Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 101.81 | NA | NA | 1.00054708865757 | NA |
2 | 101.72 | NA | NA | 1.00086567684146 | NA |
3 | 101.78 | NA | NA | 1.00127198087622 | NA |
4 | 102.04 | NA | NA | 1.00084576000705 | NA |
5 | 102.36 | NA | NA | 0.998818787846641 | NA |
6 | 102.56 | NA | NA | 0.999316300529365 | NA |
7 | 102.69 | 102.416788753364 | 102.46125 | 0.99956606769256 | 1.00266764121353 |
8 | 102.77 | 102.503946599627 | 102.55625 | 0.999490002799702 | 1.00259554299321 |
9 | 102.85 | 102.647046686335 | 102.66875 | 0.999788608377278 | 1.0019771958397 |
10 | 102.9 | 102.734976992078 | 102.78625 | 0.999501168610378 | 1.00160629819321 |
11 | 102.72 | 102.821063483348 | 102.86625 | 0.999560725537755 | 0.999017093580593 |
12 | 102.79 | 102.956112438824 | 102.912083333333 | 1.00042783222402 | 0.998386570404719 |
13 | 102.9 | 103.009241039639 | 102.952916666667 | 1.00054708865757 | 0.99893950252874 |
14 | 102.91 | 103.080824167363 | 102.991666666667 | 1.00086567684146 | 0.998342813333685 |
15 | 103.29 | 103.160634993019 | 103.029583333333 | 1.00127198087622 | 1.00125401522577 |
16 | 103.35 | 103.153419312327 | 103.06625 | 1.00084576000705 | 1.00190571179301 |
17 | 102.97 | 102.998193402746 | 103.12 | 0.998818787846641 | 0.999726272842133 |
18 | 103.05 | 103.123196487752 | 103.19375 | 0.999316300529365 | 0.999290203462992 |
19 | 103.18 | 103.22227240958 | 103.267083333333 | 0.99956606769256 | 0.999590472011581 |
20 | 103.21 | 103.288546251825 | 103.34125 | 0.999490002799702 | 0.99923954538354 |
21 | 103.32 | 103.381058156318 | 103.402916666667 | 0.999788608377278 | 0.999409387392553 |
22 | 103.31 | 103.397979433923 | 103.449583333333 | 0.999501168610378 | 0.999149118441144 |
23 | 103.6 | 103.454535093158 | 103.5 | 0.999560725537755 | 1.00140607569027 |
24 | 103.68 | 103.596803096377 | 103.5525 | 1.00042783222402 | 1.00080308369695 |
25 | 103.77 | 103.655844595684 | 103.599166666667 | 1.00054708865757 | 1.00110129250079 |
26 | 103.82 | 103.733889021502 | 103.644166666667 | 1.00086567684146 | 1.00083011424049 |
27 | 103.86 | 103.825229270325 | 103.693333333333 | 1.00127198087622 | 1.00033489672904 |
28 | 103.9 | 103.836913562598 | 103.749166666667 | 1.00084576000705 | 1.00060755308721 |
29 | 103.63 | 103.674476957017 | 103.797083333333 | 0.998818787846641 | 0.999570994150902 |
30 | 103.65 | 103.769421028761 | 103.840416666667 | 0.999316300529365 | 0.998849169364373 |
31 | 103.7 | 103.84491877258 | 103.89 | 0.99956606769256 | 0.998604469296206 |
32 | 103.77 | 103.896569336861 | 103.949583333333 | 0.999490002799702 | 0.998781775590195 |
33 | 103.94 | 103.999260779165 | 104.02125 | 0.999788608377278 | 0.999430180765507 |
34 | 104.03 | 104.045572899419 | 104.0975 | 0.999501168610378 | 0.999850326169727 |
35 | 104.03 | 104.109247368385 | 104.155 | 0.999560725537755 | 0.999238805673963 |
36 | 104.29 | 104.237910598861 | 104.193333333333 | 1.00042783222402 | 1.00049971647398 |
37 | 104.35 | 104.294944048564 | 104.237916666667 | 1.00054708865757 | 1.00052788706047 |
38 | 104.67 | 104.375277109411 | 104.285 | 1.00086567684146 | 1.00282368486821 |
39 | 104.73 | 104.460619781523 | 104.327916666667 | 1.00127198087622 | 1.00257877292936 |
40 | 104.86 | 104.451182647803 | 104.362916666667 | 1.00084576000705 | 1.00391395618349 |
41 | 104.05 | 104.27085500826 | 104.394166666667 | 0.998818787846641 | 0.997881910450982 |
42 | 104.15 | 104.35152277382 | 104.422916666667 | 0.999316300529365 | 0.998068808499745 |
43 | 104.27 | 104.401343883596 | 104.446666666667 | 0.99956606769256 | 0.998741933018199 |
44 | 104.33 | 104.403394059114 | 104.456666666667 | 0.999490002799702 | 0.999297014625093 |
45 | 104.41 | 104.426253830659 | 104.448333333333 | 0.999788608377278 | 0.999844351108431 |
46 | 104.4 | 104.374158908599 | 104.42625 | 0.999501168610378 | 1.00024758131391 |
47 | 104.41 | 104.394538658799 | 104.440416666667 | 0.999560725537755 | 1.00014810488556 |
48 | 104.6 | 104.54470846741 | 104.5 | 1.00042783222402 | 1.00052887930342 |
49 | 104.61 | 104.614702222314 | 104.5575 | 1.00054708865757 | 0.999955051993513 |
50 | 104.65 | 104.699724399654 | 104.609166666667 | 1.00086567684146 | 0.999525076117067 |
51 | 104.55 | 104.789787945236 | 104.656666666667 | 1.00127198087622 | 0.997711724110355 |
52 | 104.51 | 104.791470206205 | 104.702916666667 | 1.00084576000705 | 0.997313996972738 |
53 | 104.74 | 104.634175342339 | 104.757916666667 | 0.998818787846641 | 1.00101137756679 |
54 | 104.89 | 104.746252712529 | 104.817916666667 | 0.999316300529365 | 1.00137233823405 |
55 | 104.91 | 104.831990264426 | 104.8775 | 0.99956606769256 | 1.00074414055649 |
56 | 104.93 | 104.884398622962 | 104.937916666667 | 0.999490002799702 | 1.00043477750397 |
57 | 104.95 | 104.982802822656 | 105.005 | 0.999788608377278 | 0.999687540989818 |
58 | 104.97 | 105.023001750556 | 105.075416666667 | 0.999501168610378 | 0.999495331978021 |
59 | 105.16 | 105.103393806659 | 105.149583333333 | 0.999560725537755 | 1.00053857626562 |
60 | 105.29 | 105.276271319723 | 105.23125 | 1.00042783222402 | 1.00013040621694 |
61 | 105.35 | 105.368447695769 | 105.310833333333 | 1.00054708865757 | 0.999824922012491 |
62 | 105.36 | 105.483735846513 | 105.3925 | 1.00086567684146 | 0.998826967536558 |
63 | 105.45 | 105.611665362872 | 105.4775 | 1.00127198087622 | 0.998469247101478 |
64 | 105.3 | 105.658452845811 | 105.569166666667 | 1.00084576000705 | 0.996607438059553 |
65 | 105.73 | 105.502315338776 | 105.627083333333 | 0.998818787846641 | 1.0021581010852 |
66 | 105.86 | 105.567773987922 | 105.64 | 0.999316300529365 | 1.00276813653484 |
67 | 105.85 | NA | NA | 0.99956606769256 | NA |
68 | 105.95 | NA | NA | 0.999490002799702 | NA |
69 | 105.97 | NA | NA | 0.999788608377278 | NA |
70 | 106.15 | NA | NA | 0.999501168610378 | NA |
71 | 105.37 | NA | NA | 0.999560725537755 | NA |
72 | 105.39 | NA | NA | 1.00042783222402 | NA |