Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.761122450067448
beta0.0552770057358704
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
39.359.330.0199999999999978
49.339.37606390040211-0.0460639004021122
59.379.369907056393269.29436067380607e-05
69.429.398885132960210.0211148670397883
79.459.444751824118030.00524817588196846
89.389.47876282467471-0.0987628246747132
99.49.42945351179544-0.0294535117954435
109.439.43165788800945-0.00165788800945244
119.459.45494838589121-0.00494838589121471
129.499.475526220651280.014473779348716
139.479.51149565049975-0.0414956504997495
149.489.50311966211115-0.0231196621111476
159.529.507757347423860.0122426525761394
169.539.53982516418938-0.00982516418937962
179.539.55468330028219-0.0246833002821933
189.549.55719408554871-0.0171940855487147
199.579.564681680913770.00531831908622671
209.619.589527728203730.0204722717962689
219.619.62676911019755-0.0167691101975489
229.639.63495972072107-0.00495972072106987
239.649.65193005449933-0.0119300544993255
249.69.66309318270101-0.0630931827010066
259.649.632660413064590.00733958693540693
269.669.656144400904280.00385559909572386
279.679.67713886234641-0.00713886234640526
289.79.689464842072470.0105351579275297
299.729.715686156581740.00431384341826124
309.739.73735378342842-0.00735378342842274
319.779.749831524974750.0201684750252511
329.729.78410561488479-0.0641056148847863
339.689.75153971503322-0.071539715033218
349.629.71030569499139-0.0903056949913896
359.799.650989073628520.139010926371483
369.779.77205902789437-0.00205902789436685
379.799.785670844343190.0043291556568068
389.779.80432698941254-0.0343269894125449
399.789.7921168499703-0.0121168499702957
409.819.796301559257650.0136984407423473
419.749.82071119446897-0.0807111944689662
429.79.76986780943612-0.0698678094361185
439.789.724338049880590.0556619501194131
449.859.776693649769190.0733063502308049
459.839.84556298525488-0.0155629852548778
469.99.846137099592690.0538629004073066
479.939.901818964773660.0281810352263445
489.859.93913943438409-0.0891394343840854
499.959.883414335625280.0665856643747169
509.979.949016535598710.0209834644012883
5110.029.980792705675570.0392072943244344
529.9710.0280889934696-0.0580889934696032
539.959.99888693906918-0.0488869390691846
549.959.97463197569173-0.0246319756917313
559.989.967801678943950.0121983210560472
56109.989516962610540.0104830373894647
5710.0410.0103677536950.0296322463049705
5810.0510.04704014234420.00295985765580475
5910.0610.0635361060141-0.00353610601408505
6010.0910.07493907283210.0150609271679407
6110.1410.10113031102260.0388696889773676
6210.1310.1470782800465-0.0170782800465279
6310.1210.1497244666773-0.0297244666772727
6410.110.1414947720495-0.0414947720494894
6510.1210.1225606420555-0.00256064205549578
6610.0610.1331524196816-0.0731524196815521
6710.2110.08693750026570.123062499734258
6810.1810.1952437166946-0.0152437166946111
6910.2610.19764062447730.0623593755226945
7010.3910.26172660713550.128273392864545
7110.4110.38137801947190.0286219805280616
7210.4610.42638670497860.0336132950214107


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7310.476608589710510.383951028512510.5692661509085
7410.501246640980810.382401904519610.620091377442
7510.525884692251210.383553523204210.6682158612981
7610.550522743521510.386150943394810.7148945436483
7710.575160794791910.38959612545810.7607254641258
7810.599798846062210.393553775083410.806043917041
7910.624436897332610.397816441045810.8510573536193
8010.649074948602910.402246979451910.895902917754
8110.673712999873310.406750326672710.9406756730739
8210.698351051143610.411258221338110.9854438809491
8310.72298910241410.415720307021911.030257897806
8410.747627153684310.420098647891611.0751556594771