Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 4309 | NA | NA | 97.8362 | NA |
2 | 4303 | NA | NA | 100.447 | NA |
3 | 4177 | NA | NA | 25.4821 | NA |
4 | 4117 | NA | NA | -49.9554 | NA |
5 | 4065 | NA | NA | -107.907 | NA |
6 | 3983 | NA | NA | -103.698 | NA |
7 | 4091 | 4132.68 | 4032.04 | 100.635 | -41.6765 |
8 | 4067 | 4079.48 | 3992.12 | 87.3571 | -12.4821 |
9 | 4024 | 3921.18 | 3949.87 | -28.6916 | 102.817 |
10 | 3868 | 3858.56 | 3905.71 | -47.1499 | 9.44155 |
11 | 3800 | 3827.61 | 3858.5 | -30.8929 | -27.6071 |
12 | 3804 | 3767.25 | 3810.71 | -43.4624 | 36.7541 |
13 | 3862 | 3867.38 | 3769.54 | 97.8362 | -5.37789 |
14 | 3792 | 3836.16 | 3735.71 | 100.447 | -44.1557 |
15 | 3674 | 3721.36 | 3695.88 | 25.4821 | -47.3571 |
16 | 3560 | 3604.25 | 3654.21 | -49.9554 | -44.2529 |
17 | 3489 | 3511.34 | 3619.25 | -107.907 | -22.3432 |
18 | 3412 | 3487.59 | 3591.29 | -103.698 | -75.5932 |
19 | 3674 | 3668.8 | 3568.17 | 100.635 | 5.1985 |
20 | 3672 | 3633.36 | 3546 | 87.3571 | 38.6429 |
21 | 3463 | 3497.02 | 3525.71 | -28.6916 | -34.0168 |
22 | 3429 | 3459.93 | 3507.08 | -47.1499 | -30.9334 |
23 | 3400 | 3456.02 | 3486.92 | -30.8929 | -56.0237 |
24 | 3533 | 3424.58 | 3468.04 | -43.4624 | 108.421 |
25 | 3578 | 3549.59 | 3451.75 | 97.8362 | 28.4138 |
26 | 3544 | 3531.32 | 3430.88 | 100.447 | 12.6777 |
27 | 3435 | 3436.9 | 3411.42 | 25.4821 | -1.89873 |
28 | 3352 | 3348.38 | 3398.33 | -49.9554 | 3.62211 |
29 | 3213 | 3281.97 | 3389.87 | -107.907 | -68.9682 |
30 | 3235 | 3282.76 | 3386.46 | -103.698 | -47.7598 |
31 | 3460 | 3490.3 | 3389.67 | 100.635 | -30.3015 |
32 | 3385 | 3487.86 | 3400.5 | 87.3571 | -102.857 |
33 | 3283 | 3389.56 | 3418.25 | -28.6916 | -106.558 |
34 | 3295 | 3392.27 | 3439.42 | -47.1499 | -97.2668 |
35 | 3331 | 3434.36 | 3465.25 | -30.8929 | -103.357 |
36 | 3520 | 3455.45 | 3498.92 | -43.4624 | 64.5457 |
37 | 3668 | 3630.63 | 3532.79 | 97.8362 | 37.3721 |
38 | 3714 | 3666.49 | 3566.04 | 100.447 | 47.511 |
39 | 3691 | 3625.07 | 3599.58 | 25.4821 | 65.9346 |
40 | 3604 | 3582.5 | 3632.46 | -49.9554 | 21.4971 |
41 | 3581 | 3561.55 | 3669.46 | -107.907 | 19.4485 |
42 | 3675 | 3607.93 | 3711.62 | -103.698 | 67.0735 |
43 | 3833 | 3854.63 | 3754 | 100.635 | -21.6348 |
44 | 3810 | 3879.23 | 3791.88 | 87.3571 | -69.2321 |
45 | 3663 | 3796.06 | 3824.75 | -28.6916 | -133.058 |
46 | 3704 | 3806.27 | 3853.42 | -47.1499 | -102.267 |
47 | 3810 | 3846.02 | 3876.92 | -30.8929 | -36.0237 |
48 | 4053 | 3849.12 | 3892.58 | -43.4624 | 203.879 |
49 | 4152 | 4003 | 3905.17 | 97.8362 | 148.997 |
50 | 4139 | 4018.53 | 3918.08 | 100.447 | 120.469 |
51 | 4055 | 3952.11 | 3926.62 | 25.4821 | 102.893 |
52 | 3928 | 3880.34 | 3930.29 | -49.9554 | 47.6638 |
53 | 3821 | 3818.8 | 3926.71 | -107.907 | 2.1985 |
54 | 3811 | 3808.51 | 3912.21 | -103.698 | 2.49016 |
55 | 3999 | 3992.43 | 3891.79 | 100.635 | 6.5735 |
56 | 3954 | 3958.07 | 3870.71 | 87.3571 | -4.06539 |
57 | 3724 | 3819.02 | 3847.71 | -28.6916 | -95.0168 |
58 | 3731 | 3776.31 | 3823.46 | -47.1499 | -45.3084 |
59 | 3697 | 3770.15 | 3801.04 | -30.8929 | -73.1487 |
60 | 3818 | 3733.83 | 3777.29 | -43.4624 | 84.1707 |
61 | 3897 | 3849.79 | 3751.96 | 97.8362 | 47.2054 |
62 | 3888 | 3828.61 | 3728.17 | 100.447 | 59.386 |
63 | 3754 | 3736.94 | 3711.46 | 25.4821 | 17.0596 |
64 | 3647 | 3646.96 | 3696.92 | -49.9554 | 0.0387731 |
65 | 3564 | 3570.8 | 3678.71 | -107.907 | -6.8015 |
66 | 3498 | 3515.88 | 3619.58 | -103.698 | -17.8848 |
67 | 3704 | 3629.51 | 3528.88 | 100.635 | 74.4902 |
68 | 3678 | 3535.36 | 3448 | 87.3571 | 142.643 |
69 | 3599 | 3340.52 | 3369.21 | -28.6916 | 258.483 |
70 | 3507 | 3248.02 | 3295.17 | -47.1499 | 258.983 |
71 | 3484 | 3195.19 | 3226.08 | -30.8929 | 288.81 |
72 | 2612 | 3117.12 | 3160.58 | -43.4624 | -505.121 |
73 | 2926 | 3189.96 | 3092.12 | 97.8362 | -263.961 |
74 | 2918 | 3121.24 | 3020.79 | 100.447 | -203.239 |
75 | 2833 | 2976.98 | 2951.5 | 25.4821 | -143.982 |
76 | 2791 | 2826.92 | 2876.88 | -49.9554 | -35.9196 |
77 | 2762 | 2692.88 | 2800.79 | -107.907 | 69.1152 |
78 | 2728 | 2663.68 | 2767.38 | -103.698 | 64.3235 |
79 | 2831 | NA | NA | 100.635 | NA |
80 | 2839 | NA | NA | 87.3571 | NA |
81 | 2775 | NA | NA | -28.6916 | NA |
82 | 2540 | NA | NA | -47.1499 | NA |
83 | 2625 | NA | NA | -30.8929 | NA |
84 | 2669 | NA | NA | -43.4624 | NA |