Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
61390-104.106104.1060.23140.13740.12930.1374
62490-104.106104.1060.17810.23140.14590.1374
63580-104.106104.1060.13740.17810.13740.1374
64470-104.106104.1060.18810.13740.17330.1374
65420-104.106104.1060.21450.18810.16850.1374
66620-104.106104.1060.12160.21450.15920.1374
67390-104.106104.1060.23140.12160.2430.1374
68400-104.106104.1060.22570.23140.33940.1374
69720-104.106104.1060.08760.22570.15020.1374
70700-104.106104.1060.09380.08760.09380.1374
71540-104.106104.1060.15470.09380.12160.1374
72650-104.106104.1060.11050.15470.13740.1374


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPEsMAPESq.EMSERMSEScaledEMASE
61Inf1121521003.06433.0643
62Inf1122401196144.28323.853.4571
63Inf11233642428.666749.28154.55713.8238
64Inf11222092373.7548.72113.69293.7911
65Inf11217642251.847.45313.33.6929
66Inf11238442517.166750.17144.87143.8893
67Inf11215212374.857148.73253.06433.7714
68Inf1121600227847.72843.14293.6929
69Inf11251842600.888950.99895.65713.9111
70Inf11249002830.853.20535.54.07
71Inf11229162838.545553.2784.24294.0857
72Inf11242252954.083354.35155.10714.1708