | 1.04203 |
50 | 1.3686 | 1.35407 | 1.3747 | 0.984995 | 1.01073 |
51 | 1.3569 | 1.36519 | 1.36275 | 1.00179 | 0.993928 |
52 | 1.3406 | 1.36892 | 1.35269 | 1.012 | 0.97931 |
53 | 1.2565 | 1.34213 | 1.34365 | 0.998869 | 0.936202 |
54 | 1.2209 | 1.3256 | 1.33262 | 0.994731 | 0.92102 |
55 | 1.277 | 1.3399 | 1.32301 | 1.01276 | 0.953059 |
56 | 1.2894 | 1.3293 | 1.31905 | 1.00777 | 0.969987 |
57 | 1.3067 | 1.32115 | 1.32069 | 1.00034 | 0.989066 |
58 | 1.3898 | 1.32932 | 1.3268 | 1.0019 | 1.04549 |
59 | 1.3661 | 1.33765 | 1.33855 | 0.999326 | 1.02127 |
60 | 1.322 | 1.35135 | 1.35506 | 0.997259 | 0.978282 |
61 | 1.336 | 1.35427 | 1.37037 | 0.988253 | 0.98651 |
62 | 1.3649 | 1.36188 | 1.38263 | 0.984995 | 1.00222 |
63 | 1.3999 | 1.39409 | 1.3916 | 1.00179 | 1.00417 |
64 | 1.4442 | 1.41045 | 1.39372 | 1.012 | 1.02393 |
65 | 1.4349 | 1.39091 | 1.39249 | 0.998869 | 1.03163 |
66 | 1.4388 | 1.38455 | 1.39188 | 0.994731 | 1.03919 |
67 | 1.4264 | 1.40755 | 1.38981 | 1.01276 | 1.01339 |
68 | 1.4343 | 1.39691 | 1.38615 | 1.00777 | 1.02677 |
69 | 1.377 | 1.38152 | 1.38105 | 1.00034 | 0.996725 |
70 | 1.3706 | 1.375 | 1.37239 | 1.0019 | 0.996799 |
71 | 1.3556 | 1.35964 | 1.36056 | 0.999326 | 0.997028 |
72 | 1.3179 | 1.34261 | 1.3463 | 0.997259 | 0.981596 |
73 | 1.2905 | 1.31468 | 1.33031 | 0.988253 | 0.981607 |
74 | 1.3224 | 1.29426 | 1.31398 | 0.984995 | 1.02174 |
75 | 1.3201 | 1.30441 | 1.30207 | 1.00179 | 1.01203 |
76 | 1.3162 | 1.31076 | 1.29522 | 1.012 | 1.00415 |
77 | 1.2789 | 1.28767 | 1.28913 | 0.998869 | 0.993186 |
78 | 1.2526 | 1.27907 | 1.28585 | 0.994731 | 0.979302 |
79 | 1.2288 | NA | NA | 1.01276 | NA |
80 | 1.24 | NA | NA | 1.00777 | NA |
81 | 1.2856 | NA | NA | 1.00034 | NA |
82 | 1.2974 | NA | NA | 1.0019 | NA |
83 | 1.2828 | NA | NA | 0.999326 | NA |
84 | 1.3119 | NA | NA | 0.997259 | NA |