Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.28568753838882
beta0.0196112628231865
gamma0.740858537204665


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
131.281.271808543933920.00819145606607807
141.271.2656156508860.00438434911399632
151.261.257089542957940.0029104570420575
161.271.26563065162260.00436934837739966
171.271.266290099443610.0037099005563892
181.281.278006029599120.00199397040088023
191.271.27506691559079-0.00506691559079053
201.261.28437842907306-0.0243784290730562
211.31.267869574670320.0321304253296768
221.311.276894976997570.0331050230024257
231.281.3076503456443-0.0276503456443047
241.291.289895563318470.000104436681525266
251.311.304379478599550.005620521400447
261.291.29535654456512-0.00535654456512247
271.291.283156988311280.00684301168872059
281.321.293880402888740.0261195971112598
291.31.30060906787353-0.000609067873531322
301.291.31062923768122-0.020629237681222
311.311.297432539416170.012567460583834
321.291.30168362692955-0.0116836269295466
331.331.319378673041220.0106213269587783
341.351.322783977420740.0272160225792641
351.321.319486670729140.000513329270857232
361.331.324840104145480.00515989585452448
371.341.34444703687685-0.00444703687685122
381.341.32652259381930.0134774061806977
391.331.326340407973650.00365959202635424
401.331.34714349224861-0.0171434922486087
411.351.32712905132520.0228709486748044
421.321.33339164098667-0.0133916409866677
431.351.340326479745950.00967352025405122
441.321.33078240051498-0.0107824005149784
451.361.36165113206319-0.00165113206318668
461.371.37063156014866-0.000631560148660393
471.341.34477641230697-0.00477641230696579
481.321.35119011408384-0.031190114083844
491.341.35524386564322-0.0152438656432203
501.321.34338002355838-0.0233800235583757
511.331.327022664683580.00297733531641975
521.351.336120075198640.0138799248013597
531.331.34581764909372-0.0158176490937159
541.331.321389096763790.00861090323620584
551.351.34644535319920.00355464680079964
561.331.323919886913660.00608011308634282
571.361.36421690967426-0.00421690967425614
581.391.372680325324960.0173196746750386
591.371.349360644488120.0206393555118805
601.371.348769144716140.0212308552838638
611.391.376846651618550.0131533483814537
621.371.368707407530790.00129259246921376
631.391.373937238078470.0160627619215308
641.391.39355733053073-0.00355733053072682
651.391.382614352751640.00738564724835511
661.371.37800378456366-0.00800378456365758
671.381.39680317917066-0.0168031791706651
681.371.369434709367870.000565290632125404
691.411.404039310122150.00596068987785259
701.411.42784857859323-0.0178485785932341
711.421.395688749814880.0243112501851155
721.421.396443263347380.0235567366526159


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
731.421583626331131.397844188038561.44532306462369
741.403102009554541.37793265882251.42827136028658
751.416190416240241.389535512960691.4428453195198
761.420980901137681.392892145653791.44906965662158
771.416813488977741.387371059450941.44625591850453
781.401664848868621.370990238049471.43233945968778
791.418492145631761.386292823591911.45069146767161
801.404928060150671.371552336712971.43830378358838
811.443331705601911.408122557484981.47854085371884
821.453159727669731.416493068772271.48982638656719
831.448428188663011.410531308603971.48632506872204
841.44170921480102-9.6710966207982912.5545150504003