Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
61396037.385682.61440.03440.56880.50.5688
62495633.385678.61440.2720.92970.50.4312
63585835.385680.61440.50.78230.50.5
64475027.385672.61440.39740.2440.50.244
65425128.385673.61440.21770.63560.50.272
66625330.385675.61440.21770.82980.50.3324
67393714.385659.61440.43120.01510.50.0344
684022-0.614444.61440.05940.07030.59e-04
69725532.385677.61440.07030.90320.50.3974
70707047.385692.61440.50.43120.50.8508
71546239.385684.61440.2440.2440.50.6356
72655835.385680.61440.2720.63560.50.5


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPEsMAPESq.EMSERMSEScaledEMASE
610.1923-0.53850.53850.424244100-1.651.65
620.206-0.14290.34070.27884924515.6525-0.551.1
630.198900.22710.18590163.333312.780200.7333
640.2308-0.06380.18630.15499124.7511.1692-0.23570.6089
650.2262-0.21430.19190.16268111610.7703-0.70710.6286
660.21770.14520.18410.161681110.166710.4960.70710.6417
670.31180.05130.16510.1464959.74680.15710.5724
680.52450.450.20070.2003324123.62511.11871.41430.6777
690.20980.23610.20470.207828914211.91641.33570.7508
700.164800.18420.1870127.811.304900.6757
710.1861-0.14810.18090.18266412211.0454-0.62860.6714
720.19890.10770.17480.176949115.916710.76650.550.6613