| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 221.102 | NA | NA | -1.80768 | NA |
| 2 | 220.892 | NA | NA | -0.0710341 | NA |
| 3 | 225.537 | NA | NA | 1.83153 | NA |
| 4 | 219.334 | NA | NA | 2.60278 | NA |
| 5 | 216.126 | NA | NA | -0.963465 | NA |
| 6 | 224.573 | NA | NA | -0.673305 | NA |
| 7 | 213.991 | 226.558 | 227.264 | -0.705413 | -12.5672 |
| 8 | 221.865 | 226.131 | 226.86 | -0.729374 | -4.26579 |
| 9 | 215.382 | 223.652 | 225.84 | -2.18864 | -8.26986 |
| 10 | 213.962 | 220.888 | 224.798 | -3.90938 | -6.92649 |
| 11 | 217.009 | 221.048 | 224.202 | -3.15322 | -4.0394 |
| 12 | 318.11 | 233.086 | 223.319 | 9.7672 | 85.0237 |
| 13 | 219.662 | 220.59 | 222.398 | -1.80768 | -0.92807 |
| 14 | 212.65 | 221.468 | 221.539 | -0.0710341 | -8.81772 |
| 15 | 209.307 | 222.348 | 220.516 | 1.83153 | -13.0407 |
| 16 | 210.541 | 222.344 | 219.741 | 2.60278 | -11.8032 |
| 17 | 210.609 | 217.879 | 218.842 | -0.963465 | -7.26983 |
| 18 | 208.91 | 213.938 | 214.612 | -0.673305 | -5.02824 |
| 19 | 207.541 | 210.015 | 210.72 | -0.705413 | -2.47392 |
| 20 | 207.699 | 209.671 | 210.401 | -0.729374 | -1.97229 |
| 21 | 205.005 | 207.994 | 210.183 | -2.18864 | -2.9892 |
| 22 | 205.747 | 206.407 | 210.317 | -3.90938 | -0.660244 |
| 23 | 203.644 | 206.897 | 210.051 | -3.15322 | -3.25345 |
| 24 | 229.937 | 219.276 | 209.509 | 9.7672 | 10.6609 |
| 25 | 214.446 | 207.673 | 209.48 | -1.80768 | 6.77326 |
| 26 | 210.194 | 209.733 | 209.804 | -0.0710341 | 0.460534 |
| 27 | 206.535 | 212.069 | 210.237 | 1.83153 | -5.53366 |
| 28 | 216.524 | 213.263 | 210.661 | 2.60278 | 3.26055 |
| 29 | 198.243 | 210.239 | 211.203 | -0.963465 | -11.9964 |
| 30 | 208.274 | 210.361 | 211.035 | -0.673305 | -2.08736 |
| 31 | 207.493 | 209.941 | 210.646 | -0.705413 | -2.4478 |
| 32 | 215.525 | 209.979 | 210.708 | -0.729374 | 5.54592 |
| 33 | 207.562 | 208.988 | 211.176 | -2.18864 | -1.42561 |
| 34 | 213.355 | 207.468 | 211.377 | -3.90938 | 5.88721 |
| 35 | 209.048 | 208.491 | 211.644 | -3.15322 | 0.556888 |
| 36 | 220.497 | 221.806 | 212.039 | 9.7672 | -1.30912 |
| 37 | 214.563 | 210.417 | 212.225 | -1.80768 | 4.14585 |
| 38 | 211.571 | 211.976 | 212.047 | -0.0710341 | -0.405133 |
| 39 | 216.385 | 213.357 | 211.525 | 1.83153 | 3.02834 |
| 40 | 211.496 | 213.507 | 210.905 | 2.60278 | -2.01141 |
| 41 | 209.683 | 209.352 | 210.315 | -0.963465 | 0.331298 |
| 42 | 206.304 | 209.065 | 209.738 | -0.673305 | -2.76053 |
| 43 | 213.925 | 208.241 | 208.946 | -0.705413 | 5.68441 |
| 44 | 204.829 | 207.799 | 208.529 | -0.729374 | -2.97042 |
| 45 | 205.729 | 206.071 | 208.26 | -2.18864 | -0.341903 |
| 46 | 200.296 | 204.307 | 208.216 | -3.90938 | -4.01062 |
| 47 | 207.96 | 205.159 | 208.312 | -3.15322 | 2.80093 |
| 48 | 207.729 | 217.937 | 208.169 | 9.7672 | -10.2077 |
| 49 | 208.327 | 206.462 | 208.27 | -1.80768 | 1.86518 |
| 50 | 207.794 | 208.686 | 208.757 | -0.0710341 | -0.892341 |
| 51 | 213.7 | 210.784 | 208.952 | 1.83153 | 2.91605 |
| 52 | 213.136 | 211.414 | 208.811 | 2.60278 | 1.72176 |
| 53 | 210.354 | 207.398 | 208.362 | -0.963465 | 2.95576 |
| 54 | 202.205 | 207.167 | 207.841 | -0.673305 | -4.96245 |
| 55 | 220.425 | 206.669 | 207.374 | -0.705413 | 13.756 |
| 56 | 210.038 | 206.086 | 206.815 | -0.729374 | 3.95208 |
| 57 | 205.201 | 205.119 | 207.308 | -2.18864 | 0.0819716 |
| 58 | 197.441 | 204.102 | 208.011 | -3.90938 | -6.66079 |
| 59 | 200.021 | 204.757 | 207.91 | -3.15322 | -4.73624 |
| 60 | 203.165 | 218.123 | 208.356 | 9.7672 | -14.958 |
| 61 | 201.699 | 205.905 | 207.713 | -1.80768 | -4.20615 |
| 62 | 201.003 | 205.796 | 205.867 | -0.0710341 | -4.79259 |
| 63 | 232.308 | 206.587 | 204.756 | 1.83153 | 25.7205 |
| 64 | 211.412 | 206.726 | 204.123 | 2.60278 | 4.68638 |
| 65 | 209.661 | 202.479 | 203.442 | -0.963465 | 7.18201 |
| 66 | 213.587 | 201.845 | 202.518 | -0.673305 | 11.7423 |
| 67 | 193.611 | 200.743 | 201.448 | -0.705413 | -7.13205 |
| 68 | 192.543 | 200.029 | 200.758 | -0.729374 | -7.48588 |
| 69 | 196.04 | 197.08 | 199.269 | -2.18864 | -1.0402 |
| 70 | 191.407 | 193.481 | 197.391 | -3.90938 | -2.07416 |
| 71 | 189.726 | 193.141 | 196.294 | -3.15322 | -3.41511 |
| 72 | 191.272 | 204.823 | 195.056 | 9.7672 | -13.5509 |
| 73 | 187.924 | 192.767 | 194.575 | -1.80768 | -4.84324 |
| 74 | 198.213 | 194.524 | 194.595 | -0.0710341 | 3.68928 |
| 75 | 199.352 | 196.014 | 194.182 | 1.83153 | 3.33822 |
| 76 | 199.289 | 196.424 | 193.821 | 2.60278 | 2.86476 |
| 77 | 195.475 | 192.948 | 193.911 | -0.963465 | 2.52721 |
| 78 | 198.045 | 193.466 | 194.139 | -0.673305 | 4.57897 |
| 79 | 197.615 | 193.393 | 194.099 | -0.705413 | 4.22187 |
| 80 | 189.015 | 193.26 | 193.989 | -0.729374 | -4.24479 |
| 81 | 189.668 | 191.222 | 193.411 | -2.18864 | -1.55415 |
| 82 | 189.12 | 188.585 | 192.495 | -3.90938 | 0.53484 |
| 83 | 194.168 | 188.627 | 191.78 | -3.15322 | 5.54101 |
| 84 | 192.304 | 200.996 | 191.228 | 9.7672 | -8.69157 |
| 85 | 185.913 | 188.896 | 190.704 | -1.80768 | -2.98345 |
| 86 | 197.599 | 190.376 | 190.447 | -0.0710341 | 7.22283 |
| 87 | 186.085 | 192.383 | 190.552 | 1.83153 | -6.29845 |
| 88 | 190.566 | 193.095 | 190.492 | 2.60278 | -2.52924 |
| 89 | 187.054 | 188.987 | 189.951 | -0.963465 | -1.93312 |
| 90 | 193.222 | 188.325 | 188.998 | -0.673305 | 4.89705 |
| 91 | 189.856 | 187.544 | 188.25 | -0.705413 | 2.31154 |
| 92 | 190.608 | 186.481 | 187.21 | -0.729374 | 4.12708 |
| 93 | 190.588 | 184.067 | 186.255 | -2.18864 | 6.5213 |
| 94 | 186.773 | 182.742 | 186.651 | -3.90938 | 4.03092 |
| 95 | 183.51 | 184.008 | 187.161 | -3.15322 | -0.498195 |
| 96 | 180.106 | 196.515 | 186.748 | 9.7672 | -16.4088 |
| 97 | 180.15 | 184.469 | 186.277 | -1.80768 | -4.31886 |
| 98 | 178.412 | 185.961 | 186.032 | -0.0710341 | -7.54892 |
| 99 | 182.353 | 187.675 | 185.843 | 1.83153 | -5.32199 |
| 100 | 203.805 | 188.306 | 185.703 | 2.60278 | 15.4988 |
| 101 | 186.054 | 184.621 | 185.584 | -0.963465 | 1.43317 |
| 102 | 184.29 | 185.044 | 185.717 | -0.673305 | -0.754195 |
| 103 | 187.483 | 185.329 | 186.034 | -0.705413 | 2.15391 |
| 104 | 187.111 | 185.667 | 186.396 | -0.729374 | 1.44387 |
| 105 | 189.561 | 184.454 | 186.643 | -2.18864 | 5.10676 |
| 106 | 184.439 | 181.526 | 185.436 | -3.90938 | 2.91284 |
| 107 | 182.985 | 180.785 | 183.938 | -3.15322 | 2.1998 |
| 108 | 183.828 | 192.919 | 183.152 | 9.7672 | -9.09087 |
| 109 | 184.036 | 180.185 | 181.993 | -1.80768 | 3.85101 |
| 110 | 183.214 | 180.76 | 180.831 | -0.0710341 | 2.45416 |
| 111 | 183.464 | 181.386 | 179.555 | 1.83153 | 2.07755 |
| 112 | 173.718 | 180.803 | 178.2 | 2.60278 | -7.08503 |
| 113 | 180.21 | 176.048 | 177.011 | -0.963465 | 4.16196 |
| 114 | 171.252 | 175.493 | 176.166 | -0.673305 | -4.24074 |
| 115 | 172.705 | 174.628 | 175.333 | -0.705413 | -1.92263 |
| 116 | 174.006 | 173.57 | 174.3 | -0.729374 | 0.435791 |
| 117 | 172.043 | 171.161 | 173.349 | -2.18864 | 0.882472 |
| 118 | 169.445 | 168.641 | 172.551 | -3.90938 | 0.80384 |
| 119 | 169.449 | 168.536 | 171.689 | -3.15322 | 0.912805 |
| 120 | 177.073 | 180.687 | 170.92 | 9.7672 | -3.61412 |
| 121 | 170.799 | 168.463 | 170.271 | -1.80768 | 2.33585 |
| 122 | 171.648 | 169.45 | 169.521 | -0.0710341 | 2.19803 |
| 123 | 172.22 | 170.599 | 168.767 | 1.83153 | 1.62126 |
| 124 | 165.795 | 170.661 | 168.058 | 2.60278 | -4.86628 |
| 125 | 167.466 | 166.586 | 167.549 | -0.963465 | 0.879965 |
| 126 | 165.528 | 166.199 | 166.873 | -0.673305 | -0.671278 |
| 127 | 162.851 | 165.242 | 165.947 | -0.705413 | -2.3908 |
| 128 | 165.864 | 164.342 | 165.071 | -0.729374 | 1.52233 |
| 129 | 162.094 | 161.931 | 164.12 | -2.18864 | 0.162722 |
| 130 | 162.385 | 159.756 | 163.665 | -3.90938 | 2.62938 |
| 131 | 164.293 | 160.461 | 163.614 | -3.15322 | 3.83222 |
| 132 | 165.983 | 173.006 | 163.239 | 9.7672 | -7.02282 |
| 133 | 159.68 | 161.108 | 162.916 | -1.80768 | -1.42807 |
| 134 | 161.739 | 162.679 | 162.75 | -0.0710341 | -0.939716 |
| 135 | 159.302 | 164.459 | 162.627 | 1.83153 | -5.1567 |
| 136 | 167.795 | 165.064 | 162.461 | 2.60278 | 2.73076 |
| 137 | 164.242 | 161.007 | 161.971 | -0.963465 | 3.23476 |
| 138 | 159.743 | 160.549 | 161.222 | -0.673305 | -0.806195 |
| 139 | 160.887 | 159.938 | 160.643 | -0.705413 | 0.949163 |
| 140 | 163.844 | 159.789 | 160.519 | -0.729374 | 4.05462 |
| 141 | 161.172 | 158.164 | 160.352 | -2.18864 | 3.00822 |
| 142 | 159.33 | 155.654 | 159.564 | -3.90938 | 3.6758 |
| 143 | 155.57 | 155.329 | 158.482 | -3.15322 | 0.241263 |
| 144 | 156.749 | 167.437 | 157.67 | 9.7672 | -10.6882 |
| 145 | 155.012 | 155.133 | 156.94 | -1.80768 | -0.120778 |
| 146 | 163.419 | 155.905 | 155.976 | -0.0710341 | 7.51412 |
| 147 | 153.63 | 156.838 | 155.006 | 1.83153 | -3.20795 |
| 148 | 154.535 | 156.86 | 154.258 | 2.60278 | -2.32528 |
| 149 | 151.543 | 152.907 | 153.871 | -0.963465 | -1.36429 |
| 150 | 152.955 | 152.72 | 153.393 | -0.673305 | 0.235138 |
| 151 | 150.166 | NA | NA | -0.705413 | NA |
| 152 | 151.416 | NA | NA | -0.729374 | NA |
| 153 | 150.332 | NA | NA | -2.18864 | NA |
| 154 | 152.196 | NA | NA | -3.90938 | NA |
| 155 | 153.422 | NA | NA | -3.15322 | NA |
| 156 | 147.435 | NA | NA | 9.7672 | NA |
