Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[106])
105	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	12	9.1255	2.1249	16.1261	0.2105	0.4033	0.4033	0.4033
108	13	8.9672	1.3272	16.6073	0.1504	0.2183	0.2183	0.3955
109	11	9.0812	0.6797	17.4827	0.3272	0.1803	0.1803	0.4151
110	11	9.2304	0.3528	18.1081	0.348	0.348	0.348	0.4325
111	14	9.1487	-0.5438	18.8413	0.1633	0.3541	0.3541	0.4317
112	10	9.1342	-1.1336	19.4019	0.4344	0.1765	0.1765	0.4344
113	9	9.1336	-1.7255	19.9927	0.4904	0.4379	0.4379	0.4379
114	12	9.1538	-2.2185	20.5262	0.3119	0.5106	0.5106	0.442
115	8	9.1455	-2.7616	21.0525	0.4252	0.3192	0.3192	0.4441
116	13	9.1451	-3.253	21.5432	0.2711	0.5718	0.5718	0.4462
117	14	9.1434	-3.7361	22.023	0.2299	0.2786	0.2786	0.4481
118	15	9.1461	-4.1897	22.482	0.1948	0.2378	0.2378	0.4501
119	14	9.1451	-4.6377	22.9279	0.245	0.2025	0.2025	0.4516
120	14	9.1453	-5.0674	23.3581	0.2516	0.2516	0.2516	0.4531
121	15	9.1449	-5.4868	23.7766	0.2164	0.2577	0.2577	0.4544
122	14	9.1453	-5.8924	24.1831	0.2634	0.2227	0.2227	0.4556
123	21	9.1452	-6.2888	24.5791	0.0661	0.2688	0.2688	0.4568
124	10	9.1452	-6.6745	24.965	0.4578	0.0709	0.0709	0.4578
125	8	9.1452	-7.0515	25.3418	0.4449	0.4588	0.4588	0.4588
126	12	9.1452	-7.4196	25.71	0.3678	0.5539	0.5539	0.4597
127	13	9.1452	-7.7799	26.0703	0.3277	0.3705	0.3705	0.4606
128	6	9.1452	-8.1326	26.423	0.3606	0.331	0.331	0.4614
129	12	9.1452	-8.4783	26.7686	0.3754	0.6368	0.6368	0.4621
130	12	9.1452	-8.8173	27.1076	0.3777	0.3777	0.3777	0.4628

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
107	0.3914	0.2395	0.2395	0.2721	8.2626	0	0	1.0017	1.0017
108	0.4347	0.3102	0.2749	0.3196	16.2631	12.2629	3.5018	1.4054	1.2035
109	0.472	0.1744	0.2414	0.2768	3.6818	9.4025	3.0664	0.6687	1.0252
110	0.4907	0.1609	0.2213	0.2513	3.1314	7.8347	2.7991	0.6167	0.9231
111	0.5405	0.3465	0.2463	0.2849	23.5349	10.9748	3.3128	1.6906	1.0766
112	0.5735	0.0866	0.2197	0.2525	0.7497	9.2706	3.0448	0.3017	0.9475
113	0.6066	-0.0148	0.1904	0.2185	0.0179	7.9488	2.8194	-0.0466	0.8188
114	0.6339	0.2372	0.1963	0.2249	8.1008	7.9678	2.8227	0.9919	0.8404
115	0.6643	-0.1432	0.1904	0.2147	1.3121	7.2283	2.6885	-0.3992	0.7914
116	0.6917	0.2965	0.201	0.2281	14.8601	7.9914	2.8269	1.3434	0.8466
117	0.7187	0.3469	0.2143	0.2455	23.5861	9.4091	3.0674	1.6924	0.9235
118	0.7439	0.3903	0.2289	0.2654	34.2678	11.4807	3.3883	2.04	1.0165
119	0.7689	0.3468	0.238	0.2773	23.5699	12.4106	3.5229	1.6919	1.0685
120	0.7929	0.3468	0.2458	0.2874	23.5678	13.2076	3.6342	1.6918	1.113
121	0.8163	0.3903	0.2554	0.3006	34.2817	14.6125	3.8226	2.0404	1.1748
122	0.8389	0.3468	0.2611	0.308	23.568	15.1722	3.8952	1.6918	1.2071
123	0.8611	0.5645	0.279	0.3362	140.5373	22.5466	4.7483	4.1312	1.3791
124	0.8826	0.0855	0.2682	0.3225	0.7306	21.3346	4.6189	0.2979	1.3191
125	0.9036	-0.1431	0.2616	0.3125	1.3114	20.2808	4.5034	-0.3991	1.2706
126	0.9241	0.2379	0.2604	0.3104	8.1498	19.6742	4.4356	0.9949	1.2568
127	0.9442	0.2965	0.2622	0.3122	14.8596	19.445	4.4096	1.3433	1.261
128	0.9639	-0.5242	0.2741	0.3169	9.8923	19.0108	4.3601	-1.0961	1.2535
129	0.9832	0.2379	0.2725	0.3149	8.15	18.5386	4.3056	0.9949	1.2422
130	1.0021	0.2379	0.2711	0.313	8.1499	18.1057	4.2551	0.9949	1.2319