| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.4707 | -0.0025 | 0.1384 | -0.8331 | 0.9824 | -0.8976 |
| (p-val) | (0.0266 ) | (0.9839 ) | (0.2589 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.4789 | 0 | 0.142 | -0.8403 | 0.9813 | -0.8938 |
| (p-val) | (0.0136 ) | (NA ) | (0.2422 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.3189 | 0 | 0 | -0.6864 | 0.9837 | -0.9073 |
| (p-val) | (0.1052 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4214 | 0.9886 | -0.921 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.00371356954579582 |
| -0.0429190928547927 |
| 0.209562847445091 |
| -0.136858543752409 |
| 0.0391368204771269 |
| -0.108001213847756 |
| 0.0971808258966619 |
| -0.186939413132197 |
| 0.038538702102613 |
| -0.104883358977964 |
| -0.213282755719765 |
| 0.392066399700539 |
| 0.136497821487897 |
| 0.250762050810693 |
| 0.13009185687407 |
| -0.507469200534169 |
| 0.0128233242117078 |
| 0.154895234930361 |
| 0.125796342391428 |
| 0.222967858503851 |
| 0.0307339015728168 |
| -0.0210914493155143 |
| 0.324450024880247 |
| 0.252195915712856 |
| -0.0560922084287556 |
| -0.167987009786066 |
| -0.221575945510651 |
| 0.458511582009741 |
| 0.198853590022678 |
| -0.176639365696922 |
| 0.342541259973108 |
| 0.37537981123437 |
| 0.0254270353120868 |
| -0.104818720401043 |
| 0.213301184916298 |
| 0.103806762581822 |
| 0.148601648020628 |
| -0.151139119564231 |
| 0.059160578900646 |
| -0.165252592039028 |
| -0.0685559848038341 |
| -0.388700535971292 |
| 0.170782712521669 |
| 0.0891550068221429 |
| -0.132761378254143 |
| -0.150176572788003 |
| -0.0704845603152394 |
| -0.391012746439806 |
| 0.0904612933257369 |
| 0.0984248525855098 |
| 0.036662838595912 |
| -0.101123887077144 |
| 0.000367306033302576 |
| 0.308573062063412 |
| 0.174724127417027 |
| 0.264484602799462 |
| 0.377120005800857 |
| 0.0378559212292162 |
| -0.063123976822328 |
| -0.0634945561404104 |
| -0.302108028073348 |
| 0.0726081140179008 |
| 0.00929253183964151 |
| -0.0319678732941555 |
| 0.138947036058215 |
| -0.0798756827687929 |
| 0.399400312811703 |
| -0.115542994926859 |
| -0.0404228431021049 |
| 0.341658842242738 |
| 0.044968443750983 |
| 0.0455168310143499 |
| -0.131707527773099 |
| -0.143024444108154 |
| 0.0797551975655046 |
| 0.243125885312653 |
| -0.298600930406647 |
| 0.120735715221373 |
| 0.177484209913799 |
| 0.00795250109757561 |
| -0.0578769325614442 |
| -0.180471928687622 |
| -0.0591651652949807 |
| 0.102864505205473 |
| -0.0165352244214437 |
| -0.0704142677931428 |
| 0.0511375501270323 |
| -0.132676956430461 |
| 0.0612664078356854 |
| 0.0163849022470223 |
| -0.101378673836646 |
| 0.206284875599269 |
| -0.172915784450777 |
| 0.0828351389482772 |
| 0.060753826247603 |
| -0.0588090409043024 |
| -0.0512896614459361 |
| -0.0104452815465937 |
| -0.200183654710073 |
| -0.142384304021159 |
| -0.125450298785049 |
| 0.133744732087662 |
| 0.0401701486118262 |
| 0.239413728244983 |
| -0.0932333411125513 |
| 0.337599415382961 |
| 0.0165501080911215 |
| -0.177576395252485 |
| 0.235872062819504 |
| -0.0118248394233032 |
| -0.208123371978843 |
| 0.0187054009129064 |
| -0.257543563638374 |
| -0.0431358072202196 |
| -0.0142187995180079 |
| -0.0907071401729271 |
| 0.109507789272411 |
| 0.0476193751603875 |
