| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1201 | 0 | 121 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 56 | 45.8272778543093 | 2.10045517498265 | 64.0722669707081 | -10.1727221456907 |
| 2 | 55 | 57.525831214761 | -9.9402931629222 | 62.4144619481612 | 2.52583121476096 |
| 3 | 54 | 57.5243861926466 | -10.2810431182611 | 60.7566569256144 | 3.52438619264663 |
| 4 | 52 | 54.2608740250107 | -9.36883156780522 | 59.1079575427945 | 2.26087402501069 |
| 5 | 72 | 78.9973558287597 | 7.54338601126571 | 57.4592581599746 | 6.99735582875966 |
| 6 | 71 | 73.7236568668351 | 12.4106282135451 | 55.8657149196199 | 2.72365686683507 |
| 7 | 56 | 56.3499563977552 | 1.3778719229797 | 54.2721716792651 | 0.349956397755221 |
| 8 | 46 | 40.3779843885317 | -1.04254570743492 | 52.6645613189032 | -5.6220156114683 |
| 9 | 47 | 43.7060137761852 | -0.762964734726591 | 51.0569509585414 | -3.29398622381478 |
| 10 | 47 | 50.6782552996072 | -6.01248223534537 | 49.3342269357382 | 3.67825529960719 |
| 11 | 48 | 42.2504955731931 | 6.13800151387197 | 47.611502912935 | -5.74950442680694 |
| 12 | 50 | 45.9659536872499 | 7.83781995961957 | 46.1962263531305 | -4.03404631275007 |
| 13 | 44 | 41.1185950316913 | 2.10045517498265 | 44.780949793326 | -2.88140496830867 |
| 14 | 38 | 42.5407073920517 | -9.9402931629222 | 43.3995857708705 | 4.54070739205169 |
| 15 | 33 | 34.2628213698461 | -10.2810431182611 | 42.018221748415 | 1.26282136984605 |
| 16 | 33 | 34.600043319921 | -9.36883156780522 | 40.7687882478843 | 1.60004331992096 |
| 17 | 52 | 56.9372592413808 | 7.54338601126571 | 39.5193547473535 | 4.93725924138077 |
| 18 | 54 | 56.9545222353503 | 12.4106282135451 | 38.6348495511046 | 2.95452223535033 |
| 19 | 39 | 38.8717837221646 | 1.3778719229797 | 37.7503443548557 | -0.128216277835371 |
| 20 | 22 | 7.72694277604289 | -1.04254570743492 | 37.315602931392 | -14.2730572239571 |
| 21 | 31 | 25.8821032267982 | -0.762964734726591 | 36.8808615079284 | -5.1178967732018 |
| 22 | 31 | 31.1256772493602 | -6.01248223534537 | 36.8868049859852 | 0.125677249360166 |
| 23 | 38 | 32.969250022086 | 6.13800151387197 | 36.892748464042 | -5.03074997791398 |
| 24 | 42 | 39.2080270328726 | 7.83781995961957 | 36.9541530075078 | -2.79197296712741 |
| 25 | 41 | 42.8839872740437 | 2.10045517498265 | 37.0155575509737 | 1.88398727404369 |
| 26 | 31 | 35.0350741585474 | -9.9402931629222 | 36.9052190043748 | 4.0350741585474 |
| 27 | 36 | 45.4861626604851 | -10.2810431182611 | 36.7948804577759 | 9.48616266048511 |
| 28 | 34 | 40.8778041235962 | -9.36883156780522 | 36.491027444209 | 6.87780412359625 |
| 29 | 51 | 58.2694395580923 | 7.54338601126571 | 36.187174430642 | 7.26943955809231 |
| 30 | 47 | 45.9797050046508 | 12.4106282135451 | 35.6096667818042 | -1.02029499534923 |
| 31 | 31 | 25.5899689440539 | 1.3778719229797 | 35.0321591329664 | -5.41003105594605 |
| 32 | 19 | 4.7009814150363 | -1.04254570743492 | 34.3415642923986 | -14.2990185849637 |
| 33 | 30 | 27.1119952828957 | -0.762964734726591 | 33.6509694518309 | -2.88800471710431 |
| 34 | 33 | 38.468124772785 | -6.01248223534537 | 33.5443574625603 | 5.46812477278504 |
| 35 | 36 | 32.4242530128383 | 6.13800151387197 | 33.4377454732898 | -3.57574698716172 |
| 36 | 40 | 37.978590699819 | 7.83781995961957 | 34.1835893405614 | -2.02140930018096 |
| 37 | 32 | 26.9701116171843 | 2.10045517498265 | 34.929433207833 | -5.02988838281565 |
| 38 | 25 | 23.8751828803341 | -9.9402931629222 | 36.0651102825881 | -1.12481711966592 |
| 39 | 28 | 29.0802557609178 | -10.2810431182611 | 37.2007873573432 | 1.08025576091781 |
| 40 | 29 | 29.0204500748904 | -9.36883156780522 | 38.3483814929148 | 0.0204500748904195 |
| 41 | 55 | 62.9606383602479 | 7.54338601126571 | 39.4959756284864 | 7.96063836024793 |
| 42 | 55 | 56.6069325326139 | 12.4106282135451 | 40.982439253841 | 1.60693253261391 |
| 43 | 40 | 36.1532251978246 | 1.3778719229797 | 42.4689028791957 | -3.84677480217537 |
| 44 | 38 | 33.025400304852 | -1.04254570743492 | 44.0171454025829 | -4.97459969514799 |
| 45 | 44 | 43.1975768087564 | -0.762964734726591 | 45.5653879259702 | -0.802423191243562 |
| 46 | 41 | 41.1480587873837 | -6.01248223534537 | 46.8644234479617 | 0.148058787383697 |
| 47 | 49 | 43.6985395161748 | 6.13800151387197 | 48.1634589699532 | -5.30146048382515 |
| 48 | 59 | 60.5659375910103 | 7.83781995961957 | 49.5962424493701 | 1.56593759101035 |
| 49 | 61 | 68.8705188962304 | 2.10045517498265 | 51.029025928787 | 7.87051889623038 |
| 50 | 47 | 51.0780160621698 | -9.9402931629222 | 52.8622771007525 | 4.07801606216975 |
| 51 | 43 | 41.5855148455431 | -10.2810431182611 | 54.6955282727179 | -1.41448515445687 |
| 52 | 39 | 30.973836197057 | -9.36883156780522 | 56.3949953707482 | -8.026163802943 |
| 53 | 66 | 66.3621515199558 | 7.54338601126571 | 58.0944624687785 | 0.362151519955788 |
| 54 | 68 | 63.8332590828803 | 12.4106282135451 | 59.7561127035747 | -4.16674091711972 |
| 55 | 63 | 63.2043651386495 | 1.3778719229797 | 61.4177629383708 | 0.2043651386495 |
| 56 | 68 | 73.7576479512612 | -1.04254570743492 | 63.2848977561737 | 5.75764795126123 |
| 57 | 67 | 69.61093216075 | -0.762964734726591 | 65.1520325739766 | 2.61093216075002 |
| 58 | 59 | 56.6486291357362 | -6.01248223534537 | 67.3638530996092 | -2.3513708642638 |
| 59 | 68 | 60.2863248608863 | 6.13800151387197 | 69.5756736252417 | -7.71367513911372 |
| 60 | 78 | 76.0452183770183 | 7.83781995961957 | 72.1169616633621 | -1.95478162298168 |
| 61 | 82 | 87.2412951235349 | 2.10045517498265 | 74.6582497014824 | 5.24129512353491 |
| 62 | 70 | 72.2764610867393 | -9.9402931629222 | 77.6638320761829 | 2.27646108673933 |
| 63 | 62 | 53.6116286673778 | -10.2810431182611 | 80.6694144508833 | -8.38837133262224 |
| 64 | 68 | 61.4933545058351 | -9.36883156780522 | 83.8754770619701 | -6.50664549416493 |
| 65 | 94 | 93.3750743156773 | 7.54338601126571 | 87.081539673057 | -0.62492568432269 |
| 66 | 102 | 101.293024214704 | 12.4106282135451 | 90.2963475717509 | -0.706975785296009 |
| 67 | 100 | 105.110972606575 | 1.3778719229797 | 93.5111554704449 | 5.11097260657539 |
| 68 | 104 | 112.549698199329 | -1.04254570743492 | 96.4928475081064 | 8.54969819932852 |
| 69 | 103 | 107.288425188959 | -0.762964734726591 | 99.4745395457679 | 4.2884251889587 |
| 70 | 93 | 89.8615618207769 | -6.01248223534537 | 102.150920414569 | -3.13843817922314 |
| 71 | 110 | 109.034697202759 | 6.13800151387197 | 104.827301283369 | -0.965302797241065 |
| 72 | 114 | 112.830684632093 | 7.83781995961957 | 107.331495408287 | -1.16931536790666 |
| 73 | 120 | 128.063855291812 | 2.10045517498265 | 109.835689533205 | 8.06385529181227 |
| 74 | 102 | 101.338086341222 | -9.9402931629222 | 112.6022068217 | -0.661913658777536 |
| 75 | 95 | 84.9123190080667 | -10.2810431182611 | 115.368724110194 | -10.0876809919333 |
| 76 | 103 | 96.9806662605563 | -9.36883156780522 | 118.388165307249 | -6.01933373944368 |
| 77 | 122 | 115.049007484431 | 7.54338601126571 | 121.407606504303 | -6.9509925155691 |
| 78 | 139 | 141.248208526574 | 12.4106282135451 | 124.341163259881 | 2.24820852657373 |
| 79 | 135 | 141.347408061561 | 1.3778719229797 | 127.274720015459 | 6.3474080615613 |
| 80 | 135 | 141.078475258985 | -1.04254570743492 | 129.96407044845 | 6.07847525898538 |
| 81 | 137 | 142.109543853286 | -0.762964734726591 | 132.65342088144 | 5.10954385328648 |
| 82 | 130 | 131.100078617548 | -6.01248223534537 | 134.912403617797 | 1.10007861754843 |
| 83 | 148 | 152.690612131974 | 6.13800151387197 | 137.171386354154 | 4.69061213197429 |
| 84 | 148 | 149.336995539232 | 7.83781995961957 | 138.825184501148 | 1.33699553923245 |
| 85 | 145 | 147.420562176875 | 2.10045517498265 | 140.478982648142 | 2.42056217687517 |
| 86 | 128 | 124.018787878663 | -9.9402931629222 | 141.921505284259 | -3.98121212133714 |
| 87 | 131 | 128.917015197885 | -10.2810431182611 | 143.364027920377 | -2.08298480211545 |
| 88 | 133 | 130.372877904336 | -9.36883156780522 | 144.995953663469 | -2.62712209566428 |
| 89 | 146 | 137.828734582172 | 7.54338601126571 | 146.627879406562 | -8.17126541782815 |
| 90 | 163 | 165.190278233004 | 12.4106282135451 | 148.399093553451 | 2.19027823300368 |
| 91 | 151 | 150.45182037668 | 1.3778719229797 | 150.17030770034 | -0.548179623319754 |
| 92 | 157 | 162.843895599221 | -1.04254570743492 | 152.198650108214 | 5.84389559922062 |
| 93 | 152 | 150.535972218638 | -0.762964734726591 | 154.226992516089 | -1.46402778136198 |
| 94 | 149 | 147.677174787628 | -6.01248223534537 | 156.335307447718 | -1.32282521237227 |
| 95 | 172 | 179.418376106781 | 6.13800151387197 | 158.443622379347 | 7.41837610678135 |
| 96 | 167 | 165.915373731274 | 7.83781995961957 | 160.246806309106 | -1.08462626872583 |
| 97 | 160 | 155.849554586152 | 2.10045517498265 | 162.049990238866 | -4.15044541384847 |
| 98 | 150 | 146.360426848025 | -9.9402931629222 | 163.579866314898 | -3.63957315197536 |
| 99 | 160 | 165.171300727332 | -10.2810431182611 | 165.109742390929 | 5.17130072733173 |
| 100 | 165 | 172.537818299859 | -9.36883156780522 | 166.831013267947 | 7.53781829985854 |
| 101 | 171 | 165.90432984377 | 7.54338601126571 | 168.552284144964 | -5.09567015622972 |
| 102 | 179 | 175.027913386381 | 12.4106282135451 | 170.561458400074 | -3.97208661361881 |
| 103 | 171 | 168.051495421837 | 1.3778719229797 | 172.570632655183 | -2.94850457816318 |
| 104 | 176 | 178.260469237052 | -1.04254570743492 | 174.782076470383 | 2.26046923705175 |
| 105 | 170 | 163.769444449144 | -0.762964734726591 | 176.993520285583 | -6.23055555085631 |
| 106 | 169 | 164.748621386474 | -6.01248223534537 | 179.263860848872 | -4.25137861352641 |
| 107 | 194 | 200.327797073967 | 6.13800151387197 | 181.534201412161 | 6.32779707396733 |
| 108 | 196 | 200.276947678114 | 7.83781995961957 | 183.885232362266 | 4.27694767811417 |
| 109 | 188 | 187.663281512646 | 2.10045517498265 | 186.236263312372 | -0.336718487354432 |
| 110 | 174 | 169.505705577569 | -9.9402931629222 | 188.434587585353 | -4.49429442243098 |
| 111 | 186 | 191.648131259926 | -10.2810431182611 | 190.632911858335 | 5.64813125992646 |
| 112 | 191 | 198.993416225612 | -9.36883156780522 | 192.375415342193 | 7.99341622561229 |
| 113 | 197 | 192.338695162683 | 7.54338601126571 | 194.117918826051 | -4.66130483731692 |
| 114 | 206 | 203.764096201774 | 12.4106282135451 | 195.825275584681 | -2.23590379822625 |
| 115 | 197 | 195.089495733709 | 1.3778719229797 | 197.532632343311 | -1.91050426629084 |
| 116 | 204 | 209.838412526826 | -1.04254570743492 | 199.204133180609 | 5.83841252682558 |
| 117 | 201 | 201.887330716819 | -0.762964734726591 | 200.875634017908 | 0.887330716819065 |
| 118 | 190 | 183.496697191192 | -6.01248223534537 | 202.515785044153 | -6.50330280880803 |
| 119 | 213 | 215.706062415729 | 6.13800151387197 | 204.155936070399 | 2.70606241572872 |
| 120 | 213 | 212.386382773567 | 7.83781995961957 | 205.775797266814 | -0.613617226433433 |
