| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2546 | -0.6236 | -0.3583 | 0.0553 |
| (p-val) | (0.0479 ) | (0.3026 ) | (0.2078 ) | (0.9324 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.2532 | -0.5739 | -0.3375 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0476 ) | (0 ) | (0.0331 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 867.887523349344 |
| -2281.19235728193 |
| 33995.4062612879 |
| 9358.87058578244 |
| 24.1779685670895 |
| 23874.675258339 |
| 19813.1686532612 |
| 267978.217710728 |
| -114267.214620167 |
| -40265.306508172 |
| 73786.350086527 |
| 29000.1997827658 |
| -76434.0156682785 |
| -20664.0087744748 |
| -50658.493382462 |
| 23501.6403174908 |
| 100262.20162646 |
| -185115.892788044 |
| 88358.9504684404 |
| -164419.034226518 |
| 124021.529714842 |
| 185074.446181391 |
| 112403.506649358 |
| 104376.88770705 |
| 136706.372582719 |
| 83407.2435349616 |
| 29494.659130923 |
| -21038.6356843677 |
| -27161.476938448 |
| -107933.932032702 |
| -102445.035617911 |
| -153461.719808505 |
| 27650.9499343898 |
| 47573.6827366892 |
| -3435.74188907323 |
| -32393.1581258751 |
| -9778.24359202163 |
| -48930.9351671306 |
| 56212.035198271 |
| 63865.4211866991 |
| -175593.61251862 |
| 61686.9599393504 |
| -12215.4393794863 |
| -115544.539966771 |
| 151857.999525218 |
| 64734.4898074722 |
| 6285.31098228317 |
| 8638.47590946478 |
| -1569.06672539419 |
| 27036.8827216908 |
| -45406.3731457943 |
| -82079.2131424946 |
| -30290.0039515995 |
| -50933.0724551137 |
| -52161.8966121828 |
| -49100.5170625373 |
| 44943.2612207427 |
| -20436.2833597664 |
| -20192.3975896362 |
| -33876.5705349554 |
| -35416.4142591565 |
