Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 55.7 | NA | NA | 1.61435 | NA |
2 | 59.2 | NA | NA | 3.14838 | NA |
3 | 59.8 | NA | NA | 2.8963 | NA |
4 | 61.6 | NA | NA | 1.7706 | NA |
5 | 65.8 | NA | NA | 0.810185 | NA |
6 | 64.2 | NA | NA | 1.47269 | NA |
7 | 67 | 66.5637 | 67.9083 | -1.34468 | 0.436343 |
8 | 62.8 | 68.2144 | 70.2083 | -1.99398 | -5.41435 |
9 | 65.5 | 72.3824 | 72.4292 | -0.0467593 | -6.88241 |
10 | 75.2 | 70.9012 | 74.3 | -3.39884 | 4.29884 |
11 | 80.9 | 71.8074 | 75.75 | -3.94259 | 9.09259 |
12 | 83.2 | 76.4019 | 77.3875 | -0.985648 | 6.79815 |
13 | 83.7 | 80.6685 | 79.0542 | 1.61435 | 3.03148 |
14 | 86.4 | 83.9067 | 80.7583 | 3.14838 | 2.49329 |
15 | 85.9 | 86.088 | 83.1917 | 2.8963 | -0.187963 |
16 | 80.4 | 87.4789 | 85.7083 | 1.7706 | -7.07894 |
17 | 81.8 | 88.4852 | 87.675 | 0.810185 | -6.68519 |
18 | 87.5 | 91.3769 | 89.9042 | 1.47269 | -3.87685 |
19 | 83.7 | 91.5595 | 92.9042 | -1.34468 | -7.85949 |
20 | 87 | 94.6602 | 96.6542 | -1.99398 | -7.66019 |
21 | 99.7 | 101.249 | 101.296 | -0.0467593 | -1.54907 |
22 | 101.4 | 103.318 | 106.717 | -3.39884 | -1.91782 |
23 | 101.9 | 108.353 | 112.296 | -3.94259 | -6.45324 |
24 | 115.7 | 116.902 | 117.887 | -0.985648 | -1.20185 |
25 | 123.2 | 125.073 | 123.458 | 1.61435 | -1.87269 |
26 | 136.9 | 131.223 | 128.075 | 3.14838 | 5.67662 |
27 | 146.8 | 134.121 | 131.225 | 2.8963 | 12.6787 |
28 | 149.6 | 134.179 | 132.408 | 1.7706 | 15.4211 |
29 | 146.5 | 132.773 | 131.962 | 0.810185 | 13.7273 |
30 | 157 | 131.914 | 130.442 | 1.47269 | 25.0856 |
31 | 147.9 | 126.893 | 128.237 | -1.34468 | 21.0072 |
32 | 133.6 | 123.252 | 125.246 | -1.99398 | 10.3481 |
33 | 128.7 | 121.082 | 121.129 | -0.0467593 | 7.61759 |
34 | 100.8 | 113.155 | 116.554 | -3.39884 | -12.3553 |
35 | 91.8 | 108.37 | 112.312 | -3.94259 | -16.5699 |
36 | 89.3 | 107.073 | 108.058 | -0.985648 | -17.7727 |
37 | 96.7 | 104.773 | 103.158 | 1.61435 | -8.07269 |
38 | 91.6 | 101.694 | 98.5458 | 3.14838 | -10.0942 |
39 | 93.3 | 97.3546 | 94.4583 | 2.8963 | -4.05463 |
40 | 93.3 | 93.6664 | 91.8958 | 1.7706 | -0.366435 |
41 | 101 | 92.1977 | 91.3875 | 0.810185 | 8.80231 |
42 | 100.4 | 93.156 | 91.6833 | 1.47269 | 7.24398 |
43 | 86.9 | 90.4012 | 91.7458 | -1.34468 | -3.50116 |
44 | 83.9 | 89.381 | 91.375 | -1.99398 | -5.48102 |
45 | 80.3 | 90.8824 | 90.9292 | -0.0467593 | -10.5824 |
46 | 87.7 | 86.8595 | 90.2583 | -3.39884 | 0.840509 |
47 | 92.7 | 85.2491 | 89.1917 | -3.94259 | 7.45093 |
48 | 95.5 | 86.7602 | 87.7458 | -0.985648 | 8.73981 |
49 | 92 | 88.7477 | 87.1333 | 1.61435 | 3.25231 |
50 | 87.4 | 91.1817 | 88.0333 | 3.14838 | -3.78171 |
51 | 86.8 | 93.0588 | 90.1625 | 2.8963 | -6.2588 |
52 | 83.7 | 94.6789 | 92.9083 | 1.7706 | -10.9789 |
53 | 85 | 96.2935 | 95.4833 | 0.810185 | -11.2935 |
54 | 81.7 | 99.7227 | 98.25 | 1.47269 | -18.0227 |
55 | 90.9 | 100.447 | 101.792 | -1.34468 | -9.54699 |
56 | 101.5 | 104.381 | 106.375 | -1.99398 | -2.88102 |
57 | 113.8 | 111.307 | 111.354 | -0.0467593 | 2.49259 |
58 | 120.1 | 113.297 | 116.696 | -3.39884 | 6.80301 |
59 | 122.1 | 118.466 | 122.408 | -3.94259 | 3.63426 |
60 | 132.5 | 126.848 | 127.833 | -0.985648 | 5.65231 |
61 | 140 | 134.019 | 132.404 | 1.61435 | 5.98148 |
62 | 149.4 | 139.344 | 136.196 | 3.14838 | 10.0558 |
63 | 144.3 | 142.275 | 139.379 | 2.8963 | 2.02454 |
64 | 154.4 | 143.016 | 141.246 | 1.7706 | 11.3836 |
65 | 151.4 | 143.006 | 142.196 | 0.810185 | 8.39398 |
66 | 145.5 | 143.848 | 142.375 | 1.47269 | 1.65231 |
67 | 136.8 | 140.409 | 141.754 | -1.34468 | -3.60949 |
68 | 146.6 | 138.585 | 140.579 | -1.99398 | 8.01481 |
69 | 145.1 | 139.27 | 139.317 | -0.0467593 | 5.83009 |
70 | 133.6 | 134.343 | 137.742 | -3.39884 | -0.742824 |
71 | 131.4 | 131.628 | 135.571 | -3.94259 | -0.228241 |
72 | 127.5 | 132.789 | 133.775 | -0.985648 | -5.28935 |
73 | 130.1 | 135.494 | 133.879 | 1.61435 | -5.39352 |
74 | 131.1 | 138.523 | 135.375 | 3.14838 | -7.42338 |
75 | 132.3 | 139.575 | 136.679 | 2.8963 | -7.27546 |
76 | 128.6 | 140.054 | 138.283 | 1.7706 | -11.4539 |
77 | 125.1 | 141.119 | 140.308 | 0.810185 | -16.0185 |
78 | 128.7 | 143.856 | 142.383 | 1.47269 | -15.156 |
79 | 156.1 | NA | NA | -1.34468 | NA |
80 | 163.2 | NA | NA | -1.99398 | NA |
81 | 159.8 | NA | NA | -0.0467593 | NA |
82 | 157.4 | NA | NA | -3.39884 | NA |
83 | 156.2 | NA | NA | -3.94259 | NA |
84 | 152.5 | NA | NA | -0.985648 | NA |