Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 79.57 | NA | NA | 0.321823 | NA |
2 | 77.45 | NA | NA | 0.017309 | NA |
3 | 75.79 | NA | NA | -0.132066 | NA |
4 | 74.88 | NA | NA | -0.122205 | NA |
5 | 74.5 | NA | NA | -0.314913 | NA |
6 | 74.59 | NA | NA | -0.0203299 | NA |
7 | 74.59 | 74.6715 | 74.4292 | 0.242378 | -0.0815451 |
8 | 73.57 | 73.9186 | 73.8679 | 0.0506424 | -0.348559 |
9 | 73.3 | 73.3536 | 73.4021 | -0.0485243 | -0.053559 |
10 | 73.23 | 72.9617 | 73.0192 | -0.0574826 | 0.268316 |
11 | 73 | 72.633 | 72.6533 | -0.0203299 | 0.366997 |
12 | 72.31 | 72.3504 | 72.2667 | 0.0836979 | -0.0403646 |
13 | 72.31 | 72.1952 | 71.8733 | 0.321823 | 0.114844 |
14 | 71.24 | 71.4986 | 71.4812 | 0.017309 | -0.258559 |
15 | 70.82 | 70.9367 | 71.0688 | -0.132066 | -0.116684 |
16 | 70.66 | 70.5274 | 70.6496 | -0.122205 | 0.132622 |
17 | 69.94 | 69.8734 | 70.1883 | -0.314913 | 0.0665799 |
18 | 69.87 | 69.6959 | 69.7162 | -0.0203299 | 0.17408 |
19 | 69.87 | 69.5328 | 69.2904 | 0.242378 | 0.337205 |
20 | 68.88 | 68.9377 | 68.8871 | 0.0506424 | -0.0577257 |
21 | 68.09 | 68.4415 | 68.49 | -0.0485243 | -0.351476 |
22 | 68.38 | 68.0338 | 68.0912 | -0.0574826 | 0.346233 |
23 | 66.78 | 67.7276 | 67.7479 | -0.0203299 | -0.947587 |
24 | 67.2 | 67.5354 | 67.4517 | 0.0836979 | -0.335365 |
25 | 67.2 | 67.4835 | 67.1617 | 0.321823 | -0.28349 |
26 | 66.67 | 66.9023 | 66.885 | 0.017309 | -0.232309 |
27 | 65.86 | 66.5142 | 66.6462 | -0.132066 | -0.654184 |
28 | 66.05 | 66.2732 | 66.3954 | -0.122205 | -0.223212 |
29 | 66.31 | 65.8738 | 66.1888 | -0.314913 | 0.436163 |
30 | 66.39 | 66.0155 | 66.0358 | -0.0203299 | 0.374497 |
31 | 66.39 | 66.0974 | 65.855 | 0.242378 | 0.292622 |
32 | 65.72 | 65.7336 | 65.6829 | 0.0506424 | -0.013559 |
33 | 65.52 | 65.504 | 65.5525 | -0.0485243 | 0.0160243 |
34 | 64.93 | 65.3775 | 65.435 | -0.0574826 | -0.447517 |
35 | 65.27 | 65.283 | 65.3033 | -0.0203299 | -0.0130035 |
36 | 65.04 | 65.2537 | 65.17 | 0.0836979 | -0.213698 |
37 | 65.02 | 65.3518 | 65.03 | 0.321823 | -0.331823 |
38 | 64.72 | 64.9402 | 64.9229 | 0.017309 | -0.220226 |
39 | 64.68 | 64.7225 | 64.8546 | -0.132066 | -0.0425174 |
40 | 64.41 | 64.6703 | 64.7925 | -0.122205 | -0.260295 |
41 | 64.79 | 64.4051 | 64.72 | -0.314913 | 0.384913 |
42 | 64.71 | 64.6243 | 64.6446 | -0.0203299 | 0.0857465 |
43 | 64.71 | 64.8203 | 64.5779 | 0.242378 | -0.110295 |
44 | 64.83 | 64.5252 | 64.4746 | 0.0506424 | 0.304774 |
45 | 64.77 | 64.2794 | 64.3279 | -0.0485243 | 0.490608 |
46 | 64.19 | 64.1 | 64.1575 | -0.0574826 | 0.0899826 |
47 | 64.27 | 63.9138 | 63.9342 | -0.0203299 | 0.356163 |
48 | 64.23 | 63.7799 | 63.6962 | 0.0836979 | 0.450052 |
49 | 64.23 | 63.8006 | 63.4788 | 0.321823 | 0.429427 |
50 | 63.03 | 63.2615 | 63.2442 | 0.017309 | -0.231476 |
51 | 62.85 | 62.8409 | 62.9729 | -0.132066 | 0.00914931 |
52 | 62.15 | 62.5745 | 62.6967 | -0.122205 | -0.424462 |
53 | 61.69 | 62.118 | 62.4329 | -0.314913 | -0.428003 |
54 | 62.1 | 62.1443 | 62.1646 | -0.0203299 | -0.0442535 |
55 | 62.1 | 62.1361 | 61.8937 | 0.242378 | -0.0361285 |
56 | 61.81 | 61.729 | 61.6783 | 0.0506424 | 0.0810243 |
57 | 61.28 | 61.4552 | 61.5037 | -0.0485243 | -0.175226 |
58 | 61.05 | 61.2775 | 61.335 | -0.0574826 | -0.227517 |
59 | 61.08 | 61.1468 | 61.1671 | -0.0203299 | -0.0667535 |
60 | 60.98 | 61.0399 | 60.9562 | 0.0836979 | -0.0599479 |
61 | 60.98 | 61.0439 | 60.7221 | 0.321823 | -0.0639062 |
62 | 61.11 | 60.519 | 60.5017 | 0.017309 | 0.591024 |
63 | 60.58 | 60.1738 | 60.3058 | -0.132066 | 0.406233 |
64 | 60.37 | 59.9953 | 60.1175 | -0.122205 | 0.374705 |
65 | 59.44 | 59.6168 | 59.9317 | -0.314913 | -0.176753 |
66 | 59.29 | 59.7276 | 59.7479 | -0.0203299 | -0.437587 |
67 | 59.29 | 59.8028 | 59.5604 | 0.242378 | -0.512795 |
68 | 59.33 | 59.4069 | 59.3562 | 0.0506424 | -0.0768924 |
69 | 59.06 | 59.0973 | 59.1458 | -0.0485243 | -0.037309 |
70 | 58.75 | 58.8904 | 58.9479 | -0.0574826 | -0.140434 |
71 | 58.92 | 58.7268 | 58.7471 | -0.0203299 | 0.193247 |
72 | 58.73 | 58.6416 | 58.5579 | 0.0836979 | 0.0883854 |
73 | 58.73 | 58.706 | 58.3842 | 0.321823 | 0.0240104 |
74 | 58.46 | 58.2194 | 58.2021 | 0.017309 | 0.240608 |
75 | 58.18 | 57.8929 | 58.025 | -0.132066 | 0.287066 |
76 | 58.02 | 57.7303 | 57.8525 | -0.122205 | 0.289705 |
77 | 56.97 | 57.3638 | 57.6787 | -0.314913 | -0.393837 |
78 | 57.22 | 57.4834 | 57.5038 | -0.0203299 | -0.26342 |
79 | 57.19 | NA | NA | 0.242378 | NA |
80 | 57.06 | NA | NA | 0.0506424 | NA |
81 | 57.08 | NA | NA | -0.0485243 | NA |
82 | 56.59 | NA | NA | -0.0574826 | NA |
83 | 56.91 | NA | NA | -0.0203299 | NA |
84 | 56.54 | NA | NA | 0.0836979 | NA |