Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.917860981142453
beta0.00174783084819955
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1351.8251.37343750.446562500000006
1451.8451.80272938112790.0372706188721281
1551.951.89224133998030.00775866001972503
1651.9451.92301120361070.0169887963892563
1752.2252.20728030380940.0127196961906151
1852.2752.2747347026172-0.00473470261723463
1952.2752.25157746075550.0184225392444617
2052.2852.2834549022781-0.00345490227807943
2152.5352.44691301794520.0830869820548372
2252.7352.54285451274120.187145487258825
2352.7253.0275241469797-0.307524146979674
2452.6752.796829141609-0.126829141608951
2552.6752.7167971024509-0.0467971024508742
2652.6552.6594325684718-0.0094325684717731
2752.6952.7033764334951-0.0133764334950754
2852.7352.7151944903680.0148055096319979
2952.8452.9967945911348-0.156794591134819
3052.8352.9066384206996-0.076638420699588
3152.8352.81868399009760.0113160099023872
3252.8452.841528548643-0.00152854864302299
3352.8253.013153259599-0.193153259599022
3453.0952.86293872090810.227061279091878
3553.453.34252470235110.0574752976488782
3653.4353.4611869896648-0.031186989664846
3753.4353.4751647723974-0.045164772397392
3853.4253.42202006463-0.00202006463003102
3953.653.47210801211090.12789198788915
4053.6953.61579668969820.0742033103017761
4154.0553.93780695170950.112193048290536
4254.0454.1015458183178-0.0615458183177537
4354.0454.03511083093510.00488916906488157
4454.0854.0514331350020.0285668649980195
4554.0554.2354213985394-0.185421398539376
4654.3954.127312059740.262687940259994
4754.3854.6262183082572-0.246218308257227
4854.4654.45891181697850.00108818302152969
4954.4654.5014797437545-0.0414797437545147
5054.6954.45538129945740.234618700542555
5154.9154.73384127161040.176158728389638
5255.5254.917999291330.602000708669955
5356.0155.72899847798020.281001522019842
5456.0756.03510397644390.0348960235561151
5556.0756.06449547626450.00550452373551735
5656.0956.08517781919450.00482218080548336
5756.2956.23160725091340.0583927490865577
5856.4556.3862960823090.063703917691015
5956.8756.66264579345470.207354206545283
6056.8756.9345811717864-0.0645811717864362
6156.8756.9158837648952-0.0458837648952226
6256.8756.8909209240433-0.0209209240433523
6356.856.9321186747215-0.132118674721497
6456.8956.86989405215430.0201059478457211
6557.0157.1210895855878-0.111089585587791
6657.0357.0471274739372-0.0171274739371867
6757.0357.02630336962450.00369663037555057
6857.0357.0452162937375-0.0152162937374811
6957.0657.1775673013669-0.117567301366883
7057.2557.17081711160630.0791828883937029
7157.2457.4728300813725-0.232830081372477
7257.3157.3173512211716-0.00735122117164622


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7357.351760800636657.054726177667857.6487954236053
7457.370078971334256.966569014729357.773588927939
7557.420494781291756.932979121067257.9080104415162
7657.491401503288856.932130796882558.050672209695
7757.712695231041457.089672477470858.3357179846119
7857.747923020020157.066899629541558.4289464104986
7957.744064653202457.009428213915458.4787010924894
8057.7575597910956.972797837207158.5423217449729
8157.895023336239957.062992572669558.7270540998104
8258.012086168369657.135180954636558.8889913821028
8358.215406500663357.295670415993659.1351425853329
8458.292142106428257.33134515577359.2529390570834