Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 78.7 | NA | NA | -7.57234 | NA |
2 | 75.7 | NA | NA | -5.23275 | NA |
3 | 77.1 | NA | NA | 2.09572 | NA |
4 | 86.1 | NA | NA | 6.00197 | NA |
5 | 86.8 | NA | NA | 4.5735 | NA |
6 | 86.3 | NA | NA | 4.97836 | NA |
7 | 91.5 | 90.6679 | 80.7917 | 9.87627 | 0.83206 |
8 | 90.7 | 84.6367 | 80.2 | 4.43669 | 6.06331 |
9 | 78.2 | 79.2582 | 80.0542 | -0.795949 | -1.05822 |
10 | 73 | 74.6499 | 79.8792 | -5.22928 | -1.64988 |
11 | 73.7 | 74.2999 | 79.5375 | -5.23762 | -0.599884 |
12 | 77.3 | 71.4554 | 79.35 | -7.89456 | 5.84456 |
13 | 67.5 | 71.8402 | 79.4125 | -7.57234 | -4.34016 |
14 | 72.7 | 74.1631 | 79.3958 | -5.23275 | -1.46308 |
15 | 76.6 | 82.1916 | 80.0958 | 2.09572 | -5.59155 |
16 | 82.4 | 88.1645 | 82.1625 | 6.00197 | -5.76447 |
17 | 82.3 | 89.7735 | 85.2 | 4.5735 | -7.4735 |
18 | 86.3 | 93.4075 | 88.4292 | 4.97836 | -7.10752 |
19 | 93 | 101.751 | 91.875 | 9.87627 | -8.75127 |
20 | 88.8 | 100.166 | 95.7292 | 4.43669 | -11.3659 |
21 | 96.9 | 99.0166 | 99.8125 | -0.795949 | -2.11655 |
22 | 103.9 | 99.0541 | 104.283 | -5.22928 | 4.84595 |
23 | 115.7 | 104.392 | 109.629 | -5.23762 | 11.3084 |
24 | 112.8 | 108.135 | 116.029 | -7.89456 | 4.66539 |
25 | 114.7 | 114.903 | 122.475 | -7.57234 | -0.202662 |
26 | 118 | 122.671 | 127.904 | -5.23275 | -4.67141 |
27 | 129.3 | 133.525 | 131.429 | 2.09572 | -4.22488 |
28 | 137 | 138.081 | 132.079 | 6.00197 | -1.08113 |
29 | 156 | 134.082 | 129.508 | 4.5735 | 21.9182 |
30 | 166.2 | 129.962 | 124.983 | 4.97836 | 36.2383 |
31 | 167.8 | 129.839 | 119.962 | 9.87627 | 37.9612 |
32 | 144.3 | 119.183 | 114.746 | 4.43669 | 25.1175 |
33 | 126 | 108.312 | 109.108 | -0.795949 | 17.6876 |
34 | 90.4 | 97.8832 | 103.112 | -5.22928 | -7.48322 |
35 | 67.5 | 91.3791 | 96.6167 | -5.23762 | -23.8791 |
36 | 52.4 | 82.0221 | 89.9167 | -7.89456 | -29.6221 |
37 | 54.6 | 75.486 | 83.0583 | -7.57234 | -20.886 |
38 | 52.9 | 72.0089 | 77.2417 | -5.23275 | -19.1089 |
39 | 59.1 | 75.4499 | 73.3542 | 2.09572 | -16.3499 |
40 | 63.3 | 77.8353 | 71.8333 | 6.00197 | -14.5353 |
41 | 73.8 | 77.811 | 73.2375 | 4.5735 | -4.011 |
42 | 87.6 | 81.2325 | 76.2542 | 4.97836 | 6.36748 |
43 | 81.8 | 89.6679 | 79.7917 | 9.87627 | -7.86794 |
44 | 90.7 | 87.7409 | 83.3042 | 4.43669 | 2.95914 |
45 | 86.3 | 85.9416 | 86.7375 | -0.795949 | 0.358449 |
46 | 93.6 | 85.0291 | 90.2583 | -5.22928 | 8.57095 |
47 | 98 | 87.7416 | 92.9792 | -5.23762 | 10.2584 |
48 | 94.3 | 86.2888 | 94.1833 | -7.89456 | 8.01123 |
49 | 97.6 | 87.4402 | 95.0125 | -7.57234 | 10.1598 |
50 | 94.2 | 90.5464 | 95.7792 | -5.23275 | 3.65359 |
51 | 100.2 | 98.5207 | 96.425 | 2.09572 | 1.67928 |
52 | 106.7 | 103.248 | 97.2458 | 6.00197 | 3.4522 |
53 | 95.7 | 102.59 | 98.0167 | 4.5735 | -6.89016 |
54 | 94.6 | 104.17 | 99.1917 | 4.97836 | -9.57002 |
55 | 94.7 | 110.701 | 100.825 | 9.87627 | -16.0013 |
56 | 96.2 | 107.312 | 102.875 | 4.43669 | -11.1117 |
57 | 96.3 | 104.862 | 105.658 | -0.795949 | -8.56238 |
58 | 103.3 | 103.683 | 108.912 | -5.22928 | -0.383218 |
59 | 106.8 | 107.1 | 112.337 | -5.23762 | -0.299884 |
60 | 113.7 | 107.805 | 115.7 | -7.89456 | 5.89456 |
61 | 117.4 | 111.511 | 119.083 | -7.57234 | 5.889 |
62 | 123.6 | 116.896 | 122.129 | -5.23275 | 6.70359 |
63 | 137.6 | 126.871 | 124.775 | 2.09572 | 10.7293 |
64 | 147.4 | 133.114 | 127.112 | 6.00197 | 14.2855 |
65 | 137.2 | 133.794 | 129.221 | 4.5735 | 3.40567 |
66 | 133.8 | 136.083 | 131.104 | 4.97836 | -2.28252 |
67 | 136.7 | 142.48 | 132.604 | 9.87627 | -5.78044 |
68 | 127.3 | 138.57 | 134.133 | 4.43669 | -11.27 |
69 | 128.7 | 134.617 | 135.412 | -0.795949 | -5.91655 |
70 | 127 | 130.508 | 135.738 | -5.22928 | -3.50822 |
71 | 133.7 | 130.096 | 135.333 | -5.23762 | 3.60428 |
72 | 132 | 126.401 | 134.296 | -7.89456 | 5.59873 |
73 | 135.1 | 125.328 | 132.9 | -7.57234 | 9.77234 |
74 | 142.6 | 127.321 | 132.554 | -5.23275 | 15.2786 |
75 | 149.3 | 135.15 | 133.054 | 2.09572 | 14.1501 |
76 | 143.5 | 139.464 | 133.462 | 6.00197 | 4.03553 |
77 | 131.4 | 137.957 | 133.383 | 4.5735 | -6.55683 |
78 | 114.7 | 137.953 | 132.975 | 4.97836 | -23.2534 |
79 | 122.3 | NA | NA | 9.87627 | NA |
80 | 133.4 | NA | NA | 4.43669 | NA |
81 | 134.6 | NA | NA | -0.795949 | NA |
82 | 130.9 | NA | NA | -5.22928 | NA |
83 | 127.9 | NA | NA | -5.23762 | NA |
84 | 128 | NA | NA | -7.89456 | NA |