| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.7351 | -0.1605 | 0.2248 | -0.506 | -0.5655 | -0.4404 | -0.475 |
| (p-val) | (0.0802 ) | (0.4307 ) | (0.1902 ) | (0.2068 ) | (0.1101 ) | (0.091 ) | (0.4427 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.6743 | -0.1119 | 0.1758 | -0.3897 | -0.829 | -0.5886 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.1677 ) | (0.609 ) | (0.2836 ) | (0.4084 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.4894 | 0 | 0.1605 | -0.2278 | -0.817 | -0.5931 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2039 ) | (NA ) | (0.303 ) | (0.6072 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.2997 | 0 | 0.1809 | 0 | -0.8239 | -0.5937 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.043 ) | (NA ) | (0.2078 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8122 | -0.6218 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0285 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 3.92399029242162 |
| 75.6211589914564 |
| 63.5386867268408 |
| -98.0465067604086 |
| 291.347148733612 |
| 216.449004934625 |
| -147.761991357888 |
| 357.113120022239 |
| 276.469024273474 |
| 316.766358114744 |
| -274.701130312602 |
| -177.839211856224 |
| 16.4010481040969 |
| 406.320066352934 |
| -22.5021920554171 |
| 62.7645273701096 |
| 37.0567934060334 |
| 194.223949586791 |
| 165.246422077262 |
| 246.535472247193 |
| -417.894982542661 |
| 134.590713258734 |
| -89.0430701174169 |
| -34.9467651968433 |
| -1.9241028843045 |
| 185.484643726903 |
| 43.0722546999734 |
| 8.76244213257575 |
| -99.0059227711038 |
| 342.942963351255 |
| 578.122978042988 |
| -197.686670114592 |
| 70.6416784123854 |
| -148.313514285781 |
| -286.421342740116 |
| 5.78907583254938 |
| -304.022553332911 |
| 322.886776456884 |
| -144.974672508071 |
| -253.535544615309 |
| -202.77178139155 |
| 240.499598153182 |
| -589.492615779753 |
| -93.657007138317 |
| 44.9348795541004 |
| 217.508300129296 |
| 28.289883849959 |
| 91.3871629486912 |
| 257.470962690904 |
