Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.656149236821017
beta0.0249533508009569
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1375.0178.2042601495726-3.19426014957263
1477.678.5980898627413-0.998089862741281
1577.8178.1745098530363-0.364509853036324
1681.781.7156847188397-0.015684718839708
1776.4776.20840078908040.26159921091957
1874.7274.39858969403290.321410305967063
1984.4383.6620360935330.767963906467017
2086.7286.66356226399760.056437736002394
2170.9974.4316451426754-3.4416451426754
2275.4369.99061313408065.43938686591937
2374.1474.8442565786605-0.704256578660463
2473.371.65063885350451.64936114649552
2571.9770.3320853370011.63791466299898
2669.2774.7271759485818-5.45717594858183
2774.1371.59809606949772.53190393050232
2876.477.2095868468738-0.809586846873785
2972.2671.31362270547060.946377294529384
3072.170.02180004612892.07819995387111
3187.8280.66838028814467.15161971185539
3291.6287.79526876200793.82473123799214
3382.6977.07618504349535.61381495650467
3485.7682.02199102060353.73800897939655
3586.8784.01027842702192.85972157297807
3693.0984.3863071972628.703692802738
3783.7388.2298652647535-4.49986526475348
3884.4986.5948624528203-2.10486245282029
3987.3788.9041980806885-1.53419808068854
4089.1391.1239165395959-1.99391653959587
4183.285.460425376625-2.26042537662499
4283.7782.80691469785290.963085302147064
4393.6894.801329680237-1.12132968023697
4493.0995.5555386854325-2.46553868543252
4588.5981.42084870383157.16915129616849
4687.8886.86422757274021.01577242725982
4787.8986.84178769296471.0482123070353
4889.3888.08645589076761.29354410923239
4989.1382.45427564343596.67572435656407
5089.5889.08510888382240.494891116177598
5190.2293.4485182009301-3.22851820093011
5291.4494.5227179420315-3.08271794203149
5391.0488.15962690347282.88037309652725
5492.190.17828034820891.92171965179107
5597.54102.291297203956-4.75129720395601
5699.12100.34838695397-1.22838695397041
5710090.50549313380319.49450686619691
5899.6895.56402608959364.11597391040645
59100.0897.84291332623732.23708667376275
6099.9100.227461446854-0.327461446854088
6199.6395.63122889174863.99877110825136
6299.4598.58536945723520.864630542764829
6399.63102.122212053151-2.49221205315126
6499.46103.952853843473-4.492853843473
6596.9198.9150100886088-2.00501008860876
6697.6597.51859386564990.131406134350115
67102.1106.25316741232-4.15316741231977
68103.57106.014659676422-2.44465967642232
69104.5999.14145520914885.44854479085117
70104.7999.71024609230015.07975390769988
71101.31102.00566563288-0.695665632879624
72104.8101.5662560301613.23374396983908
73104.56100.8347794011353.72522059886509
74104.15102.5677698514071.5822301485929
75102.73105.468977806611-2.73897780661088
76101.86106.493507717927-4.63350771792703
77101.9102.260243549656-0.360243549656332
78102.33102.746000493247-0.416000493246813
79105.71109.707529468061-3.99752946806055
80106.1110.220553171448-4.12055317144824
81102.81104.996295269679-2.18629526967933
82103.23100.3381749020932.89182509790683
83102.3599.08577323654213.26422676345786
84104.11102.5342793292981.57572067070234


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
85100.79524440497894.1005626854204107.489926124536
8699.197429621939291.1296122589483107.26524698493
8799.399066093463990.1060778487541108.692054338174
88101.43864253844791.0149841683128111.862300908581
89101.66018494822890.1713740064768113.148995889979
90102.31421054561289.8080508800594114.820370211165
91108.27506487333694.7876469609951121.762482785676
92111.39209314816396.9513160260468125.83287027028
93109.62742589706194.2552150809245124.999636713197
94108.27655032164491.9903311057769124.562769537511
95105.33397547221188.1476935370412122.520257407381
96106.08586702359988.0107198167515124.161014230446