Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 104.4 | NA | NA | -0.863657 | NA |
2 | 104.4 | NA | NA | -1.25984 | NA |
3 | 104.4 | NA | NA | -0.46831 | NA |
4 | 104.4 | NA | NA | 0.24294 | NA |
5 | 104.4 | NA | NA | 1.1678 | NA |
6 | 104.41 | NA | NA | 1.15398 | NA |
7 | 104.42 | 105.73 | 105.148 | 0.581829 | -1.31016 |
8 | 104.68 | 105.635 | 105.326 | 0.308981 | -0.954815 |
9 | 106.02 | 105.968 | 105.777 | 0.190995 | 0.0519213 |
10 | 106.35 | 106.517 | 106.632 | -0.115671 | -0.166829 |
11 | 106.38 | 107.26 | 107.693 | -0.432963 | -0.88037 |
12 | 106.47 | 108.321 | 108.827 | -0.506088 | -1.851 |
13 | 106.5 | 109.098 | 109.962 | -0.863657 | -2.59801 |
14 | 106.56 | 109.829 | 111.089 | -1.25984 | -3.26933 |
15 | 113.07 | 111.685 | 112.153 | -0.46831 | 1.38498 |
16 | 116.26 | 113.393 | 113.15 | 0.24294 | 2.86706 |
17 | 118 | 115.304 | 114.136 | 1.1678 | 2.69637 |
18 | 118.02 | 116.273 | 115.119 | 1.15398 | 1.74727 |
19 | 118.04 | 116.679 | 116.097 | 0.581829 | 1.36109 |
20 | 118.12 | 117.381 | 117.072 | 0.308981 | 0.738935 |
21 | 118.12 | 117.964 | 117.773 | 0.190995 | 0.155671 |
22 | 118.17 | 118.026 | 118.142 | -0.115671 | 0.144005 |
23 | 118.22 | 117.982 | 118.415 | -0.432963 | 0.237963 |
24 | 118.22 | 118.159 | 118.665 | -0.506088 | 0.061088 |
25 | 118.23 | 118.061 | 118.925 | -0.863657 | 0.168657 |
26 | 118.23 | 117.923 | 119.183 | -1.25984 | 0.306505 |
27 | 118.23 | 118.972 | 119.44 | -0.46831 | -0.74169 |
28 | 119.94 | 119.938 | 119.695 | 0.24294 | 0.00247685 |
29 | 120.88 | 121.113 | 119.945 | 1.1678 | -0.232801 |
30 | 121.14 | 121.347 | 120.193 | 1.15398 | -0.207315 |
31 | 121.16 | 121.024 | 120.442 | 0.581829 | 0.136088 |
32 | 121.2 | 121 | 120.691 | 0.308981 | 0.199769 |
33 | 121.2 | 121.162 | 120.971 | 0.190995 | 0.0381713 |
34 | 121.2 | 121.14 | 121.255 | -0.115671 | 0.0602546 |
35 | 121.2 | 121.059 | 121.492 | -0.432963 | 0.141296 |
36 | 121.2 | 121.197 | 121.703 | -0.506088 | 0.0031713 |
37 | 121.22 | 121.053 | 121.917 | -0.863657 | 0.166574 |
38 | 121.22 | 120.878 | 122.138 | -1.25984 | 0.341921 |
39 | 121.95 | 121.894 | 122.362 | -0.46831 | 0.0562269 |
40 | 123.05 | 122.832 | 122.589 | 0.24294 | 0.217894 |
41 | 123.44 | 123.999 | 122.832 | 1.1678 | -0.559468 |
42 | 123.65 | 124.326 | 123.172 | 1.15398 | -0.675648 |
43 | 123.79 | 124.193 | 123.611 | 0.581829 | -0.402662 |
44 | 123.87 | 124.375 | 124.066 | 0.308981 | -0.505231 |
45 | 123.91 | 124.683 | 124.492 | 0.190995 | -0.772662 |
46 | 123.94 | 124.738 | 124.853 | -0.115671 | -0.797662 |
47 | 124.28 | 124.807 | 125.24 | -0.432963 | -0.527454 |
48 | 126.28 | 125.173 | 125.68 | -0.506088 | 1.1065 |
49 | 126.68 | 125.247 | 126.111 | -0.863657 | 1.43282 |
50 | 126.69 | 125.278 | 126.538 | -1.25984 | 1.4115 |
51 | 126.69 | 126.493 | 126.962 | -0.46831 | 0.196644 |
52 | 126.99 | 127.625 | 127.382 | 0.24294 | -0.635023 |
53 | 128.79 | 128.955 | 127.787 | 1.1678 | -0.164884 |
54 | 128.84 | 129.249 | 128.095 | 1.15398 | -0.408565 |
55 | 128.95 | 128.884 | 128.302 | 0.581829 | 0.066088 |
56 | 128.97 | 128.802 | 128.493 | 0.308981 | 0.168102 |
57 | 128.97 | 128.875 | 128.684 | 0.190995 | 0.094838 |
58 | 128.97 | 128.751 | 128.867 | -0.115671 | 0.219005 |
59 | 128.97 | 128.561 | 128.994 | -0.432963 | 0.409213 |
60 | 128.97 | 128.596 | 129.102 | -0.506088 | 0.374005 |
61 | 128.97 | 128.382 | 129.245 | -0.863657 | 0.588241 |
62 | 128.98 | 128.141 | 129.4 | -1.25984 | 0.839421 |
63 | 128.99 | 129.098 | 129.566 | -0.46831 | -0.10794 |
64 | 129.07 | 129.983 | 129.74 | 0.24294 | -0.912523 |
65 | 129.76 | 131.084 | 129.917 | 1.1678 | -1.32447 |
66 | 130.47 | 131.251 | 130.098 | 1.15398 | -0.781481 |
67 | 130.76 | 130.861 | 130.28 | 0.581829 | -0.101412 |
68 | 130.88 | 130.778 | 130.469 | 0.308981 | 0.102269 |
69 | 131.04 | 130.859 | 130.668 | 0.190995 | 0.181088 |
70 | 131.06 | 130.77 | 130.885 | -0.115671 | 0.290255 |
71 | 131.13 | 130.762 | 131.195 | -0.432963 | 0.36838 |
72 | 131.15 | 131.095 | 131.601 | -0.506088 | 0.0552546 |
73 | 131.16 | 131.169 | 132.033 | -0.863657 | -0.00925926 |
74 | 131.33 | 131.211 | 132.471 | -1.25984 | 0.119005 |
75 | 131.42 | 132.459 | 132.927 | -0.46831 | -1.03919 |
76 | 131.86 | 133.651 | 133.408 | 0.24294 | -1.79086 |
77 | 134.39 | 135.056 | 133.888 | 1.1678 | -0.665718 |
78 | 135.59 | 135.515 | 134.361 | 1.15398 | 0.0747685 |
79 | 136.01 | NA | NA | 0.581829 | NA |
80 | 136.14 | NA | NA | 0.308981 | NA |
81 | 136.74 | NA | NA | 0.190995 | NA |
82 | 136.89 | NA | NA | -0.115671 | NA |
83 | 136.82 | NA | NA | -0.432963 | NA |
84 | 136.82 | NA | NA | -0.506088 | NA |