| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.2734 | -0.1121 | -0.1666 | -0.4055 | 1.0256 | -0.1659 | -0.0964 |
| (p-val) | (0.2502 ) | (0.2664 ) | (0.1096 ) | (0.0794 ) | (0.1477 ) | (0.7845 ) | (0.8928 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.2725 | -0.1109 | -0.1667 | -0.4045 | 0.9301 | -0.0837 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2531 ) | (0.2708 ) | (0.1092 ) | (0.0811 ) | (0 ) | (0.42 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.2473 | -0.1346 | -0.1603 | -0.3712 | 0.8565 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.3179 ) | (0.1577 ) | (0.1301 ) | (0.1219 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | -0.1492 | -0.196 | -0.1379 | 0.8572 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1006 ) | (0.0316 ) | (0.1404 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | -0.1503 | -0.1761 | 0 | 0.8577 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0976 ) | (0.0536 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.1658 | 0 | 0.8654 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0718 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8694 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.0559998852152633 |
| -0.493896873364634 |
| -0.493896873364634 |
| -0.987774567512833 |
| 9.93823000176787 |
| -0.586194140197587 |
| -7.68751056589317 |
| -3.33966294852904 |
| 0.429813645031793 |
| -1.22306236050721 |
| -0.387148988105899 |
| 1.0240939117167 |
| -3.1790261312384 |
| -5.0454536432582 |
| -4.0137177585503 |
| 1.44819243280776 |
| 0.841409399737355 |
| 2.17969801643555 |
| -1.73266657002515 |
| -8.06571228807107 |
| 8.60981291854194 |
| -0.334926871345123 |
| 4.75053530730328 |
| 3.61827550903922 |
| 4.19213041938715 |
| -3.79054822946422 |
| 9.70309656335496 |
| -1.30481000432226 |
| -0.239045671970004 |
| -4.18403094181251 |
| -3.35133824921843 |
| 2.80361259428111 |
| 2.26146839403967 |
| 2.49924097981172 |
| -2.60790853259369 |
| 1.07120014090196 |
| -6.63714848357267 |
| 1.14652131023368 |
| -1.23746151713059 |
| 1.54755663980393 |
| 11.5631756773691 |
| 3.24139827235349 |
| -0.701479351284132 |
| 10.2563339658872 |
| -2.94489100586251 |
| -5.78748839028522 |
| 6.79431478166191 |
| 5.9550320151792 |
| 7.99483304039295 |
| -7.04636839223017 |
| -5.51175848427593 |
| -3.38566124618367 |
| 3.18364393412584 |
| 0.906160332366917 |
| 7.17349376234177 |
| 7.47708219897042 |
| -5.86046612170084 |
| -4.08054017321996 |
| 3.19332756653989 |
| 0.319595007657352 |
| 1.37314374171947 |
| 0.459430792130583 |
| -4.31529513951182 |
| 9.8377414934571 |
| 2.65447899718868 |
| 5.51664743247295 |
| 3.89578300556218 |
| 0.110260870088769 |
| 0.905004879136158 |
| -2.69130528473603 |
| 9.15761451252449 |
| -4.67587915706826 |
| 2.02828775800485 |
| -6.08812584767335 |
| -0.848867752979329 |
| 3.22884771065786 |
| -4.76216620747938 |
| 10.0643639249429 |
| -1.80365481397992 |
| -4.041705411162 |
| 4.53647207420368 |
| 1.27722948511292 |
| 2.71494904872247 |
| -2.98625229115164 |
| -7.91791855375443 |
| -0.87819280547091 |
| 8.48347072627108 |
| -6.28135915023324 |
| -3.67782642483031 |
| 3.79098609354026 |
| -9.35494494875011 |
| 5.42924781064487 |
| -6.35112635227124 |
| 1.64151446618105 |
| 8.41860163489749 |
| -6.11616812572276 |
| -3.89690540156151 |
| 5.94210917809354 |
| 6.57477404609063 |
| 2.53897589056262 |
| -4.46837465429453 |
| -5.48322577209247 |
| 2.92641420148313 |
| -1.06268550612349 |
| -2.78613020257466 |
| 1.99145230799011 |
| 5.06497199204414 |
| 6.04930091019776 |
| -1.6778355872977 |
| -4.50123046727257 |
| 4.39563205247514 |
| 0.351093295039824 |
| -0.078743595656535 |
| 2.63210831940019 |
| -1.96551715036875 |
| 2.80719539904876 |
| 2.53659023294771 |
| -10.4791047436627 |
| 1.80942984068822 |
| -1.36718444180429 |
