Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8946 |
R-squared | 0.8003 |
RMSE | 18.4481 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 119.992 | 141.053727272727 | -21.0617272727273 |
2 | 122.4 | 121.613333333333 | 0.786666666666676 |
3 | 116.682 | 115.429885714286 | 1.25211428571428 |
4 | 116.676 | 121.613333333333 | -4.93733333333333 |
5 | 116.014 | 121.613333333333 | -5.59933333333333 |
6 | 120.552 | 115.429885714286 | 5.12211428571429 |
7 | 120.267 | 121.613333333333 | -1.34633333333333 |
8 | 107.332 | 101.127714285714 | 6.2042857142857 |
9 | 95.73 | 115.429885714286 | -19.6998857142857 |
10 | 95.056 | 101.127714285714 | -6.07171428571429 |
11 | 88.333 | 101.127714285714 | -12.7947142857143 |
12 | 91.904 | 101.127714285714 | -9.22371428571429 |
13 | 136.926 | 169.638953125 | -32.712953125 |
14 | 139.173 | 169.638953125 | -30.465953125 |
15 | 152.845 | 169.638953125 | -16.793953125 |
16 | 142.167 | 169.638953125 | -27.471953125 |
17 | 144.188 | 169.638953125 | -25.450953125 |
18 | 168.778 | 169.638953125 | -0.860953125000009 |
19 | 153.046 | 141.053727272727 | 11.9922727272727 |
20 | 156.405 | 141.053727272727 | 15.3512727272727 |
21 | 153.848 | 141.053727272727 | 12.7942727272727 |
22 | 153.88 | 169.638953125 | -15.758953125 |
23 | 167.93 | 169.638953125 | -1.70895312499999 |
24 | 173.917 | 169.638953125 | 4.278046875 |
25 | 163.656 | 141.053727272727 | 22.6022727272727 |
26 | 104.4 | 141.053727272727 | -36.6537272727273 |
27 | 171.041 | 169.638953125 | 1.402046875 |
28 | 146.845 | 169.638953125 | -22.793953125 |
29 | 155.358 | 169.638953125 | -14.280953125 |
30 | 162.568 | 169.638953125 | -7.07095312499999 |
31 | 197.076 | 207.738 | -10.662 |
32 | 199.228 | 207.738 | -8.50999999999999 |
33 | 198.383 | 207.738 | -9.35499999999999 |
34 | 202.266 | 207.738 | -5.47200000000001 |
35 | 203.184 | 207.738 | -4.554 |
36 | 201.464 | 207.738 | -6.274 |
37 | 177.876 | 185.517470588235 | -7.64147058823531 |
38 | 176.17 | 185.517470588235 | -9.34747058823532 |
39 | 180.198 | 185.517470588235 | -5.3194705882353 |
40 | 187.733 | 185.517470588235 | 2.21552941176469 |
41 | 186.163 | 185.517470588235 | 0.645529411764699 |
42 | 184.055 | 185.517470588235 | -1.46247058823531 |
43 | 237.226 | 239.46825 | -2.24225000000001 |
44 | 241.404 | 239.46825 | 1.93574999999998 |
45 | 243.439 | 239.46825 | 3.97074999999998 |
46 | 242.852 | 239.46825 | 3.38374999999999 |
47 | 245.51 | 239.46825 | 6.04174999999998 |
48 | 252.455 | 207.738 | 44.717 |
49 | 122.188 | 115.429885714286 | 6.75811428571429 |
50 | 122.964 | 115.429885714286 | 7.53411428571428 |
51 | 124.445 | 121.613333333333 | 2.83166666666666 |
52 | 126.344 | 115.429885714286 | 10.9141142857143 |
53 | 128.001 | 121.613333333333 | 6.38766666666668 |
54 | 129.336 | 121.613333333333 | 7.72266666666668 |
55 | 108.807 | 115.429885714286 | -6.62288571428572 |
56 | 109.86 | 115.429885714286 | -5.56988571428572 |
57 | 110.417 | 115.429885714286 | -5.01288571428572 |
58 | 117.274 | 115.429885714286 | 1.84411428571428 |
59 | 116.879 | 115.429885714286 | 1.44911428571429 |
60 | 114.847 | 141.053727272727 | -26.2067272727273 |
61 | 209.144 | 169.638953125 | 39.505046875 |
62 | 223.365 | 169.638953125 | 53.726046875 |
63 | 222.236 | 239.46825 | -17.23225 |
64 | 228.832 | 239.46825 | -10.63625 |
65 | 229.401 | 239.46825 | -10.06725 |
66 | 228.969 | 169.638953125 | 59.330046875 |
67 | 140.341 | 141.053727272727 | -0.712727272727278 |
68 | 136.969 | 141.053727272727 | -4.08472727272729 |
69 | 143.533 | 141.053727272727 | 2.4792727272727 |
70 | 148.09 | 141.053727272727 | 7.03627272727272 |
71 | 142.729 | 141.053727272727 | 1.67527272727273 |
72 | 136.358 | 141.053727272727 | -4.69572727272728 |
73 | 120.08 | 121.613333333333 | -1.53333333333333 |
74 | 112.014 | 141.053727272727 | -29.0397272727273 |
75 | 110.793 | 115.429885714286 | -4.63688571428571 |
76 | 110.707 | 115.429885714286 | -4.72288571428572 |
77 | 112.876 | 121.613333333333 | -8.73733333333332 |
78 | 110.568 | 115.429885714286 | -4.86188571428572 |
79 | 95.385 | 101.127714285714 | -5.74271428571429 |
80 | 100.77 | 101.127714285714 | -0.357714285714295 |
81 | 96.106 | 101.127714285714 | -5.0217142857143 |
82 | 95.605 | 101.127714285714 | -5.52271428571429 |
83 | 100.96 | 101.127714285714 | -0.167714285714297 |
84 | 98.804 | 101.127714285714 | -2.32371428571429 |
85 | 176.858 | 169.638953125 | 7.219046875 |
86 | 180.978 | 185.517470588235 | -4.5394705882353 |
87 | 178.222 | 169.638953125 | 8.58304687500001 |
88 | 176.281 | 169.638953125 | 6.64204687500001 |
89 | 173.898 | 169.638953125 | 4.259046875 |
90 | 179.711 | 169.638953125 | 10.072046875 |
91 | 166.605 | 169.638953125 | -3.03395312500001 |
92 | 151.955 | 169.638953125 | -17.683953125 |
93 | 148.272 | 169.638953125 | -21.366953125 |
94 | 152.125 | 169.638953125 | -17.513953125 |
95 | 157.821 | 169.638953125 | -11.817953125 |
96 | 157.447 | 185.517470588235 | -28.0704705882353 |
97 | 159.116 | 169.638953125 | -10.522953125 |
98 | 125.036 | 121.613333333333 | 3.42266666666667 |
99 | 125.791 | 121.613333333333 | 4.17766666666667 |
100 | 126.512 | 121.613333333333 | 4.89866666666667 |
101 | 125.641 | 121.613333333333 | 4.02766666666668 |
102 | 128.451 | 121.613333333333 | 6.83766666666666 |
103 | 139.224 | 141.053727272727 | -1.8297272727273 |
104 | 150.258 | 169.638953125 | -19.380953125 |
105 | 154.003 | 169.638953125 | -15.635953125 |
106 | 149.689 | 169.638953125 | -19.949953125 |
107 | 155.078 | 169.638953125 | -14.560953125 |
108 | 151.884 | 169.638953125 | -17.754953125 |
109 | 151.989 | 169.638953125 | -17.649953125 |
110 | 193.03 | 169.638953125 | 23.391046875 |
111 | 200.714 | 169.638953125 | 31.075046875 |
112 | 208.519 | 207.738 | 0.781000000000006 |
113 | 204.664 | 207.738 | -3.07400000000001 |
114 | 210.141 | 207.738 | 2.40299999999999 |
115 | 206.327 | 169.638953125 | 36.688046875 |
116 | 151.872 | 141.053727272727 | 10.8182727272727 |
117 | 158.219 | 169.638953125 | -11.419953125 |
118 | 170.756 | 169.638953125 | 1.117046875 |
119 | 178.285 | 169.638953125 | 8.646046875 |
120 | 217.116 | 169.638953125 | 47.477046875 |
121 | 128.94 | 141.053727272727 | -12.1137272727273 |
122 | 176.824 | 169.638953125 | 7.18504687500001 |
123 | 138.19 | 141.053727272727 | -2.86372727272729 |
124 | 182.018 | 141.053727272727 | 40.9642727272727 |
125 | 156.239 | 169.638953125 | -13.399953125 |
126 | 145.174 | 141.053727272727 | 4.12027272727272 |
127 | 138.145 | 169.638953125 | -31.493953125 |
128 | 166.888 | 169.638953125 | -2.750953125 |
129 | 119.031 | 115.429885714286 | 3.60111428571429 |
130 | 120.078 | 115.429885714286 | 4.64811428571429 |
131 | 120.289 | 115.429885714286 | 4.85911428571428 |
132 | 120.256 | 115.429885714286 | 4.82611428571428 |
133 | 119.056 | 115.429885714286 | 3.62611428571428 |
134 | 118.747 | 115.429885714286 | 3.31711428571428 |
135 | 106.516 | 101.127714285714 | 5.38828571428571 |
136 | 110.453 | 115.429885714286 | -4.97688571428571 |
137 | 113.4 | 115.429885714286 | -2.02988571428571 |
138 | 113.166 | 115.429885714286 | -2.26388571428572 |
139 | 112.239 | 115.429885714286 | -3.19088571428571 |
140 | 116.15 | 115.429885714286 | 0.720114285714288 |
141 | 170.368 | 169.638953125 | 0.729046874999995 |
142 | 208.083 | 169.638953125 | 38.444046875 |
143 | 198.458 | 185.517470588235 | 12.9405294117647 |
144 | 202.805 | 169.638953125 | 33.166046875 |
145 | 202.544 | 185.517470588235 | 17.0265294117647 |
146 | 223.361 | 169.638953125 | 53.722046875 |
147 | 169.774 | 185.517470588235 | -15.7434705882353 |
148 | 183.52 | 185.517470588235 | -1.9974705882353 |
149 | 188.62 | 185.517470588235 | 3.10252941176469 |
150 | 202.632 | 185.517470588235 | 17.1145294117647 |
151 | 186.695 | 185.517470588235 | 1.17752941176468 |
152 | 192.818 | 185.517470588235 | 7.3005294117647 |
153 | 198.116 | 185.517470588235 | 12.5985294117647 |
154 | 121.345 | 121.613333333333 | -0.268333333333331 |
155 | 119.1 | 115.429885714286 | 3.67011428571428 |
156 | 117.87 | 115.429885714286 | 2.44011428571429 |
157 | 122.336 | 121.613333333333 | 0.722666666666669 |
158 | 117.963 | 115.429885714286 | 2.53311428571428 |
159 | 126.144 | 121.613333333333 | 4.53066666666668 |
160 | 127.93 | 121.613333333333 | 6.31666666666668 |
161 | 114.238 | 115.429885714286 | -1.19188571428572 |
162 | 115.322 | 121.613333333333 | -6.29133333333333 |
163 | 114.554 | 115.429885714286 | -0.875885714285715 |
164 | 112.15 | 115.429885714286 | -3.27988571428571 |
165 | 102.273 | 121.613333333333 | -19.3403333333333 |
166 | 236.2 | 169.638953125 | 66.561046875 |
167 | 237.323 | 239.46825 | -2.14525 |
168 | 260.105 | 239.46825 | 20.63675 |
169 | 197.569 | 169.638953125 | 27.930046875 |
170 | 240.301 | 239.46825 | 0.832749999999976 |
171 | 244.99 | 239.46825 | 5.52175 |
172 | 112.547 | 115.429885714286 | -2.88288571428572 |
173 | 110.739 | 101.127714285714 | 9.61128571428571 |
174 | 113.715 | 101.127714285714 | 12.5872857142857 |
175 | 117.004 | 121.613333333333 | -4.60933333333332 |
176 | 115.38 | 115.429885714286 | -0.0498857142857219 |
177 | 116.388 | 115.429885714286 | 0.958114285714288 |
178 | 151.737 | 169.638953125 | -17.901953125 |
179 | 148.79 | 169.638953125 | -20.848953125 |
180 | 148.143 | 169.638953125 | -21.495953125 |
181 | 150.44 | 169.638953125 | -19.198953125 |
182 | 148.462 | 169.638953125 | -21.176953125 |
183 | 149.818 | 169.638953125 | -19.820953125 |
184 | 117.226 | 115.429885714286 | 1.79611428571428 |
185 | 116.848 | 141.053727272727 | -24.2057272727273 |
186 | 116.286 | 169.638953125 | -53.352953125 |
187 | 116.556 | 169.638953125 | -53.082953125 |
188 | 116.342 | 169.638953125 | -53.296953125 |
189 | 114.563 | 101.127714285714 | 13.4352857142857 |
190 | 201.774 | 169.638953125 | 32.135046875 |
191 | 174.188 | 169.638953125 | 4.54904687499999 |
192 | 209.516 | 169.638953125 | 39.877046875 |
193 | 174.688 | 141.053727272727 | 33.6342727272727 |
194 | 198.764 | 169.638953125 | 29.125046875 |
195 | 214.289 | 169.638953125 | 44.650046875 |