Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8607 |
R-squared | 0.7408 |
RMSE | 21.0193 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 119.992 | 98.0586363636364 | 21.9333636363636 |
2 | 122.4 | 119.453214285714 | 2.94678571428572 |
3 | 116.682 | 119.453214285714 | -2.77121428571428 |
4 | 116.676 | 119.453214285714 | -2.77721428571428 |
5 | 116.014 | 119.453214285714 | -3.43921428571429 |
6 | 120.552 | 119.453214285714 | 1.09878571428573 |
7 | 120.267 | 119.453214285714 | 0.813785714285714 |
8 | 107.332 | 111.587571428571 | -4.25557142857143 |
9 | 95.73 | 98.0586363636364 | -2.32863636363636 |
10 | 95.056 | 98.0586363636364 | -3.00263636363637 |
11 | 88.333 | 98.0586363636364 | -9.72563636363637 |
12 | 91.904 | 98.0586363636364 | -6.15463636363637 |
13 | 136.926 | 156.801259259259 | -19.8752592592593 |
14 | 139.173 | 156.801259259259 | -17.6282592592593 |
15 | 152.845 | 141.825438356164 | 11.0195616438356 |
16 | 142.167 | 141.825438356164 | 0.341561643835604 |
17 | 144.188 | 141.825438356164 | 2.36256164383559 |
18 | 168.778 | 141.825438356164 | 26.9525616438356 |
19 | 153.046 | 141.825438356164 | 11.2205616438356 |
20 | 156.405 | 141.825438356164 | 14.5795616438356 |
21 | 153.848 | 141.825438356164 | 12.0225616438356 |
22 | 153.88 | 141.825438356164 | 12.0545616438356 |
23 | 167.93 | 141.825438356164 | 26.1045616438356 |
24 | 173.917 | 141.825438356164 | 32.0915616438356 |
25 | 163.656 | 156.801259259259 | 6.85474074074074 |
26 | 104.4 | 141.825438356164 | -37.4254383561644 |
27 | 171.041 | 156.801259259259 | 14.2397407407407 |
28 | 146.845 | 156.801259259259 | -9.95625925925927 |
29 | 155.358 | 141.825438356164 | 13.5325616438356 |
30 | 162.568 | 156.801259259259 | 5.76674074074074 |
31 | 197.076 | 193.747296296296 | 3.3287037037037 |
32 | 199.228 | 193.747296296296 | 5.48070370370371 |
33 | 198.383 | 193.747296296296 | 4.63570370370371 |
34 | 202.266 | 193.747296296296 | 8.51870370370369 |
35 | 203.184 | 193.747296296296 | 9.4367037037037 |
36 | 201.464 | 193.747296296296 | 7.7167037037037 |
37 | 177.876 | 193.747296296296 | -15.8712962962963 |
38 | 176.17 | 193.747296296296 | -17.5772962962963 |
39 | 180.198 | 193.747296296296 | -13.5492962962963 |
40 | 187.733 | 193.747296296296 | -6.01429629629629 |
41 | 186.163 | 193.747296296296 | -7.58429629629629 |
42 | 184.055 | 193.747296296296 | -9.69229629629629 |
43 | 237.226 | 239.46825 | -2.24225000000001 |
44 | 241.404 | 239.46825 | 1.93574999999998 |
45 | 243.439 | 239.46825 | 3.97074999999998 |
46 | 242.852 | 239.46825 | 3.38374999999999 |
47 | 245.51 | 239.46825 | 6.04174999999998 |
48 | 252.455 | 193.747296296296 | 58.7077037037037 |
49 | 122.188 | 141.825438356164 | -19.6374383561644 |
50 | 122.964 | 119.453214285714 | 3.51078571428572 |
51 | 124.445 | 119.453214285714 | 4.99178571428571 |
52 | 126.344 | 119.453214285714 | 6.89078571428571 |
53 | 128.001 | 143.284285714286 | -15.2832857142857 |
54 | 129.336 | 143.284285714286 | -13.9482857142857 |
55 | 108.807 | 111.587571428571 | -2.78057142857142 |
56 | 109.86 | 111.587571428571 | -1.72757142857142 |
57 | 110.417 | 111.587571428571 | -1.17057142857142 |
58 | 117.274 | 119.453214285714 | -2.17921428571428 |
59 | 116.879 | 119.453214285714 | -2.57421428571428 |
60 | 114.847 | 111.587571428571 | 3.25942857142857 |
61 | 209.144 | 206.6692 | 2.47480000000002 |
62 | 223.365 | 206.6692 | 16.6958 |
63 | 222.236 | 239.46825 | -17.23225 |
64 | 228.832 | 239.46825 | -10.63625 |
65 | 229.401 | 239.46825 | -10.06725 |
66 | 228.969 | 206.6692 | 22.2998 |
67 | 140.341 | 156.801259259259 | -16.4602592592593 |
68 | 136.969 | 141.825438356164 | -4.8564383561644 |
69 | 143.533 | 141.825438356164 | 1.70756164383559 |
70 | 148.09 | 141.825438356164 | 6.26456164383561 |
71 | 142.729 | 141.825438356164 | 0.903561643835616 |
72 | 136.358 | 141.825438356164 | -5.46743835616439 |
73 | 120.08 | 119.453214285714 | 0.626785714285717 |
74 | 112.014 | 111.587571428571 | 0.426428571428573 |
75 | 110.793 | 111.587571428571 | -0.794571428571416 |
76 | 110.707 | 111.587571428571 | -0.880571428571429 |
77 | 112.876 | 111.587571428571 | 1.28842857142858 |
78 | 110.568 | 111.587571428571 | -1.01957142857142 |
79 | 95.385 | 98.0586363636364 | -2.67363636363636 |
80 | 100.77 | 98.0586363636364 | 2.71136363636363 |
81 | 96.106 | 98.0586363636364 | -1.95263636363637 |
82 | 95.605 | 98.0586363636364 | -2.45363636363636 |
83 | 100.96 | 98.0586363636364 | 2.90136363636363 |
84 | 98.804 | 98.0586363636364 | 0.745363636363635 |
85 | 176.858 | 141.825438356164 | 35.0325616438356 |
86 | 180.978 | 193.747296296296 | -12.7692962962963 |
87 | 178.222 | 141.825438356164 | 36.3965616438356 |
88 | 176.281 | 141.825438356164 | 34.4555616438356 |
89 | 173.898 | 141.825438356164 | 32.0725616438356 |
90 | 179.711 | 141.825438356164 | 37.8855616438356 |
91 | 166.605 | 141.825438356164 | 24.7795616438356 |
92 | 151.955 | 141.825438356164 | 10.1295616438356 |
93 | 148.272 | 156.801259259259 | -8.52925925925928 |
94 | 152.125 | 156.801259259259 | -4.67625925925927 |
95 | 157.821 | 141.825438356164 | 15.9955616438356 |
96 | 157.447 | 193.747296296296 | -36.3002962962963 |
97 | 159.116 | 156.801259259259 | 2.31474074074075 |
98 | 125.036 | 141.825438356164 | -16.7894383561644 |
99 | 125.791 | 141.825438356164 | -16.0344383561644 |
100 | 126.512 | 141.825438356164 | -15.3134383561644 |
101 | 125.641 | 141.825438356164 | -16.1844383561644 |
102 | 128.451 | 141.825438356164 | -13.3744383561644 |
103 | 139.224 | 141.825438356164 | -2.60143835616441 |
104 | 150.258 | 156.801259259259 | -6.54325925925926 |
105 | 154.003 | 156.801259259259 | -2.79825925925928 |
106 | 149.689 | 156.801259259259 | -7.11225925925928 |
107 | 155.078 | 156.801259259259 | -1.72325925925927 |
108 | 151.884 | 156.801259259259 | -4.91725925925928 |
109 | 151.989 | 156.801259259259 | -4.81225925925926 |
110 | 193.03 | 141.825438356164 | 51.2045616438356 |
111 | 200.714 | 156.801259259259 | 43.9127407407407 |
112 | 208.519 | 193.747296296296 | 14.7717037037037 |
113 | 204.664 | 193.747296296296 | 10.9167037037037 |
114 | 210.141 | 193.747296296296 | 16.3937037037037 |
115 | 206.327 | 156.801259259259 | 49.5257407407407 |
116 | 151.872 | 156.801259259259 | -4.92925925925925 |
117 | 158.219 | 156.801259259259 | 1.41774074074073 |
118 | 170.756 | 141.825438356164 | 28.9305616438356 |
119 | 178.285 | 156.801259259259 | 21.4837407407407 |
120 | 217.116 | 156.801259259259 | 60.3147407407407 |
121 | 128.94 | 141.825438356164 | -12.8854383561644 |
122 | 176.824 | 156.801259259259 | 20.0227407407407 |
123 | 138.19 | 141.825438356164 | -3.6354383561644 |
124 | 182.018 | 141.825438356164 | 40.1925616438356 |
125 | 156.239 | 141.825438356164 | 14.4135616438356 |
126 | 145.174 | 141.825438356164 | 3.34856164383561 |
127 | 138.145 | 141.825438356164 | -3.68043835616439 |
128 | 166.888 | 141.825438356164 | 25.0625616438356 |
129 | 119.031 | 156.801259259259 | -37.7702592592593 |
130 | 120.078 | 141.825438356164 | -21.7474383561644 |
131 | 120.289 | 156.801259259259 | -36.5122592592593 |
132 | 120.256 | 156.801259259259 | -36.5452592592593 |
133 | 119.056 | 141.825438356164 | -22.7694383561644 |
134 | 118.747 | 141.825438356164 | -23.0784383561644 |
135 | 106.516 | 141.825438356164 | -35.3094383561644 |
136 | 110.453 | 141.825438356164 | -31.3724383561644 |
137 | 113.4 | 141.825438356164 | -28.4254383561644 |
138 | 113.166 | 141.825438356164 | -28.6594383561644 |
139 | 112.239 | 141.825438356164 | -29.5864383561644 |
140 | 116.15 | 141.825438356164 | -25.6754383561644 |
141 | 170.368 | 141.825438356164 | 28.5425616438356 |
142 | 208.083 | 141.825438356164 | 66.2575616438356 |
143 | 198.458 | 193.747296296296 | 4.7107037037037 |
144 | 202.805 | 141.825438356164 | 60.9795616438356 |
145 | 202.544 | 193.747296296296 | 8.79670370370371 |
146 | 223.361 | 141.825438356164 | 81.5355616438356 |
147 | 169.774 | 193.747296296296 | -23.9732962962963 |
148 | 183.52 | 193.747296296296 | -10.2272962962963 |
149 | 188.62 | 193.747296296296 | -5.12729629629629 |
150 | 202.632 | 193.747296296296 | 8.88470370370371 |
151 | 186.695 | 193.747296296296 | -7.0522962962963 |
152 | 192.818 | 193.747296296296 | -0.929296296296286 |
153 | 198.116 | 193.747296296296 | 4.36870370370372 |
154 | 121.345 | 141.825438356164 | -20.4804383561644 |
155 | 119.1 | 141.825438356164 | -22.7254383561644 |
156 | 117.87 | 141.825438356164 | -23.9554383561644 |
157 | 122.336 | 141.825438356164 | -19.4894383561644 |
158 | 117.963 | 141.825438356164 | -23.8624383561644 |
159 | 126.144 | 141.825438356164 | -15.6814383561644 |
160 | 127.93 | 141.825438356164 | -13.8954383561644 |
161 | 114.238 | 141.825438356164 | -27.5874383561644 |
162 | 115.322 | 141.825438356164 | -26.5034383561644 |
163 | 114.554 | 141.825438356164 | -27.2714383561644 |
164 | 112.15 | 141.825438356164 | -29.6754383561644 |
165 | 102.273 | 141.825438356164 | -39.5524383561644 |
166 | 236.2 | 206.6692 | 29.5308 |
167 | 237.323 | 239.46825 | -2.14525 |
168 | 260.105 | 239.46825 | 20.63675 |
169 | 197.569 | 206.6692 | -9.1002 |
170 | 240.301 | 239.46825 | 0.832749999999976 |
171 | 244.99 | 239.46825 | 5.52175 |
172 | 112.547 | 111.587571428571 | 0.959428571428575 |
173 | 110.739 | 111.587571428571 | -0.848571428571418 |
174 | 113.715 | 111.587571428571 | 2.12742857142858 |
175 | 117.004 | 111.587571428571 | 5.41642857142858 |
176 | 115.38 | 119.453214285714 | -4.07321428571429 |
177 | 116.388 | 119.453214285714 | -3.06521428571428 |
178 | 151.737 | 156.801259259259 | -5.06425925925927 |
179 | 148.79 | 143.284285714286 | 5.50571428571428 |
180 | 148.143 | 143.284285714286 | 4.85871428571429 |
181 | 150.44 | 143.284285714286 | 7.15571428571428 |
182 | 148.462 | 143.284285714286 | 5.17771428571427 |
183 | 149.818 | 143.284285714286 | 6.5337142857143 |
184 | 117.226 | 141.825438356164 | -24.5994383561644 |
185 | 116.848 | 141.825438356164 | -24.9774383561644 |
186 | 116.286 | 141.825438356164 | -25.5394383561644 |
187 | 116.556 | 141.825438356164 | -25.2694383561644 |
188 | 116.342 | 141.825438356164 | -25.4834383561644 |
189 | 114.563 | 141.825438356164 | -27.2624383561644 |
190 | 201.774 | 141.825438356164 | 59.9485616438356 |
191 | 174.188 | 206.6692 | -32.4812 |
192 | 209.516 | 206.6692 | 2.8468 |
193 | 174.688 | 206.6692 | -31.9812 |
194 | 198.764 | 206.6692 | -7.90519999999998 |
195 | 214.289 | 206.6692 | 7.6198 |