Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	167	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	160	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	150	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	160	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	165	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	179	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	170	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	196	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	188	189	178.7601	199.2399	0.4241	0.0901	1	0.0901
110	174	179	164.5186	193.4814	0.2493	0.1116	1	0.0107
111	186	189	171.264	206.736	0.3701	0.9513	0.9993	0.2196
112	191	194	173.5202	214.4798	0.387	0.7781	0.9972	0.4241
113	197	200	177.1029	222.8971	0.3987	0.7795	0.9935	0.634
114	206	208	182.9175	233.0825	0.4379	0.805	0.9883	0.8258
115	197	200	172.9078	227.0922	0.4141	0.3321	0.982	0.6139
116	204	205	176.0372	233.9628	0.473	0.7059	0.9751	0.7288
117	201	199	168.2803	229.7197	0.4492	0.3749	0.9679	0.5759
118	190	198	165.6186	230.3814	0.3141	0.428	0.9604	0.5482
119	213	223	189.0381	256.9619	0.2819	0.9716	0.9529	0.9404
120	213	225	189.528	260.472	0.2536	0.7464	0.9455	0.9455

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
109	0.0276	-0.0053	0.0053	0.0053	1	0	0	-0.1111	0.1111
110	0.0413	-0.0287	0.017	0.0168	25	13	3.6056	-0.5556	0.3333
111	0.0479	-0.0161	0.0167	0.0165	9	11.6667	3.4157	-0.3333	0.3333
112	0.0539	-0.0157	0.0165	0.0163	9	11	3.3166	-0.3333	0.3333
113	0.0584	-0.0152	0.0162	0.0161	9	10.6	3.2558	-0.3333	0.3333
114	0.0615	-0.0097	0.0151	0.015	4	9.5	3.0822	-0.2222	0.3148
115	0.0691	-0.0152	0.0152	0.015	9	9.4286	3.0706	-0.3333	0.3175
116	0.0721	-0.0049	0.0139	0.0137	1	8.375	2.894	-0.1111	0.2917
117	0.0788	0.01	0.0134	0.0133	4	7.8889	2.8087	0.2222	0.284
118	0.0834	-0.0421	0.0163	0.0161	64	13.5	3.6742	-0.8889	0.3444
119	0.0777	-0.0469	0.0191	0.0188	100	21.3636	4.6221	-1.1111	0.4141
120	0.0804	-0.0563	0.0222	0.0218	144	31.5833	5.6199	-1.3333	0.4907