Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 126.81 | NA | NA | 1.00438 | NA |
2 | 125.8 | NA | NA | 1.0063 | NA |
3 | 123.07 | NA | NA | 1.00153 | NA |
4 | 119.52 | NA | NA | 0.997335 | NA |
5 | 118.03 | NA | NA | 0.997175 | NA |
6 | 117.27 | NA | NA | 0.996738 | NA |
7 | 117.27 | 117.852 | 117.647 | 1.00174 | 0.995064 |
8 | 116.69 | 116.366 | 116.401 | 0.999705 | 1.00278 |
9 | 115.38 | 115.319 | 115.21 | 1.00095 | 1.00053 |
10 | 114.31 | 114.008 | 114.119 | 0.999029 | 1.00265 |
11 | 113.33 | 112.767 | 113.045 | 0.997545 | 1.00499 |
12 | 111.79 | 111.672 | 111.943 | 0.99758 | 1.00106 |
13 | 111.79 | 111.334 | 110.849 | 1.00438 | 1.00409 |
14 | 110.92 | 110.42 | 109.729 | 1.0063 | 1.00453 |
15 | 109.37 | 108.77 | 108.605 | 1.00153 | 1.00551 |
16 | 107.04 | 107.212 | 107.498 | 0.997335 | 0.998398 |
17 | 104.72 | 106.091 | 106.392 | 0.997175 | 0.987076 |
18 | 104.14 | 104.979 | 105.323 | 0.996738 | 0.992005 |
19 | 104.14 | 104.472 | 104.29 | 1.00174 | 0.996821 |
20 | 102.95 | 103.261 | 103.292 | 0.999705 | 0.996986 |
21 | 102.13 | 102.421 | 102.324 | 1.00095 | 0.997162 |
22 | 101.01 | 101.291 | 101.389 | 0.999029 | 0.997228 |
23 | 100.07 | 100.32 | 100.567 | 0.997545 | 0.997506 |
24 | 99.4 | 99.5735 | 99.815 | 0.99758 | 0.998258 |
25 | 99.4 | 99.4904 | 99.0567 | 1.00438 | 0.999091 |
26 | 99.34 | 98.9468 | 98.3275 | 1.0063 | 1.00397 |
27 | 97.72 | 97.7878 | 97.6388 | 1.00153 | 0.999307 |
28 | 96.26 | 96.7136 | 96.9721 | 0.997335 | 0.99531 |
29 | 95.77 | 96.003 | 96.275 | 0.997175 | 0.997573 |
30 | 95.04 | 95.2151 | 95.5267 | 0.996738 | 0.998161 |
31 | 95.04 | 94.9335 | 94.7683 | 1.00174 | 1.00112 |
32 | 94.55 | 93.9614 | 93.9892 | 0.999705 | 1.00626 |
33 | 94 | 93.3171 | 93.2287 | 1.00095 | 1.00732 |
34 | 93.14 | 92.4785 | 92.5683 | 0.999029 | 1.00715 |
35 | 91.21 | 91.7592 | 91.985 | 0.997545 | 0.994015 |
36 | 90.3 | 91.2196 | 91.4408 | 0.99758 | 0.989919 |
37 | 90.3 | 91.3173 | 90.9192 | 1.00438 | 0.98886 |
38 | 89.74 | 90.9643 | 90.395 | 1.0063 | 0.986541 |
39 | 89.07 | 90.0151 | 89.8779 | 1.00153 | 0.989501 |
40 | 89.06 | 89.163 | 89.4012 | 0.997335 | 0.998845 |
41 | 88.97 | 88.7885 | 89.04 | 0.997175 | 1.00204 |
42 | 88.78 | 88.5162 | 88.8058 | 0.996738 | 1.00298 |
43 | 88.78 | 88.7686 | 88.6142 | 1.00174 | 1.00013 |
44 | 88.23 | 88.3814 | 88.4075 | 0.999705 | 0.998287 |
45 | 87.91 | 88.2418 | 88.1583 | 1.00095 | 0.996239 |
46 | 87.79 | 87.736 | 87.8212 | 0.999029 | 1.00062 |
47 | 87.89 | 87.217 | 87.4317 | 0.997545 | 1.00772 |
48 | 88 | 86.8194 | 87.03 | 0.99758 | 1.0136 |
49 | 88 | 86.9876 | 86.6083 | 1.00438 | 1.01164 |
50 | 87.08 | 86.6704 | 86.1279 | 1.0063 | 1.00473 |
51 | 85.75 | 85.7231 | 85.5925 | 1.00153 | 1.00031 |
52 | 84.29 | 84.7984 | 85.025 | 0.997335 | 0.994005 |
53 | 84.39 | 84.1491 | 84.3875 | 0.997175 | 1.00286 |
54 | 83.72 | 83.4029 | 83.6758 | 0.996738 | 1.0038 |
55 | 83.72 | 83.0687 | 82.9242 | 1.00174 | 1.00784 |
56 | 81.76 | 82.157 | 82.1812 | 0.999705 | 0.995168 |
57 | 81.53 | 81.5438 | 81.4667 | 1.00095 | 0.99983 |
58 | 80.55 | 80.7266 | 80.805 | 0.999029 | 0.997813 |
59 | 79.83 | 79.9603 | 80.1571 | 0.997545 | 0.998371 |
60 | 78.98 | 79.2661 | 79.4583 | 0.99758 | 0.996391 |
61 | 78.98 | 79.0731 | 78.7283 | 1.00438 | 0.998823 |
62 | 78.27 | 78.5508 | 78.0592 | 1.0063 | 0.996425 |
63 | 77.41 | 77.5611 | 77.4429 | 1.00153 | 0.998052 |
64 | 76.75 | 76.6206 | 76.8254 | 0.997335 | 1.00169 |
65 | 76.38 | 76.0188 | 76.2342 | 0.997175 | 1.00475 |
66 | 74.96 | 75.4485 | 75.6954 | 0.996738 | 0.993525 |
67 | 74.96 | 75.3206 | 75.1896 | 1.00174 | 0.995212 |
68 | 74.46 | 74.7063 | 74.7283 | 0.999705 | 0.996703 |
69 | 74.04 | 74.4037 | 74.3333 | 1.00095 | 0.995111 |
70 | 73.22 | 73.9049 | 73.9767 | 0.999029 | 0.990733 |
71 | 72.97 | 73.4409 | 73.6217 | 0.997545 | 0.993588 |
72 | 72.91 | 73.1318 | 73.3092 | 0.99758 | 0.996967 |
73 | 72.91 | 73.3736 | 73.0538 | 1.00438 | 0.993681 |
74 | 73.27 | 73.2702 | 72.8117 | 1.0063 | 0.999997 |
75 | 72.93 | 72.6753 | 72.5646 | 1.00153 | 1.0035 |
76 | 72.67 | 72.0973 | 72.29 | 0.997335 | 1.00794 |
77 | 71.94 | 71.8049 | 72.0083 | 0.997175 | 1.00188 |
78 | 71.9 | 71.4915 | 71.7254 | 0.996738 | 1.00571 |
79 | 71.89 | NA | NA | 1.00174 | NA |
80 | 71.72 | NA | NA | 0.999705 | NA |
81 | 70.85 | NA | NA | 1.00095 | NA |
82 | 69.82 | NA | NA | 0.999029 | NA |
83 | 69.61 | NA | NA | 0.997545 | NA |
84 | 69.48 | NA | NA | 0.99758 | NA |