Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 86.86 | NA | NA | -1.80113 | NA |
2 | 86.79 | NA | NA | -1.92377 | NA |
3 | 82.52 | NA | NA | -0.956615 | NA |
4 | 86.87 | NA | NA | 0.0562326 | NA |
5 | 81.62 | NA | NA | -3.31703 | NA |
6 | 82.66 | NA | NA | -3.52266 | NA |
7 | 89.87 | 87.9754 | 83.0238 | 4.95165 | 1.8946 |
8 | 92.04 | 88.6419 | 82.1471 | 6.49484 | 3.39807 |
9 | 79.74 | 81.2085 | 81.5679 | -0.359392 | -1.46852 |
10 | 77.75 | 81.3341 | 81.1562 | 0.17783 | -3.58408 |
11 | 79.12 | 80.3458 | 80.7262 | -0.380434 | -1.22582 |
12 | 76.37 | 80.7613 | 80.1808 | 0.580469 | -4.3913 |
13 | 75.01 | 77.8222 | 79.6233 | -1.80113 | -2.8122 |
14 | 77.6 | 77.2512 | 79.175 | -1.92377 | 0.348767 |
15 | 77.81 | 77.6321 | 78.5888 | -0.956615 | 0.177865 |
16 | 81.7 | 78.1837 | 78.1275 | 0.0562326 | 3.51627 |
17 | 76.47 | 74.5063 | 77.8233 | -3.31703 | 1.9637 |
18 | 74.72 | 73.9653 | 77.4879 | -3.52266 | 0.75474 |
19 | 84.43 | 82.185 | 77.2333 | 4.95165 | 2.24502 |
20 | 86.72 | 83.2544 | 76.7596 | 6.49484 | 3.46557 |
21 | 70.99 | 75.8998 | 76.2592 | -0.359392 | -4.90977 |
22 | 75.43 | 76.0628 | 75.885 | 0.17783 | -0.63283 |
23 | 74.14 | 75.1083 | 75.4888 | -0.380434 | -0.968316 |
24 | 73.3 | 75.7846 | 75.2042 | 0.580469 | -2.48464 |
25 | 71.97 | 73.4351 | 75.2362 | -1.80113 | -1.46512 |
26 | 69.27 | 73.6579 | 75.5817 | -1.92377 | -4.3879 |
27 | 74.13 | 75.3167 | 76.2733 | -0.956615 | -1.18672 |
28 | 76.4 | 77.2475 | 77.1912 | 0.0562326 | -0.847483 |
29 | 72.26 | 74.8351 | 78.1521 | -3.31703 | -2.57505 |
30 | 72.1 | 75.9844 | 79.5071 | -3.52266 | -3.88443 |
31 | 87.82 | 85.7733 | 80.8217 | 4.95165 | 2.04668 |
32 | 91.62 | 88.4407 | 81.9458 | 6.49484 | 3.17932 |
33 | 82.69 | 82.7723 | 83.1317 | -0.359392 | -0.0822743 |
34 | 85.76 | 84.3916 | 84.2137 | 0.17783 | 1.36842 |
35 | 86.87 | 84.8196 | 85.2 | -0.380434 | 2.05043 |
36 | 93.09 | 86.7226 | 86.1421 | 0.580469 | 6.36745 |
37 | 83.73 | 85.0714 | 86.8725 | -1.80113 | -1.34137 |
38 | 84.49 | 85.2541 | 87.1779 | -1.92377 | -0.764149 |
39 | 87.37 | 86.5284 | 87.485 | -0.956615 | 0.841615 |
40 | 89.13 | 87.8754 | 87.8192 | 0.0562326 | 1.2546 |
41 | 83.2 | 84.633 | 87.95 | -3.31703 | -1.43297 |
42 | 83.77 | 84.3153 | 87.8379 | -3.52266 | -0.54526 |
43 | 93.68 | 92.86 | 87.9083 | 4.95165 | 0.820017 |
44 | 93.09 | 94.8403 | 88.3454 | 6.49484 | -1.75026 |
45 | 88.59 | 88.3169 | 88.6762 | -0.359392 | 0.273142 |
46 | 87.88 | 89.0691 | 88.8912 | 0.17783 | -1.18908 |
47 | 87.89 | 88.9337 | 89.3142 | -0.380434 | -1.04373 |
48 | 89.38 | 90.5684 | 89.9879 | 0.580469 | -1.18839 |
49 | 89.13 | 88.6947 | 90.4958 | -1.80113 | 0.435295 |
50 | 89.58 | 88.9841 | 90.9079 | -1.92377 | 0.595851 |
51 | 90.22 | 90.678 | 91.6346 | -0.956615 | -0.457969 |
52 | 91.44 | 92.6579 | 92.6017 | 0.0562326 | -1.2179 |
53 | 91.04 | 90.2842 | 93.6012 | -3.31703 | 0.755781 |
54 | 92.1 | 91.0248 | 94.5475 | -3.52266 | 1.07516 |
55 | 97.54 | 100.375 | 95.4233 | 4.95165 | -2.83498 |
56 | 99.12 | 102.767 | 96.2721 | 6.49484 | -3.64693 |
57 | 100 | 96.716 | 97.0754 | -0.359392 | 3.28398 |
58 | 99.68 | 97.9795 | 97.8017 | 0.17783 | 1.7005 |
59 | 100.08 | 98 | 98.3804 | -0.380434 | 2.08002 |
60 | 99.9 | 99.4367 | 98.8562 | 0.580469 | 0.463281 |
61 | 99.63 | 97.4764 | 99.2775 | -1.80113 | 2.15363 |
62 | 99.45 | 97.7291 | 99.6529 | -1.92377 | 1.72085 |
63 | 99.63 | 99.073 | 100.03 | -0.956615 | 0.557031 |
64 | 99.46 | 100.49 | 100.434 | 0.0562326 | -1.02998 |
65 | 96.91 | 97.3809 | 100.698 | -3.31703 | -0.470885 |
66 | 97.65 | 97.4307 | 100.953 | -3.52266 | 0.219323 |
67 | 102.1 | 106.315 | 101.363 | 4.95165 | -4.21457 |
68 | 103.57 | 108.259 | 101.764 | 6.49484 | -4.68901 |
69 | 104.59 | 101.73 | 102.089 | -0.359392 | 2.86023 |
70 | 104.79 | 102.496 | 102.318 | 0.17783 | 2.29384 |
71 | 101.31 | 102.246 | 102.626 | -0.380434 | -0.935816 |
72 | 104.8 | 103.61 | 103.029 | 0.580469 | 1.19036 |
73 | 104.56 | 101.573 | 103.375 | -1.80113 | 2.98655 |
74 | 104.15 | 101.707 | 103.63 | -1.92377 | 2.44335 |
75 | 102.73 | 102.705 | 103.662 | -0.956615 | 0.0249479 |
76 | 101.86 | 103.579 | 103.522 | 0.0562326 | -1.71873 |
77 | 101.9 | 100.184 | 103.501 | -3.31703 | 1.7162 |
78 | 102.33 | 99.9928 | 103.515 | -3.52266 | 2.33724 |
79 | 105.71 | NA | NA | 4.95165 | NA |
80 | 106.1 | NA | NA | 6.49484 | NA |
81 | 102.81 | NA | NA | -0.359392 | NA |
82 | 103.23 | NA | NA | 0.17783 | NA |
83 | 102.35 | NA | NA | -0.380434 | NA |
84 | 104.11 | NA | NA | 0.580469 | NA |