| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5504 | 0.2224 | -0.2904 | -0.8881 | 0.8707 | 0.1087 | -0.7424 |
| (p-val) | (3e-04 ) | (0.0921 ) | (0.0227 ) | (0 ) | (0.0015 ) | (0.6272 ) | (0.0459 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.5476 | 0.2393 | -0.2981 | -0.891 | 0.9922 | 0 | -0.8518 |
| (p-val) | (3e-04 ) | (0.0591 ) | (0.0183 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.6209 | 0 | -0.2059 | -0.872 | 0.9953 | 0 | -0.8839 |
| (p-val) | (3e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.0673 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.7521 | 0 | 0 | 0.5142 | 0.9844 | 0 | -0.7662 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0137 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (5e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.00509985932295509 |
| -0.320818222286888 |
| -0.197117196687452 |
| -0.273021303154159 |
| -0.259307390005561 |
| 0.117630375827139 |
| 0.555831262688101 |
| 0.010351517675088 |
| 0.186684058005416 |
| 0.364862612399688 |
| 0.208424913402032 |
| 0.0647618673786489 |
| 0.0525051410399968 |
| 0.321269449652341 |
| -0.350838864527021 |
| 0.0658651693688728 |
| 0.149554375196613 |
| -0.114936607453198 |
| -0.0612678864901738 |
| -0.00290255501150305 |
| 0.299406072944713 |
| -0.236384620475663 |
| 0.0015162047029825 |
| -0.0938556758527673 |
| 0.124750000263356 |
| -0.471783613685228 |
| 0.234820874083843 |
| -0.0203883669827977 |
| -0.129022235700457 |
| 0.041076861804919 |
| -0.29004767860936 |
| 0.314346990835869 |
| 0.191624455541518 |
| 0.303417989902342 |
| -0.268503945062622 |
| 0.289915006795012 |
| -0.0448823511961261 |
| 0.213557197426895 |
| -0.0820876439224611 |
| 0.236085417896762 |
| 0.173065057049405 |
| 0.251710933962102 |
| -0.160389171911666 |
| 0.40817566275154 |
| 0.0820190953928902 |
| 0.0173582939155595 |
| -0.0866614148161779 |
| 0.000536593053893895 |
| 0.329911858162196 |
| 0.115744305385573 |
| 0.0621722848647087 |
| -0.0861085957245128 |
| 0.0753749365683205 |
| -0.250523461798932 |
| -0.228666727370203 |
| 0.0163675459851644 |
| -0.129247437631836 |
| 0.0984376599509383 |
| 0.100778218291185 |
| -0.0302527053025421 |
| -0.1037533234522 |
| -0.218990024090205 |
| 0.187279008866825 |
| 0.330481842656331 |
| -0.412290770407357 |
| 0.0545177145540067 |
| -0.122307642656818 |
| -0.0956975808541104 |
| 0.143309956329961 |
| 0.0187572159841698 |
| 0.0916514301580276 |
| -0.114220581652296 |
| 0.0100967146974866 |
| -0.318283738127712 |
| 0.2145351886932 |
| -0.141165358157766 |
| 0.131873070807267 |
