Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.750204331714779
beta0.0598915504599032
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1316.6616.7628926282051-0.102892628205122
1416.6516.6730531419741-0.0230531419740529
1516.516.5024904523918-0.0024904523918039
1616.3916.38640875000370.00359124999630822
1716.3416.33421759185460.00578240814542497
1816.3516.34518005884590.00481994115405371
1916.3516.3856370432281-0.035637043228089
2016.3816.35580848489880.0241915151012329
2116.3616.35903385008180.000966149918230741
2216.3816.33279552235140.0472044776485738
2316.3916.3954496614015-0.00544966140150649
2416.4116.4196075790588-0.00960757905883369
2516.4116.38492906554170.02507093445832
2616.4116.4126220067224-0.00262200672241519
2716.4516.2650313539820.184968646017968
2816.4116.30203220815590.107967791844089
2916.4416.34431260367340.0956873963266354
3016.4716.44214175227090.0278582477291351
3116.4716.510471316568-0.0404713165680342
3216.4916.5124388938715-0.0224388938715236
3316.5416.49326309608930.0467369039107481
3416.6216.5333516088960.0866483911040028
3516.6916.63465550603270.0553444939673398
3616.7216.7283259079265-0.00832590792650478
3716.7216.7282721140978-0.00827211409779949
3816.7116.7475359078641-0.037535907864136
3916.8916.64254584348820.247454156511818
4016.9316.73193046450990.198069535490077
4116.9116.867527687320.0424723126800011
4216.9316.9348899190364-0.00488991903641889
4316.9316.986510529854-0.0565105298540338
4416.9317.0051564769146-0.0751564769146142
4516.9516.9855495220924-0.0355495220923849
4616.9316.9920169025398-0.0620169025397637
4716.9516.9854329932282-0.0354329932282376
4816.9517.0024795448861-0.0524795448860864
4916.9516.9747134806133-0.0247134806132721
5016.9516.9789927374741-0.0289927374740664
5116.9216.9566447488504-0.0366447488503532
5216.9116.81283992508240.0971600749175963
5316.916.8216118173230.0783881826769708
5416.9616.8934460384680.0665539615320441
5516.9616.9783382193841-0.0183382193840806
5616.9517.0152473049889-0.0652473049889331
5716.9217.0076969103213-0.0876969103212772
5816.8716.9608176388323-0.0908176388323376
5916.8716.9303597763576-0.0603597763576467
6016.8816.914419948326-0.0344199483259899
6116.8816.8979215038932-0.0179215038931844
6216.8616.8973157506047-0.0373157506047228
6316.8816.85752696102820.0224730389718246
6416.8816.78486723743250.0951327625674843
6516.8816.78070881912330.0992911808767474
6616.8816.85948733874220.0205126612578148
6716.8816.8807836764633-0.000783676463338878
6816.8716.9120835500168-0.0420835500167982
6916.9216.91028263906870.0097173609313046
7016.9416.93406109088530.00593890911475015
7117.0316.98650267025560.0434973297443726
7217.0217.0623269614311-0.0423269614310691
7317.0217.0510330239005-0.0310330239005232
7417.0217.0421723827188-0.0221723827188427
7516.9917.0357856291622-0.0457856291621717
7617.0316.9341075530230.0958924469770075
7716.9816.93563145318840.0443685468115618
7816.8916.9551341635159-0.0651341635159035
7916.8916.9046158820597-0.0146158820596689
8016.916.9123584847672-0.0123584847672085
8116.8916.9442689028736-0.0542689028736163
8216.9616.91469759423450.0453024057654545
8316.9717.0034172601571-0.0334172601571261
8416.9716.994011004927-0.0240110049269617


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
8516.99401155467916.865040878910517.1229822304475
8617.006772314651716.842000475703217.1715441536001
8717.008244059515716.811043250960317.2054448680711
8816.975485487503316.747635111492917.2033358635138
8916.887071834579616.62958431554917.1445593536103
9016.838814070512116.552270176131517.1253579648928
9116.845583809491216.530297121879117.1608704971032
9216.861316743986816.51742452674617.2052089612276
9316.889046333540416.516564055876617.2615286112041
9416.924515446718416.523371551892317.3256593415446
9516.957004916372916.527064051470117.3869457812757
9616.973939240202616.515018359514617.4328601208905