Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.919052484331655
beta0
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1328.7528.67723491860510.0727650813948664
1428.8928.8848451029120.00515489708795869
1528.8228.81497623488710.00502376511286329
1629.1229.11035594809010.00964405190993389
1729.2129.18328217091140.0267178290886143
1829.329.26476461098130.0352353890187125
1929.3229.4326626949262-0.112662694926183
2029.5229.39343809574250.126561904257489
2129.6429.62811748986020.0118825101398414
2229.5429.43168909541080.10831090458915
2329.5429.24737937538610.292620624613885
2429.3429.4503654041196-0.110365404119566
2529.3429.3539394188477-0.0139394188476842
2629.5429.47875601914160.0612439808584178
2729.9429.45830924470110.48169075529891
2830.1730.2023018137014-0.0323018137014124
2930.2330.2396868978399-0.00968689783994847
3030.3430.28969821106970.0503017889303017
3130.3430.46308188642-0.123081886419996
3230.3630.4358232186293-0.0758232186293206
3330.330.4777533727308-0.177753372730752
3430.2830.10981015522720.1701898447728
3529.8929.9899598773729-0.0999598773729353
3629.5829.7980527729211-0.218052772921133
3729.6829.61039702782570.0696029721743017
3829.7329.8194771281892-0.0894771281892162
3930.0729.69354285610940.376457143890612
4030.3230.30000683920360.0199931607964352
4130.5530.38752280351240.162477196487636
4230.6230.60105179661170.0189482033882769
4330.6730.7323978007323-0.0623978007323096
4430.7930.76548610011710.0245138998829475
4530.830.8924689484682-0.0924689484682162
4630.530.6277023733696-0.127702373369612
4730.0730.209758830207-0.139758830206993
4829.4129.9707644405456-0.560764440545562
4929.4229.4913446845028-0.0713446845027761
5029.9929.5570300356680.432969964331999
5130.1429.94841651157050.191583488429465
5230.4130.35649892201710.0535010779829221
5330.7830.48645000463730.293549995362685
5430.8830.80903982451150.0709601754884588
5530.9230.9823147232159-0.0623147232158487
5630.9331.0231531378665-0.0931531378664658
5731.6231.03286018824550.587139811754533
5831.4831.38470401092770.0952959890723086
5931.331.16042448719510.139575512804893
6031.1131.1365709235283-0.0265709235282579
6131.1631.1909148026139-0.0309148026139354
6231.2231.3430801032547-0.123080103254722
6331.6631.20187954313260.458120456867448
6432.1131.85360257639350.256397423606497
6532.2732.19364469048390.0763553095161313
6632.3632.29928331814670.0607166818533003
6732.4232.4560149291521-0.0360149291520884
6832.5232.5221565302044-0.00215653020444506
6932.4132.6763810656455-0.26638106564554
7031.8732.1975932366431-0.327593236643143
7131.0431.5838472815977-0.543847281597667
7230.5830.9197227224316-0.339722722431635


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7330.684968533595830.268917133801231.1010199333904
7430.85571943481530.289375194133431.4220636754966
7530.874209562405330.190892866183131.5575262586274
7631.083603303873930.29713287222931.8700737355189
7731.17119670127230.29523698008932.0471564224549
7831.204917303145330.248806987487232.1610276188033
7931.295421143738230.263750753524132.3270915339522
8031.394577018498830.291955696351332.4971983406463
8131.525284678275930.354670187053132.6958991694988
8231.293195994402630.070448030222632.5159439585826
8330.968666310167329.700142604766532.2371900155682
8430.820995208491710.570430144534151.0715602724494