Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.0313134853583391
gamma0.0896131058144704


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
13104.18102.9064035536221.27359644637811
14103.73103.837545785461-0.107545785460815
15103.78103.886634803032-0.106634803032009
16103.61103.70012729274-0.0901272927402346
17103.84103.8982464176-0.0582464176002873
18103.86103.934250207149-0.0742502071490208
19104.14105.236951880244-1.09695188024438
20104.05103.7827670095260.267232990474199
21104.01103.8588213217940.151178678206435
22104.49103.9837087916860.506291208314096
23104.83104.4977797762750.332220223724946
24104.78105.630138797072-0.850138797072162
25104.95105.303592773973-0.353592773973489
26105.28104.5575511527830.722448847217308
27105.28105.416012827318-0.136012827318311
28105.91105.1753008090670.734699190932588
29106.81106.2053322701350.604667729865142
30106.39106.927174309219-0.537174309219452
31107.02107.807178102903-0.787178102903155
32106.92106.6695030897870.25049691021286
33107.01106.7393655293920.270634470607817
34106.79107.002126830241-0.212126830240962
35107.41106.7954486472150.614551352784744
36107.13108.235463203393-1.10546320339304
37107.54107.663995815448-0.123995815448083
38108.48107.1435735124281.33642648757231
39108.5108.643472169457-0.143472169456786
40108.27108.41522389482-0.145223894819651
41109.42108.5684389510040.851561048996231
42110.09109.5433975292480.546602470751722
43109.98111.592487897696-1.61248789769624
44109.99109.6320653392340.357934660766205
45109.54109.81933359738-0.279333597380273
46108.85109.530619569642-0.680619569641948
47106.76108.840561401912-2.08056140191204
48107.56107.4853996293680.0746003706318419
49106.24108.035869552339-1.79586955233886
50108.85105.7390703200063.11092967999375
51111.11108.9575649289072.15243507109253
52111.85111.0343428385760.815657161424383
53110.68112.197887476032-1.51788747603241
54106.96110.774261232041-3.81426123204101
55106.74108.260443733178-1.52044373317831
56105.73106.245418263058-0.515418263057512
57105.66105.3845749129890.27542508701103
58104.01105.486272481623-1.4762724816234
59106.86103.812546561853.04745343814989
60108.84107.5500919789141.28990802108584
61110.66109.322355265381.33764473462041
62106.93110.235610819462-3.30561081946229
63103.74106.937292935347-3.19729293534716
64101.64103.416158541542-1.77615854154242
65102.17101.6293391586550.540660841344803
66101.13101.987722447404-0.857722447403745
67100.64102.169730057446-1.52973005744579
68100.4399.98200719184380.447992808156158
6999.7799.9398964229408-0.169896422940852
7099.7999.43092706379140.359072936208619
7199.4799.4809362159269-0.0109362159269324
7299.6399.9017893755851-0.271789375585072


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7399.815784963599597.2920713163253102.339498610874
7499.142538480976595.526967194978102.758109766975
7598.950953950747394.451200868607103.450707032888
7698.538058189026993.2702670924126103.805849285641
7798.478317992413692.4904282241067104.466207760721
7898.236394513337491.5811248968841104.891664129791
7999.206421143665191.8347762117089106.578066075621
8098.566646743374390.6112577126983106.52203577405
8198.080043075260189.5473726139363106.612713536584
8297.746585609967288.6376449010697106.855526318865
8397.432195737411487.755787969298107.108603505525
8497.843753376453978.115867887128117.57163886578