Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 96.86 | NA | NA | 0.99968 | NA |
2 | 96.77 | NA | NA | 0.998894 | NA |
3 | 96.5 | NA | NA | 1.00027 | NA |
4 | 96.01 | NA | NA | 0.999777 | NA |
5 | 96.07 | NA | NA | 1.00047 | NA |
6 | 95.93 | NA | NA | 1.00059 | NA |
7 | 95.93 | 96.1786 | 96.29 | 0.998843 | 0.997415 |
8 | 95.83 | 96.135 | 96.2817 | 0.998477 | 0.996827 |
9 | 96.24 | 96.3486 | 96.2921 | 1.00059 | 0.998872 |
10 | 96.25 | 96.408 | 96.3192 | 1.00092 | 0.998361 |
11 | 96.59 | 96.4642 | 96.3608 | 1.00107 | 1.0013 |
12 | 96.62 | 96.4495 | 96.4104 | 1.00041 | 1.00177 |
13 | 96.62 | 96.4321 | 96.4629 | 0.99968 | 1.00195 |
14 | 96.81 | 96.4166 | 96.5233 | 0.998894 | 1.00408 |
15 | 96.71 | 96.6173 | 96.5908 | 1.00027 | 1.00096 |
16 | 96.45 | 96.6397 | 96.6612 | 0.999777 | 0.998037 |
17 | 96.63 | 96.7694 | 96.7238 | 1.00047 | 0.99856 |
18 | 96.56 | 96.8333 | 96.7758 | 1.00059 | 0.997178 |
19 | 96.56 | 96.7172 | 96.8292 | 0.998843 | 0.998375 |
20 | 96.65 | 96.7262 | 96.8737 | 0.998477 | 0.999212 |
21 | 97.04 | 96.9753 | 96.9183 | 1.00059 | 1.00067 |
22 | 97.14 | 97.0724 | 96.9829 | 1.00092 | 1.0007 |
23 | 97.2 | 97.1521 | 97.0479 | 1.00107 | 1.00049 |
24 | 97.26 | 97.1456 | 97.1062 | 1.00041 | 1.00118 |
25 | 97.26 | 97.1377 | 97.1687 | 0.99968 | 1.00126 |
26 | 97.24 | 97.12 | 97.2275 | 0.998894 | 1.00124 |
27 | 97.35 | 97.2896 | 97.2629 | 1.00027 | 1.00062 |
28 | 97.36 | 97.2758 | 97.2975 | 0.999777 | 1.00087 |
29 | 97.28 | 97.3884 | 97.3425 | 1.00047 | 0.998887 |
30 | 97.31 | 97.4361 | 97.3783 | 1.00059 | 0.998705 |
31 | 97.31 | 97.3007 | 97.4133 | 0.998843 | 1.0001 |
32 | 97.31 | 97.3062 | 97.4546 | 0.998477 | 1.00004 |
33 | 97.23 | 97.5523 | 97.495 | 1.00059 | 0.996697 |
34 | 97.78 | 97.6129 | 97.5229 | 1.00092 | 1.00171 |
35 | 97.64 | 97.6522 | 97.5475 | 1.00107 | 0.999875 |
36 | 97.68 | 97.6146 | 97.575 | 1.00041 | 1.00067 |
37 | 97.68 | 97.5721 | 97.6033 | 0.99968 | 1.00111 |
38 | 97.81 | 97.5237 | 97.6317 | 0.998894 | 1.00294 |
39 | 97.75 | 97.6989 | 97.6721 | 1.00027 | 1.00052 |
40 | 97.63 | 97.7028 | 97.7246 | 0.999777 | 0.999255 |
41 | 97.6 | 97.8449 | 97.7988 | 1.00047 | 0.997497 |
42 | 97.65 | 97.9494 | 97.8912 | 1.00059 | 0.996944 |
43 | 97.65 | 97.8667 | 97.98 | 0.998843 | 0.997786 |
44 | 97.65 | 97.9057 | 98.055 | 0.998477 | 0.997389 |
45 | 97.86 | 98.181 | 98.1233 | 1.00059 | 0.996731 |
46 | 98.41 | 98.3027 | 98.2121 | 1.00092 | 1.00109 |
47 | 98.79 | 98.4247 | 98.3192 | 1.00107 | 1.00371 |
48 | 98.75 | 98.4732 | 98.4333 | 1.00041 | 1.00281 |
49 | 98.74 | 98.5185 | 98.55 | 0.99968 | 1.00225 |
50 | 98.55 | 98.5576 | 98.6667 | 0.998894 | 0.999923 |
51 | 98.65 | 98.8067 | 98.7796 | 1.00027 | 0.998414 |
52 | 98.86 | 98.8363 | 98.8583 | 0.999777 | 1.00024 |
53 | 98.94 | 98.9341 | 98.8875 | 1.00047 | 1.00006 |
54 | 99.05 | 98.957 | 98.8983 | 1.00059 | 1.00094 |
55 | 99.05 | 98.796 | 98.9104 | 0.998843 | 1.00257 |
56 | 99.05 | 98.7731 | 98.9238 | 0.998477 | 1.0028 |
57 | 99.17 | 98.9989 | 98.9408 | 1.00059 | 1.00173 |
58 | 98.99 | 99.0467 | 98.9554 | 1.00092 | 0.999427 |
59 | 98.91 | 99.0754 | 98.9692 | 1.00107 | 0.998331 |
60 | 98.89 | 99.0389 | 98.9987 | 1.00041 | 0.998497 |
61 | 98.89 | 99.0079 | 99.0396 | 0.99968 | 0.998809 |
62 | 98.72 | 98.9713 | 99.0808 | 0.998894 | 0.997461 |
63 | 98.89 | 99.1639 | 99.1367 | 1.00027 | 0.997238 |
64 | 98.97 | 99.1716 | 99.1937 | 0.999777 | 0.997967 |
65 | 99.16 | 99.2847 | 99.2379 | 1.00047 | 0.998744 |
66 | 99.54 | 99.3398 | 99.2808 | 1.00059 | 1.00202 |
67 | 99.54 | 99.2076 | 99.3225 | 0.998843 | 1.00335 |
68 | 99.55 | 99.2203 | 99.3717 | 0.998477 | 1.00332 |
69 | 100.01 | 99.5226 | 99.4642 | 1.00059 | 1.0049 |
70 | 99.52 | 99.689 | 99.5971 | 1.00092 | 0.998305 |
71 | 99.44 | 99.8516 | 99.7446 | 1.00107 | 0.995878 |
72 | 99.39 | 99.9226 | 99.8821 | 1.00041 | 0.99467 |
73 | 99.39 | 99.9676 | 99.9996 | 0.99968 | 0.994222 |
74 | 99.4 | 100.004 | 100.115 | 0.998894 | 0.993957 |
75 | 100.43 | 100.246 | 100.218 | 1.00027 | 1.00184 |
76 | 100.62 | 100.296 | 100.319 | 0.999777 | 1.00323 |
77 | 101.05 | 100.463 | 100.415 | 1.00047 | 1.00585 |
78 | 100.95 | 100.567 | 100.507 | 1.00059 | 1.00381 |
79 | 100.95 | NA | NA | 0.998843 | NA |
80 | 100.91 | NA | NA | 0.998477 | NA |
81 | 101.13 | NA | NA | 1.00059 | NA |
82 | 100.81 | NA | NA | 1.00092 | NA |
83 | 100.47 | NA | NA | 1.00107 | NA |
84 | 100.56 | NA | NA | 1.00041 | NA |