Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.999954055201604
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
226.8526.730.120000000000001
327.0126.84999448662420.160005513375808
427.0927.00999264857890.0800073514210524
527.1127.08999632407840.0200036759216324
627.1627.10999908093510.0500009190648569
727.1327.1599977027179-0.0299977027178535
827.1927.13000137823840.0599986217615971
927.4927.18999724337540.300002756624579
1027.6327.48998621643380.140013783566172
1127.7227.62999356709490.0900064329050601
1227.7727.71999586467260.0500041353274163
1327.8127.76999770257010.0400022974299148
1427.9227.80999816210250.110001837897492
1528.0727.91999494598770.150005054012265
1628.1428.0699931080480.0700068919519659
1728.1728.13999678354750.0300032164525383
1828.228.16999862150830.030001378491729
1928.2128.19999862159270.0100013784072885
2028.228.2099995404887-0.00999954048868545
2128.1928.2000004594269-0.0100004594268697
2228.2428.19000045946910.0499995405309051
2328.2528.23999770278120.0100022972188114
2428.2628.24999954044650.010000459553531
2528.3328.25999954053090.0700004594690959
2628.6728.3299967838430.340003216157001
2728.8128.66998437862080.140015621379217
2828.9928.80999356701050.180006432989497
2929.1628.98999172964070.170008270359276
3029.2529.15999218900430.0900078109957079
3129.2529.24999586460934.13539073207403e-06
3229.3829.249999999810.130000000189998
3329.4829.37999402717620.100005972823801
3429.6529.47999540524570.170004594754257
3529.6929.64999218917320.040007810826836
3629.7329.68999816184920.0400018381508005
3729.8129.72999816212360.080001837876388
3830.0529.80999632433170.240003675668316
3930.2930.04998897307950.240011026920492
4030.3730.28998897274180.0800110272582479
4130.530.36999632390950.130003676090517
4230.6730.49999402700730.170005972992691
4330.7630.66999218910980.0900078108901567
4430.8430.75999586460930.0800041353907233
4530.8630.83999632422610.0200036757738715
4631.0930.85999908093520.23000091906485
4731.231.08998943265410.110010567345856
4831.1931.1999949455867-0.00999494558665859
4931.1831.1900004592158-0.0100004592157603
5031.3131.18000045946910.129999540530918
5131.3931.30999402719730.0800059728026845
5231.3931.38999632414173.67585829152972e-06
5331.3731.3899999998311-0.0199999998311142
5431.3631.370000918896-0.0100009188959618
5531.3731.36000045949020.00999954050979923
5631.3531.3699995405731-0.0199995405731279
5731.3431.3500009188749-0.0100009188748622
5831.4731.34000045949020.129999540509797
5931.4831.46999402719730.0100059728026807
6031.5431.47999954027760.0600004597224029
6131.5531.5399972432910.0100027567090279
6231.5531.54999954042544.59574639677385e-07
6331.5731.54999999997890.0200000000211134
6431.6631.5699990811040.0900009188959672
6531.7431.65999586492590.0800041350740734
6631.7831.73999632422610.0400036757738604
6731.831.77999816203920.0200018379608196
6831.6831.7999990810196-0.119999081019589
6931.731.68000551333360.0199944866664161
7031.731.69999908135739.18642658831459e-07
7131.7531.69999999995780.0500000000422069
7231.7331.7499977027601-0.0199977027600795
7331.8231.73000091879040.0899990812095766
7431.931.81999586501040.0800041349896397
7531.8231.8999963242261-0.0799963242261441
7631.5131.820003675415-0.310003675414986
7731.4231.5100142430564-0.0900142430563697
7830.9731.4200041356863-0.450004135686253
7930.9930.97002067534930.0199793246507092
8030.9230.989999082054-0.069999082053954
8130.9530.92000321609370.0299967839062845
8230.8230.9499986218038-0.129998621803811
8330.7230.8200059727605-0.100005972760471
8430.7330.72000459475430.00999540524574627


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
8530.729999540763130.514635266039630.9453638154866
8630.729999540763130.425435459246631.0345636222797
8730.729999540763130.35698910032931.1030099811973
8830.729999540763130.299285833533231.1607132479931
8930.729999540763130.248448082953531.2115509985728
9030.729999540763130.202487156603831.2575119249225
9130.729999540763130.160221667935231.2997774135911
9230.729999540763130.12088187291331.3391172086133
9330.729999540763130.083933102840531.3760659786858
9430.729999540763130.048986067230531.4110130142957
9530.729999540763130.015746882346131.4442521991801
9630.729999540763129.983987229216831.4760118523094