Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.188533630779783
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
327.0126.970.0399999999999991
427.0927.1375413452312-0.0475413452311955
527.1127.2085782028026-0.0985782028025994
627.1627.2099928963125-0.0499928963124781
727.1327.2505675540575-0.120567554057491
827.1927.1978365153368-0.00783651533679119
927.4927.25635906864770.233640931352308
1027.6327.60040824173430.0295917582656919
1127.7227.7459872833613-0.025987283361296
1227.7727.8310878064751-0.0610878064750864
1327.8127.869570700524-0.0595707005239667
1427.9227.89833962006610.0216603799339126
1528.0728.01242333013910.0575766698609002
1628.1428.1732784687562-0.0332784687561833
1728.1728.2370043582148-0.0670043582147883
1828.228.2543717832825-0.0543717832824875
1928.2128.2741208735683-0.0641208735682639
2028.228.2720319324657-0.0720319324656735
2128.1928.2484514907058-0.0584514907058313
2228.2428.22743141893860.0125685810614264
2328.2528.2798010191598-0.0298010191598301
2428.2628.2841825248167-0.0241825248166911
2528.3328.28962330561160.0403766943884172
2628.6728.36723567040350.302764329596492
2728.8128.76431692873290.0456830712670495
2828.9928.91292972402410.0770702759759061
2929.1629.1074600629790.0525399370209705
3029.2529.2873656080665-0.037365608066537
3129.2529.3703209343115-0.120320934311458
3229.3829.34763639170690.032363608293096
3329.4829.4837380202835-0.00373802028353509
3429.6529.58303327774760.0669667222524453
3529.6929.7656587570352-0.0756587570352245
3629.7329.7913945368711-0.0613945368710915
3729.8129.8198196019247-0.00981960192474318
3830.0529.89796827672110.152031723278945
3930.2930.16663136950450.123368630495456
4030.3730.4298905053362-0.0598905053361776
4130.530.49859913091590.00140086908408321
4230.6730.62886324185060.0411367581494169
4330.7630.806618904223-0.0466189042230027
4430.8430.8878296729469-0.0478296729468681
4530.8630.9588121710472-0.0988121710471823
4631.0930.96018275367440.129817246325576
4731.231.214657670462-0.014657670462018
4831.1931.321894206631-0.131894206631038
4931.1831.2870277129761-0.107027712976073
5031.3131.25684938965460.0531506103453623
5131.3931.3968700672012-0.0068700672012092
5231.3931.4755748284881-0.0855748284880633
5331.3731.4594410953699-0.0894410953698532
5431.3631.4225784409189-0.0625784409188554
5531.3731.4007803002439-0.0307803002438831
5631.3531.4049771784824-0.0549771784824138
5731.3431.3746121314131-0.0346121314130983
5831.4731.35808658060880.111913419391243
5931.4831.5091860238996-0.029186023899566
6031.5431.51368347684580.0263165231542395
6131.5531.5786450265055-0.0286450265055258
6231.5531.5832444756547-0.0332444756546586
6331.5731.5769767739561-0.00697677395611507
6431.6631.5956614174310.0643385825689613
6531.7431.6977914040020.0422085959980087
6631.7831.7857491438556-0.00574914385560987
6731.831.8246652368906-0.0246652368906375
6831.6831.8400150102256-0.160015010225603
6931.731.68984679936850.0101532006314926
7031.731.7117610191476-0.0117610191475954
7131.7531.7095436715060.0404563284939705
7231.7331.767171050005-0.0371710500050177
7331.8231.74016305698770.0798369430123245
7431.931.84521500572410.0547849942758525
7531.8231.9355438196072-0.115543819607222
7631.5131.8337599237825-0.323759923782507
7731.4231.4627202898508-0.0427202898508057
7830.9731.3646660784973-0.394666078497274
7930.9930.84025824977260.149741750227438
8030.9230.88848960562230.0315103943777437
8130.9530.82443037468160.125569625318398
8230.8230.8781044720585-0.0581044720585311
8330.7230.7371498249768-0.0171498249767978
8430.7330.63391650620670.0960834937933193


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
8530.662031476149530.471747079341830.8523158729573
8630.594062952299130.298502081839330.8896238227588
8730.526094428448630.131102957827430.9210858990698
8830.458125904598229.963385280385330.952866528811
8930.390157380747729.793348926782630.9869658347129
9030.322188856897329.620171456311631.0242062574829
9130.254220333046829.443488183889731.0649524822039
9230.186251809196329.263143514353131.1093601040396
9330.118283285345929.0790867773931.1574797933017
9430.050314761495428.891322947666331.2093065753245
9529.98234623764528.69988731683631.2648051584539
9629.914377713794528.504831690532231.3239237370568