Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[1])
0-------
11750-------
218000-343034300.15180.15870.15870.1587
316000-343034300.18030.15180.15180.1587
417500-343034300.15870.18030.18030.1587
521000-343034300.11510.15870.15870.1587
619000-343034300.13880.11510.11510.1587
715000-343034300.19570.13880.13880.1587
817000-343034300.16570.19570.19570.1587
925000-343034300.07660.16570.16570.1587
1018000-343034300.15180.07660.07660.1587
1116000-343034300.18030.15180.15180.1587
1215000-343034300.19570.18030.18030.1587
1315000-343034300.19570.19570.19570.1587
1414500-343034300.20370.19570.19570.1587
1514500-343034300.20370.20370.20370.1587
1616000-343034300.18030.20370.20370.1587
1718000-343034300.15180.18030.18030.1587
1815000-343034300.19570.15180.15180.1587
1915000-343034300.19570.19570.19570.1587
2015450-343034300.18870.19570.19570.1587
2115500-343034300.18790.18870.18870.1587
2216000-343034300.18030.18790.18790.1587
2316000-343034300.18030.18030.18030.1587
2415000-343034300.19570.18030.18030.1587
2515500-343034300.18790.19570.19570.1587


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPEsMAPESq.EMSERMSEScaledEMASE
2Inf1123240000009.74129.7412
3Inf112256000029000001702.93868.65889.2
4Inf11230625002954166.66671718.76899.47069.2902
5Inf112441000033181251821.572111.36479.8088
6Inf112361000033765001837.525510.28249.9035
7Inf112225000031887501785.70718.11769.6059
8Inf11228900003146071.42861773.71689.29.5479
9Inf11262500003534062.51879.910213.529410.0456
10Inf11232400003501388.88891871.19999.741210.0118
11Inf112256000034072501845.87388.65889.8765
12Inf11222500003302045.45451817.15318.11769.7166
13Inf112225000032143751792.86788.11769.5833
14Inf11221025003128846.15381768.85457.84719.4498
15Inf11221025003055535.71431748.00917.84719.3353
16Inf112256000030225001738.53398.65889.2902
17Inf11232400003036093.751742.4399.74129.3184
18Inf11222500002989852.94121729.11918.11769.2478
19Inf112225000029487501717.19258.11769.185
20Inf11223870252919185.52631708.56248.36129.1416
21Inf11224025002893351.251700.98548.38829.1039
22Inf11225600002877477.3811696.31298.65889.0827
23Inf11225600002863046.59091692.0548.65889.0635
24Inf11222500002836392.39131684.15938.11769.0224
25Inf11224025002818313.54171678.78348.38828.9959