| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 104.78 | NA | NA | -0.412736 | NA |
| 2 | 105.56 | NA | NA | -0.870819 | NA |
| 3 | 107.95 | NA | NA | 2.06143 | NA |
| 4 | 107.11 | NA | NA | 2.65026 | NA |
| 5 | 107.47 | NA | NA | 2.77276 | NA |
| 6 | 107.06 | NA | NA | 1.39535 | NA |
| 7 | 99.71 | 100.537 | 106.942 | -6.40432 | -0.827347 |
| 8 | 99.6 | 99.8707 | 107.423 | -7.55224 | -0.270681 |
| 9 | 107.19 | 109.389 | 107.981 | 1.4076 | -2.19885 |
| 10 | 107.26 | 110.214 | 108.763 | 1.45135 | -2.95426 |
| 11 | 113.24 | 111.501 | 109.686 | 1.81485 | 1.7389 |
| 12 | 113.52 | 112.264 | 110.577 | 1.68651 | 1.25599 |
| 13 | 110.48 | 111.038 | 111.451 | -0.412736 | -0.558097 |
| 14 | 111.41 | 111.418 | 112.289 | -0.870819 | -0.00793056 |
| 15 | 115.5 | 115.217 | 113.156 | 2.06143 | 0.282736 |
| 16 | 118.32 | 116.734 | 114.083 | 2.65026 | 1.5864 |
| 17 | 118.42 | 117.435 | 114.662 | 2.77276 | 0.984736 |
| 18 | 117.5 | 116.202 | 114.806 | 1.39535 | 1.2984 |
| 19 | 110.23 | 108.549 | 114.953 | -6.40432 | 1.6814 |
| 20 | 109.19 | 107.644 | 115.197 | -7.55224 | 1.54557 |
| 21 | 118.41 | 116.772 | 115.365 | 1.4076 | 1.63782 |
| 22 | 118.3 | 117.084 | 115.632 | 1.45135 | 1.21615 |
| 23 | 116.1 | 117.892 | 116.077 | 1.81485 | -1.79193 |
| 24 | 114.11 | 118.232 | 116.545 | 1.68651 | -4.12193 |
| 25 | 113.41 | 116.62 | 117.032 | -0.412736 | -3.20976 |
| 26 | 114.33 | 116.643 | 117.514 | -0.870819 | -2.31335 |
| 27 | 116.61 | 120.024 | 117.962 | 2.06143 | -3.41351 |
| 28 | 123.64 | 121.038 | 118.388 | 2.65026 | 2.60182 |
| 29 | 123.77 | 121.31 | 118.537 | 2.77276 | 2.46015 |
| 30 | 123.39 | 119.87 | 118.475 | 1.39535 | 3.52007 |
| 31 | 116.03 | 112.116 | 118.52 | -6.40432 | 3.91432 |
| 32 | 114.95 | 110.942 | 118.494 | -7.55224 | 4.00807 |
| 33 | 123.4 | 119.783 | 118.375 | 1.4076 | 3.6174 |
| 34 | 123.53 | 119.409 | 117.958 | 1.45135 | 4.12074 |
| 35 | 114.45 | 119.102 | 117.287 | 1.81485 | -4.65193 |
| 36 | 114.26 | 118.319 | 116.633 | 1.68651 | -4.05901 |
| 37 | 114.35 | 115.414 | 115.826 | -0.412736 | -1.06351 |
| 38 | 112.77 | 114.016 | 114.887 | -0.870819 | -1.24585 |
| 39 | 115.31 | 116.098 | 114.037 | 2.06143 | -0.788097 |
| 40 | 114.93 | 115.963 | 113.313 | 2.65026 | -1.03318 |
| 41 | 116.38 | 115.845 | 113.072 | 2.77276 | 0.535153 |
| 42 | 115.07 | 114.611 | 113.216 | 1.39535 | 0.458819 |
| 43 | 105 | 106.92 | 113.325 | -6.40432 | -1.92026 |
| 44 | 103.43 | 105.857 | 113.409 | -7.55224 | -2.42651 |
| 45 | 114.52 | 114.875 | 113.467 | 1.4076 | -0.354681 |
| 46 | 115.04 | 114.945 | 113.494 | 1.45135 | 0.0949028 |
| 47 | 117.16 | 115.152 | 113.337 | 1.81485 | 2.00849 |
| 48 | 115 | 114.745 | 113.059 | 1.68651 | 0.254736 |
| 49 | 116.22 | 112.453 | 112.865 | -0.412736 | 3.76732 |
| 50 | 112.92 | 111.923 | 112.794 | -0.870819 | 0.996653 |
| 51 | 116.56 | 114.738 | 112.676 | 2.06143 | 1.82232 |
| 52 | 114.32 | 115.138 | 112.488 | 2.65026 | -0.817764 |
| 53 | 113.22 | 115.223 | 112.45 | 2.77276 | -2.00318 |
| 54 | 111.56 | 114.226 | 112.83 | 1.39535 | -2.66576 |
| 55 | 103.87 | 106.716 | 113.12 | -6.40432 | -2.84568 |
| 56 | 102.85 | 105.704 | 113.256 | -7.55224 | -2.85401 |
| 57 | 112.27 | 114.969 | 113.562 | 1.4076 | -2.69926 |
| 58 | 112.76 | 115.235 | 113.784 | 1.45135 | -2.4751 |
| 59 | 118.55 | 115.851 | 114.036 | 1.81485 | 2.6989 |
| 60 | 122.73 | 116.057 | 114.371 | 1.68651 | 6.67265 |
| 61 | 115.44 | 114.374 | 114.786 | -0.412736 | 1.06649 |
| 62 | 116.97 | 114.397 | 115.268 | -0.870819 | 2.5729 |
| 63 | 119.84 | 117.741 | 115.68 | 2.06143 | 2.09899 |
| 64 | 116.37 | 118.705 | 116.055 | 2.65026 | -2.33485 |
| 65 | 117.23 | 119.204 | 116.432 | 2.77276 | -1.97443 |
| 66 | 115.58 | 118.189 | 116.794 | 1.39535 | -2.6091 |
| 67 | 109.82 | NA | NA | -6.40432 | NA |
| 68 | 108.46 | NA | NA | -7.55224 | NA |
| 69 | 116.54 | NA | NA | 1.4076 | NA |
| 70 | 117.49 | NA | NA | 1.45135 | NA |
| 71 | 122.87 | NA | NA | 1.81485 | NA |
| 72 | 127.1 | NA | NA | 1.68651 | NA |
