Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.740373466602422
beta0
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
13102.9102.4448701623930.45512983760743
14102.91102.81442702620.0955729738000883
15103.29103.2885724933420.00142750665771985
16103.35103.374356249935-0.0243562499350531
17102.97102.983861704607-0.0138617046067395
18103.05103.0411921255920.00880787440763697
19103.18103.483302926548-0.303302926547971
20103.21103.304916859164-0.0949168591639022
21103.32103.2632304861720.0567695138280726
22103.31103.2987253304480.0112746695516108
23103.6103.1073969658140.49260303418562
24103.68103.5577585446260.122241455373882
25103.77103.898632981152-0.128632981151924
26103.82103.741548090620.0784519093795666
27103.86104.181319293605-0.321319293604702
28103.9104.02155927111-0.121559271110343
29103.63103.559397372990.0706026270101319
30103.65103.685224680268-0.0352246802675609
31103.7104.015263248144-0.315263248144277
32103.77103.882334280978-0.112334280978118
33103.94103.8671655438370.0728344561634344
34104.03103.9022786146190.127721385380724
35104.03103.920771803070.109228196929564
36104.29103.9908310470140.299168952986193
37104.35104.398169550859-0.0481695508594413
38104.67104.3540147292470.315985270752662
39104.73104.867266975668-0.137266975668027
40104.86104.89620738305-0.0362073830503533
41104.05104.543540483666-0.493540483665939
42104.15104.224133140537-0.0741331405368868
43104.27104.45358682585-0.183586825849886
44104.33104.471356297581-0.141356297580671
45104.41104.483079362608-0.0730793626077855
46104.4104.424071145224-0.0240711452238713
47104.41104.3248434156810.0851565843191224
48104.6104.4261501942530.173849805747125
49104.61104.650610327421-0.0406103274207226
50104.65104.706476466661-0.0564764666606266
51104.55104.826251936341-0.276251936341438
52104.51104.778428347848-0.268428347848044
53104.74104.1359991633260.604000836674274
54104.89104.7385413239580.151458676042083
55104.91105.107846676982-0.197846676981584
56104.93105.126670298978-0.196670298978049
57104.95105.115610404951-0.165610404951295
58104.97105.000518190197-0.0305181901970428
59105.16104.9242289956820.235771004318082
60105.29105.1600174958450.129982504154967
61105.35105.2961834402660.0538165597336189
62105.36105.417977642561-0.0579776425613261
63105.45105.479739988245-0.0297399882447422
64105.3105.617169805603-0.317169805603342
65105.73105.1621591791040.56784082089635
66105.86105.6202069678340.23979303216619
67105.85105.965061667634-0.115061667634222
68105.95106.046374729209-0.0963747292089465
69105.97106.118392922129-0.148392922129148
70106.15106.0509301402190.0990698597808262
71105.37106.13911230456-0.769112304559584
72105.39105.60330786866-0.213307868660081


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73105.465469960074105.001130368587105.929809551562
74105.518379712479104.940642485437106.09611693952
75105.630472941295104.958018073359106.30292780923
76105.715153371868104.959812372247106.47049437149
77105.723945676186104.894332715493106.553558636879
78105.676311043747104.77896559985106.573656487645
79105.751451542469104.79040924488106.712493840059
80105.922685593521104.901163220003106.944207967039
81106.052494205144104.974107262969107.130881147319
82106.159162928329105.026901604388107.29142425227
83105.947492652875104.76676392827107.12822137748
84106.12597575925698.4753818076871113.776569710825