Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8536 |
R-squared | 0.7287 |
RMSE | 21.5027 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 119.992 | 98.0586363636364 | 21.9333636363636 |
2 | 122.4 | 119.453214285714 | 2.94678571428572 |
3 | 116.682 | 119.453214285714 | -2.77121428571428 |
4 | 116.676 | 119.453214285714 | -2.77721428571428 |
5 | 116.014 | 119.453214285714 | -3.43921428571429 |
6 | 120.552 | 119.453214285714 | 1.09878571428573 |
7 | 120.267 | 119.453214285714 | 0.813785714285714 |
8 | 107.332 | 111.587571428571 | -4.25557142857143 |
9 | 95.73 | 98.0586363636364 | -2.32863636363636 |
10 | 95.056 | 98.0586363636364 | -3.00263636363637 |
11 | 88.333 | 98.0586363636364 | -9.72563636363637 |
12 | 91.904 | 98.0586363636364 | -6.15463636363637 |
13 | 136.926 | 134.780058823529 | 2.14594117647059 |
14 | 139.173 | 134.780058823529 | 4.3929411764706 |
15 | 152.845 | 134.780058823529 | 18.0649411764706 |
16 | 142.167 | 134.780058823529 | 7.3869411764706 |
17 | 144.188 | 134.780058823529 | 9.40794117647059 |
18 | 168.778 | 160.571886363636 | 8.20611363636363 |
19 | 153.046 | 160.571886363636 | -7.52588636363637 |
20 | 156.405 | 160.571886363636 | -4.16688636363637 |
21 | 153.848 | 160.571886363636 | -6.72388636363635 |
22 | 153.88 | 160.571886363636 | -6.69188636363637 |
23 | 167.93 | 160.571886363636 | 7.35811363636364 |
24 | 173.917 | 160.571886363636 | 13.3451136363636 |
25 | 163.656 | 160.571886363636 | 3.08411363636364 |
26 | 104.4 | 160.571886363636 | -56.1718863636364 |
27 | 171.041 | 160.571886363636 | 10.4691136363636 |
28 | 146.845 | 134.780058823529 | 12.0649411764706 |
29 | 155.358 | 180.9758 | -25.6178 |
30 | 162.568 | 134.780058823529 | 27.7879411764706 |
31 | 197.076 | 207.738 | -10.662 |
32 | 199.228 | 207.738 | -8.50999999999999 |
33 | 198.383 | 207.738 | -9.35499999999999 |
34 | 202.266 | 207.738 | -5.47200000000001 |
35 | 203.184 | 207.738 | -4.554 |
36 | 201.464 | 207.738 | -6.274 |
37 | 177.876 | 185.517470588235 | -7.64147058823531 |
38 | 176.17 | 185.517470588235 | -9.34747058823532 |
39 | 180.198 | 185.517470588235 | -5.3194705882353 |
40 | 187.733 | 185.517470588235 | 2.21552941176469 |
41 | 186.163 | 185.517470588235 | 0.645529411764699 |
42 | 184.055 | 185.517470588235 | -1.46247058823531 |
43 | 237.226 | 239.46825 | -2.24225000000001 |
44 | 241.404 | 239.46825 | 1.93574999999998 |
45 | 243.439 | 239.46825 | 3.97074999999998 |
46 | 242.852 | 239.46825 | 3.38374999999999 |
47 | 245.51 | 239.46825 | 6.04174999999998 |
48 | 252.455 | 207.738 | 44.717 |
49 | 122.188 | 134.780058823529 | -12.5920588235294 |
50 | 122.964 | 119.453214285714 | 3.51078571428572 |
51 | 124.445 | 119.453214285714 | 4.99178571428571 |
52 | 126.344 | 119.453214285714 | 6.89078571428571 |
53 | 128.001 | 143.284285714286 | -15.2832857142857 |
54 | 129.336 | 143.284285714286 | -13.9482857142857 |
55 | 108.807 | 111.587571428571 | -2.78057142857142 |
56 | 109.86 | 111.587571428571 | -1.72757142857142 |
57 | 110.417 | 111.587571428571 | -1.17057142857142 |
58 | 117.274 | 119.453214285714 | -2.17921428571428 |
59 | 116.879 | 119.453214285714 | -2.57421428571428 |
60 | 114.847 | 111.587571428571 | 3.25942857142857 |
61 | 209.144 | 180.9758 | 28.1682 |
62 | 223.365 | 180.9758 | 42.3892 |
63 | 222.236 | 239.46825 | -17.23225 |
64 | 228.832 | 239.46825 | -10.63625 |
65 | 229.401 | 239.46825 | -10.06725 |
66 | 228.969 | 180.9758 | 47.9932 |
67 | 140.341 | 134.780058823529 | 5.56094117647061 |
68 | 136.969 | 134.780058823529 | 2.18894117647059 |
69 | 143.533 | 134.780058823529 | 8.75294117647059 |
70 | 148.09 | 134.780058823529 | 13.3099411764706 |
71 | 142.729 | 134.780058823529 | 7.94894117647061 |
72 | 136.358 | 160.571886363636 | -24.2138863636364 |
73 | 120.08 | 119.453214285714 | 0.626785714285717 |
74 | 112.014 | 111.587571428571 | 0.426428571428573 |
75 | 110.793 | 111.587571428571 | -0.794571428571416 |
76 | 110.707 | 111.587571428571 | -0.880571428571429 |
77 | 112.876 | 111.587571428571 | 1.28842857142858 |
78 | 110.568 | 111.587571428571 | -1.01957142857142 |
79 | 95.385 | 98.0586363636364 | -2.67363636363636 |
80 | 100.77 | 98.0586363636364 | 2.71136363636363 |
81 | 96.106 | 98.0586363636364 | -1.95263636363637 |
82 | 95.605 | 98.0586363636364 | -2.45363636363636 |
83 | 100.96 | 98.0586363636364 | 2.90136363636363 |
84 | 98.804 | 98.0586363636364 | 0.745363636363635 |
85 | 176.858 | 160.571886363636 | 16.2861136363636 |
86 | 180.978 | 185.517470588235 | -4.5394705882353 |
87 | 178.222 | 160.571886363636 | 17.6501136363636 |
88 | 176.281 | 160.571886363636 | 15.7091136363636 |
89 | 173.898 | 160.571886363636 | 13.3261136363636 |
90 | 179.711 | 160.571886363636 | 19.1391136363636 |
91 | 166.605 | 160.571886363636 | 6.03311363636362 |
92 | 151.955 | 134.780058823529 | 17.1749411764706 |
93 | 148.272 | 134.780058823529 | 13.4919411764706 |
94 | 152.125 | 134.780058823529 | 17.3449411764706 |
95 | 157.821 | 134.780058823529 | 23.0409411764706 |
96 | 157.447 | 185.517470588235 | -28.0704705882353 |
97 | 159.116 | 134.780058823529 | 24.3359411764706 |
98 | 125.036 | 160.571886363636 | -35.5358863636364 |
99 | 125.791 | 134.780058823529 | -8.9890588235294 |
100 | 126.512 | 160.571886363636 | -34.0598863636364 |
101 | 125.641 | 160.571886363636 | -34.9308863636364 |
102 | 128.451 | 160.571886363636 | -32.1208863636364 |
103 | 139.224 | 160.571886363636 | -21.3478863636364 |
104 | 150.258 | 180.9758 | -30.7178 |
105 | 154.003 | 180.9758 | -26.9728 |
106 | 149.689 | 180.9758 | -31.2868 |
107 | 155.078 | 180.9758 | -25.8978 |
108 | 151.884 | 134.780058823529 | 17.1039411764706 |
109 | 151.989 | 180.9758 | -28.9868 |
110 | 193.03 | 160.571886363636 | 32.4581136363636 |
111 | 200.714 | 160.571886363636 | 40.1421136363636 |
112 | 208.519 | 207.738 | 0.781000000000006 |
113 | 204.664 | 207.738 | -3.07400000000001 |
114 | 210.141 | 207.738 | 2.40299999999999 |
115 | 206.327 | 180.9758 | 25.3512 |
116 | 151.872 | 160.571886363636 | -8.69988636363635 |
117 | 158.219 | 160.571886363636 | -2.35288636363637 |
118 | 170.756 | 160.571886363636 | 10.1841136363636 |
119 | 178.285 | 160.571886363636 | 17.7131136363636 |
120 | 217.116 | 160.571886363636 | 56.5441136363636 |
121 | 128.94 | 160.571886363636 | -31.6318863636364 |
122 | 176.824 | 160.571886363636 | 16.2521136363636 |
123 | 138.19 | 134.780058823529 | 3.4099411764706 |
124 | 182.018 | 134.780058823529 | 47.2379411764706 |
125 | 156.239 | 134.780058823529 | 21.4589411764706 |
126 | 145.174 | 134.780058823529 | 10.3939411764706 |
127 | 138.145 | 134.780058823529 | 3.36494117647061 |
128 | 166.888 | 134.780058823529 | 32.1079411764706 |
129 | 119.031 | 180.9758 | -61.9448 |
130 | 120.078 | 134.780058823529 | -14.7020588235294 |
131 | 120.289 | 134.780058823529 | -14.4910588235294 |
132 | 120.256 | 134.780058823529 | -14.5240588235294 |
133 | 119.056 | 134.780058823529 | -15.7240588235294 |
134 | 118.747 | 134.780058823529 | -16.0330588235294 |
135 | 106.516 | 134.780058823529 | -28.2640588235294 |
136 | 110.453 | 160.571886363636 | -50.1188863636364 |
137 | 113.4 | 134.780058823529 | -21.3800588235294 |
138 | 113.166 | 160.571886363636 | -47.4058863636364 |
139 | 112.239 | 134.780058823529 | -22.5410588235294 |
140 | 116.15 | 134.780058823529 | -18.6300588235294 |
141 | 170.368 | 160.571886363636 | 9.79611363636363 |
142 | 208.083 | 160.571886363636 | 47.5111136363636 |
143 | 198.458 | 185.517470588235 | 12.9405294117647 |
144 | 202.805 | 134.780058823529 | 68.0249411764706 |
145 | 202.544 | 185.517470588235 | 17.0265294117647 |
146 | 223.361 | 160.571886363636 | 62.7891136363636 |
147 | 169.774 | 185.517470588235 | -15.7434705882353 |
148 | 183.52 | 185.517470588235 | -1.9974705882353 |
149 | 188.62 | 185.517470588235 | 3.10252941176469 |
150 | 202.632 | 185.517470588235 | 17.1145294117647 |
151 | 186.695 | 185.517470588235 | 1.17752941176468 |
152 | 192.818 | 185.517470588235 | 7.3005294117647 |
153 | 198.116 | 185.517470588235 | 12.5985294117647 |
154 | 121.345 | 134.780058823529 | -13.4350588235294 |
155 | 119.1 | 134.780058823529 | -15.6800588235294 |
156 | 117.87 | 134.780058823529 | -16.9100588235294 |
157 | 122.336 | 160.571886363636 | -38.2358863636364 |
158 | 117.963 | 160.571886363636 | -42.6088863636364 |
159 | 126.144 | 160.571886363636 | -34.4278863636364 |
160 | 127.93 | 134.780058823529 | -6.85005882352939 |
161 | 114.238 | 134.780058823529 | -20.5420588235294 |
162 | 115.322 | 134.780058823529 | -19.4580588235294 |
163 | 114.554 | 134.780058823529 | -20.2260588235294 |
164 | 112.15 | 134.780058823529 | -22.6300588235294 |
165 | 102.273 | 160.571886363636 | -58.2988863636364 |
166 | 236.2 | 180.9758 | 55.2242 |
167 | 237.323 | 239.46825 | -2.14525 |
168 | 260.105 | 239.46825 | 20.63675 |
169 | 197.569 | 160.571886363636 | 36.9971136363636 |
170 | 240.301 | 239.46825 | 0.832749999999976 |
171 | 244.99 | 239.46825 | 5.52175 |
172 | 112.547 | 111.587571428571 | 0.959428571428575 |
173 | 110.739 | 111.587571428571 | -0.848571428571418 |
174 | 113.715 | 111.587571428571 | 2.12742857142858 |
175 | 117.004 | 111.587571428571 | 5.41642857142858 |
176 | 115.38 | 119.453214285714 | -4.07321428571429 |
177 | 116.388 | 119.453214285714 | -3.06521428571428 |
178 | 151.737 | 134.780058823529 | 16.9569411764706 |
179 | 148.79 | 143.284285714286 | 5.50571428571428 |
180 | 148.143 | 143.284285714286 | 4.85871428571429 |
181 | 150.44 | 143.284285714286 | 7.15571428571428 |
182 | 148.462 | 143.284285714286 | 5.17771428571427 |
183 | 149.818 | 143.284285714286 | 6.5337142857143 |
184 | 117.226 | 134.780058823529 | -17.5540588235294 |
185 | 116.848 | 134.780058823529 | -17.9320588235294 |
186 | 116.286 | 134.780058823529 | -18.4940588235294 |
187 | 116.556 | 134.780058823529 | -18.2240588235294 |
188 | 116.342 | 134.780058823529 | -18.4380588235294 |
189 | 114.563 | 134.780058823529 | -20.2170588235294 |
190 | 201.774 | 180.9758 | 20.7982 |
191 | 174.188 | 160.571886363636 | 13.6161136363636 |
192 | 209.516 | 160.571886363636 | 48.9441136363636 |
193 | 174.688 | 180.9758 | -6.2878 |
194 | 198.764 | 180.9758 | 17.7882 |
195 | 214.289 | 160.571886363636 | 53.7171136363636 |