| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||
| Iteration | ar1 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.4138 | 0.0044 | -0.1572 |
| (p-val) | (0.0014 ) | (0.976 ) | (0.3462 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.415 | 0 | -0.1578 |
| (p-val) | (8e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.3403 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.3813 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0015 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 9.2519855791713 |
| 33.2345126407141 |
| -60.5845993345588 |
| 67.2348567365614 |
| -272.869396361898 |
| 216.482727905498 |
| -148.999507828483 |
| -565.663130056177 |
| -453.623782525385 |
| -307.398500910348 |
| 159.276434659441 |
| -249.076000614988 |
| 184.004918460781 |
| -157.386989163989 |
| -335.957240555811 |
| 241.84406801903 |
| 45.8107688201658 |
| -183.856473784263 |
| -373.753147603511 |
| 697.586279284026 |
| -372.238677884306 |
| 509.081272086957 |
| 36.5862262707796 |
| -282.151498447702 |
| 414.708112863414 |
| -307.430767230961 |
| 162.349714230484 |
| 307.665502884371 |
| -63.8737633802419 |
| 456.807304021752 |
| 267.320643048785 |
| -556.504073674585 |
| -16.9575418006611 |
| 483.272919493721 |
| -44.1726434750134 |
| 572.262285474726 |
| -41.0293519279877 |
| 115.530037571737 |
| 408.10272149556 |
| 201.936282228419 |
| -142.174033717103 |
| -5.19850747978896 |
| 445.807676670421 |
| 396.547748777883 |
| 429.008879878677 |
| -102.466065794422 |
| -355.781532958392 |
| 414.732083480963 |
| 139.789716296051 |
| 319.005501115972 |
| -191.070107707836 |
| -67.1009632169346 |
| 445.088005216931 |
| -31.6857908545021 |
| 239.564903635734 |
| -193.273434669844 |
| 663.386980450754 |
| 77.2124557754236 |
| 255.118828866028 |
| 89.4122742424473 |
| 451.46707384222 |
| 372.764717080713 |
| 309.190610664184 |
| -434.091191807453 |
