Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 13953.3 | NA | NA | -125.926 | NA |
2 | 14657.7 | NA | NA | -487.704 | NA |
3 | 16686.2 | NA | NA | 1670.15 | NA |
4 | 15232.4 | NA | NA | -296.408 | NA |
5 | 15014.1 | NA | NA | 100.632 | NA |
6 | 16688.6 | NA | NA | 562.112 | NA |
7 | 13969.6 | 14740.7 | 15730.9 | -990.186 | -771.106 |
8 | 14546.8 | 14529.8 | 15935.9 | -1406.1 | 17.039 |
9 | 16292 | 16614.8 | 16141.5 | 473.281 | -322.797 |
10 | 15039 | 16816.5 | 16293.8 | 522.682 | -1777.5 |
11 | 17433.8 | 16764.4 | 16424.2 | 340.282 | 669.368 |
12 | 17798.4 | 16201.6 | 16564.4 | -362.818 | 1596.83 |
13 | 16870.9 | 16529.7 | 16655.6 | -125.926 | 341.185 |
14 | 16659.3 | 16264.7 | 16752.4 | -487.704 | 394.625 |
15 | 19620.4 | 18502.7 | 16832.5 | 1670.15 | 1117.74 |
16 | 15953.5 | 16680 | 16976.4 | -296.408 | -726.467 |
17 | 17420.9 | 17202.1 | 17101.4 | 100.632 | 218.826 |
18 | 17647.5 | 17611.4 | 17049.3 | 562.112 | 36.0967 |
19 | 15200.8 | 16013.8 | 17004 | -990.186 | -813.01 |
20 | 15637.3 | 15627.5 | 17033.6 | -1406.1 | 9.80565 |
21 | 17124.5 | 17495 | 17021.7 | 473.281 | -370.514 |
22 | 17659.4 | 17561.3 | 17038.6 | 522.682 | 98.1473 |
23 | 17815 | 17443.2 | 17103 | 340.282 | 371.764 |
24 | 16165.6 | 16803.9 | 17166.7 | -362.818 | -638.282 |
25 | 17416.6 | 17178.5 | 17304.4 | -125.926 | 238.11 |
26 | 16823.9 | 16948.1 | 17435.8 | -487.704 | -124.237 |
27 | 19171.2 | 19166 | 17495.8 | 1670.15 | 5.20565 |
28 | 16806.8 | 17334 | 17630.4 | -296.408 | -527.229 |
29 | 18112.8 | 17896.5 | 17795.8 | 100.632 | 216.343 |
30 | 18485.5 | 18487.2 | 17925.1 | 562.112 | -1.71577 |
31 | 17668 | 17103.9 | 18094.1 | -990.186 | 564.107 |
32 | 16324.3 | 16870.4 | 18276.5 | -1406.1 | -546.09 |
33 | 17877.5 | 18859.8 | 18386.5 | 473.281 | -982.318 |
34 | 20136.7 | 19116.3 | 18593.6 | 522.682 | 1020.41 |
35 | 19307 | 19163.3 | 18823.1 | 340.282 | 143.66 |
36 | 17776.3 | 18601.9 | 18964.7 | -362.818 | -825.561 |
37 | 19861.3 | 19026 | 19151.9 | -125.926 | 835.306 |
38 | 18757 | 18837.8 | 19325.5 | -487.704 | -80.7955 |
39 | 19879.3 | 21209.3 | 19539.2 | 1670.15 | -1330.05 |
40 | 21068.4 | 19392.6 | 19689 | -296.408 | 1675.82 |
41 | 19358 | 19715.7 | 19615.1 | 100.632 | -357.724 |
42 | 20639.2 | 20015.8 | 19453.7 | 562.112 | 623.363 |
43 | 20008.1 | 18184.5 | 19174.7 | -990.186 | 1823.56 |
44 | 18150.1 | 17387.1 | 18793.2 | -1406.1 | 763.035 |
45 | 21180.4 | 18922.2 | 18448.9 | 473.281 | 2258.24 |
46 | 20428.9 | 18523.3 | 18000.7 | 522.682 | 1905.56 |
47 | 17241.2 | 17831.4 | 17491.1 | 340.282 | -590.169 |
48 | 15969.3 | 16683.5 | 17046.3 | -362.818 | -714.215 |
49 | 14972.4 | 16461.4 | 16587.3 | -125.926 | -1488.99 |
50 | 14488.3 | 15665.6 | 16153.3 | -487.704 | -1177.3 |
51 | 15885.1 | 17425.1 | 15754.9 | 1670.15 | -1539.96 |
52 | 14305.3 | 15100.3 | 15396.7 | -296.408 | -794.992 |
53 | 13891.5 | 15295.3 | 15194.6 | 100.632 | -1403.76 |
54 | 15431.6 | 15738.8 | 15176.6 | 562.112 | -307.153 |
55 | 14199.3 | 14257.3 | 15247.4 | -990.186 | -57.9598 |
56 | 13542.6 | 13933.7 | 15339.8 | -1406.1 | -391.149 |
57 | 16226.3 | 15979.7 | 15506.5 | 473.281 | 246.561 |
58 | 16786.1 | 16271.5 | 15748.8 | 522.682 | 514.597 |
59 | 16034.3 | 16347.6 | 16007.3 | 340.282 | -313.261 |
60 | 16744.5 | 15914.8 | 16277.7 | -362.818 | 829.651 |
61 | 15896.5 | 16399.5 | 16525.5 | -125.926 | -503.036 |
62 | 15781.8 | 16267.3 | 16755 | -487.704 | -485.521 |
63 | 18590.3 | 18648.1 | 16978 | 1670.15 | -57.8152 |
64 | 17416.8 | 16879.1 | 17175.5 | -296.408 | 537.721 |
65 | 16983 | 17519.4 | 17418.8 | 100.632 | -536.449 |
66 | 18829.4 | 18219.1 | 17657 | 562.112 | 610.334 |
67 | 16748.6 | 16935.4 | 17925.6 | -990.186 | -186.81 |
68 | 16502.8 | 16876.4 | 18282.5 | -1406.1 | -373.586 |
69 | 18616.6 | 19125.4 | 18652.1 | 473.281 | -508.793 |
70 | 19136.4 | 19471.7 | 18949 | 522.682 | -335.282 |
71 | 19523.9 | 19616.1 | 19275.8 | 340.282 | -92.186 |
72 | 18970.2 | 19214.5 | 19577.3 | -362.818 | -244.253 |
73 | 20118.2 | 19636.8 | 19762.7 | -125.926 | 481.439 |
74 | 20125.4 | 19521.3 | 20009 | -487.704 | 604.134 |
75 | 23117.8 | 21923.9 | 20253.8 | 1670.15 | 1193.88 |
76 | 20014.6 | 20094.7 | 20391.1 | -296.408 | -80.0586 |
77 | 22228.5 | 20591.3 | 20490.7 | 100.632 | 1637.15 |
78 | 20819.1 | 21179.8 | 20617.7 | 562.112 | -360.699 |
79 | 19208.9 | 19722.6 | 20712.7 | -990.186 | -513.66 |
80 | 19953.3 | 19387.2 | 20793.3 | -1406.1 | 566.064 |
81 | 21041.3 | 21316.6 | 20843.3 | 473.281 | -275.264 |
82 | 20006.8 | 21387.6 | 20864.9 | 522.682 | -1380.82 |
83 | 21045.1 | 21189.2 | 20848.9 | 340.282 | -144.057 |
84 | 20496.3 | 20455.4 | 20818.2 | -362.818 | 40.9473 |
85 | 20873.5 | 20732.4 | 20858.3 | -125.926 | 141.106 |
86 | 21304.2 | 20390 | 20877.7 | -487.704 | 914.213 |
87 | 23137.8 | 22481.7 | 20811.5 | 1670.15 | 656.114 |
88 | 20514.2 | 20553.9 | 20850.3 | -296.408 | -39.6711 |
89 | 21343.5 | 21072.8 | 20972.1 | 100.632 | 270.731 |
90 | 20967.2 | 21522.3 | 20960.2 | 562.112 | -555.107 |
91 | 20024.4 | NA | NA | -990.186 | NA |
92 | 19602.7 | NA | NA | -1406.1 | NA |
93 | 19804.1 | NA | NA | 473.281 | NA |
94 | 22173.9 | NA | NA | 522.682 | NA |
95 | 21802.6 | NA | NA | 340.282 | NA |
96 | 19452.2 | NA | NA | -362.818 | NA |