Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 2240 | NA | NA | 1.01248 | NA |
2 | 2240 | NA | NA | 1.08081 | NA |
3 | 2380 | NA | NA | 0.99306 | NA |
4 | 2380 | NA | NA | 0.991757 | NA |
5 | 2380 | NA | NA | 0.898273 | NA |
6 | 2380 | NA | NA | 1.04729 | NA |
7 | 2140 | 2028.47 | 2316.67 | 0.875601 | 1.05498 |
8 | 2400 | 2540.43 | 2318.33 | 1.0958 | 0.944722 |
9 | 2180 | 2052.09 | 2315 | 0.886434 | 1.06233 |
10 | 2260 | 2651.86 | 2310.83 | 1.14758 | 0.852231 |
11 | 2280 | 2247.81 | 2304.17 | 0.97554 | 1.01432 |
12 | 2480 | 2291.86 | 2302.5 | 0.995378 | 1.08209 |
13 | 2360 | 2324.49 | 2295.83 | 1.01248 | 1.01528 |
14 | 2160 | 2478.65 | 2293.33 | 1.08081 | 0.871442 |
15 | 2380 | 2283.21 | 2299.17 | 0.99306 | 1.04239 |
16 | 2280 | 2287.65 | 2306.67 | 0.991757 | 0.996655 |
17 | 2320 | 2078.75 | 2314.17 | 0.898273 | 1.11605 |
18 | 2400 | 2415.75 | 2306.67 | 1.04729 | 0.993479 |
19 | 1960 | 2007.31 | 2292.5 | 0.875601 | 0.976429 |
20 | 2520 | 2509.38 | 2290 | 1.0958 | 1.00423 |
21 | 2200 | 2026.24 | 2285.83 | 0.886434 | 1.08576 |
22 | 2420 | 2617.43 | 2280.83 | 1.14758 | 0.924569 |
23 | 2300 | 2224.23 | 2280 | 0.97554 | 1.03407 |
24 | 2280 | 2270.29 | 2280.83 | 0.995378 | 1.00428 |
25 | 2220 | 2307.61 | 2279.17 | 1.01248 | 0.962034 |
26 | 2240 | 2457.04 | 2273.33 | 1.08081 | 0.911668 |
27 | 2200 | 2256.73 | 2272.5 | 0.99306 | 0.974862 |
28 | 2340 | 2255.42 | 2274.17 | 0.991757 | 1.0375 |
29 | 2240 | 2043.57 | 2275 | 0.898273 | 1.09612 |
30 | 2500 | 2386.08 | 2278.33 | 1.04729 | 1.04774 |
31 | 1820 | 2000.02 | 2284.17 | 0.875601 | 0.909992 |
32 | 2520 | 2503.9 | 2285 | 1.0958 | 1.00643 |
33 | 2180 | 2026.98 | 2286.67 | 0.886434 | 1.07549 |
34 | 2480 | 2616.48 | 2280 | 1.14758 | 0.947839 |
35 | 2260 | 2214.48 | 2270 | 0.97554 | 1.02056 |
36 | 2400 | 2256.19 | 2266.67 | 0.995378 | 1.06374 |
37 | 2240 | 2294.96 | 2266.67 | 1.01248 | 0.976054 |
38 | 2240 | 2449.83 | 2266.67 | 1.08081 | 0.914349 |
39 | 2240 | 2240.18 | 2255.83 | 0.99306 | 0.99992 |
40 | 2140 | 2230.63 | 2249.17 | 0.991757 | 0.959372 |
41 | 2200 | 2023.36 | 2252.5 | 0.898273 | 1.0873 |
42 | 2460 | 2356.41 | 2250 | 1.04729 | 1.04396 |
43 | 1860 | 1970.1 | 2250 | 0.875601 | 0.944114 |
44 | 2480 | 2478.33 | 2261.67 | 1.0958 | 1.00067 |
45 | 1960 | 2015.16 | 2273.33 | 0.886434 | 0.972628 |
46 | 2540 | 2614.57 | 2278.33 | 1.14758 | 0.971481 |
47 | 2280 | 2220.98 | 2276.67 | 0.97554 | 1.02657 |
48 | 2320 | 2262.83 | 2273.33 | 0.995378 | 1.02527 |
49 | 2320 | 2313.52 | 2285 | 1.01248 | 1.0028 |
50 | 2440 | 2482.25 | 2296.67 | 1.08081 | 0.982977 |
51 | 2320 | 2286.52 | 2302.5 | 0.99306 | 1.01464 |
52 | 2180 | 2295.92 | 2315 | 0.991757 | 0.949512 |
53 | 2120 | 2082.5 | 2318.33 | 0.898273 | 1.01801 |
54 | 2460 | 2421.86 | 2312.5 | 1.04729 | 1.01575 |
55 | 2140 | 2023.37 | 2310.83 | 0.875601 | 1.05764 |
56 | 2480 | 2545.91 | 2323.33 | 1.0958 | 0.974112 |
57 | 2100 | 2069.08 | 2334.17 | 0.886434 | 1.01494 |
58 | 2700 | 2686.29 | 2340.83 | 1.14758 | 1.0051 |
59 | 2200 | 2286.83 | 2344.17 | 0.97554 | 0.962031 |
60 | 2260 | 2325.87 | 2336.67 | 0.995378 | 0.971681 |
61 | 2340 | 2356.55 | 2327.5 | 1.01248 | 0.992978 |
62 | 2720 | 2511.98 | 2324.17 | 1.08081 | 1.08281 |
63 | 2300 | 2305.56 | 2321.67 | 0.99306 | 0.997591 |
64 | 2360 | 2307.49 | 2326.67 | 0.991757 | 1.02276 |
65 | 2020 | 2101.21 | 2339.17 | 0.898273 | 0.96135 |
66 | 2380 | 2454.15 | 2343.33 | 1.04729 | 0.969784 |
67 | 2000 | 2051.82 | 2343.33 | 0.875601 | 0.974742 |
68 | 2540 | 2570.56 | 2345.83 | 1.0958 | 0.98811 |
69 | 1980 | 2086.07 | 2353.33 | 0.886434 | 0.949152 |
70 | 2940 | 2704.46 | 2356.67 | 1.14758 | 1.08709 |
71 | 2260 | 2297.4 | 2355 | 0.97554 | 0.983722 |
72 | 2300 | 2340.8 | 2351.67 | 0.995378 | 0.982572 |
73 | 2300 | 2386.08 | 2356.67 | 1.01248 | 0.963925 |
74 | 2820 | 2561.51 | 2370 | 1.08081 | 1.10091 |
75 | 2380 | 2357.69 | 2374.17 | 0.99306 | 1.00946 |
76 | 2360 | 2353.77 | 2373.33 | 0.991757 | 1.00265 |
77 | 1980 | 2132.65 | 2374.17 | 0.898273 | 0.928422 |
78 | 2340 | 2480.34 | 2368.33 | 1.04729 | 0.94342 |
79 | 2160 | 2074.44 | 2369.17 | 0.875601 | 1.04124 |
80 | 2700 | 2598.87 | 2371.67 | 1.0958 | 1.03891 |
81 | 1920 | 2098.63 | 2367.5 | 0.886434 | 0.914882 |
82 | 2980 | 2716.89 | 2367.5 | 1.14758 | 1.09684 |
83 | 2240 | 2311.22 | 2369.17 | 0.97554 | 0.969186 |
84 | 2180 | 2365.68 | 2376.67 | 0.995378 | 0.921511 |
85 | 2440 | 2413.92 | 2384.17 | 1.01248 | 1.0108 |
86 | 2740 | 2579.53 | 2386.67 | 1.08081 | 1.06221 |
87 | 2360 | 2373.41 | 2390 | 0.99306 | 0.994348 |
88 | 2380 | 2375.26 | 2395 | 0.991757 | 1.002 |
89 | 2000 | 2156.6 | 2400.83 | 0.898273 | 0.927384 |
90 | 2500 | 2519.61 | 2405.83 | 1.04729 | 0.992217 |
91 | 2180 | 2113.85 | 2414.17 | 0.875601 | 1.0313 |
92 | 2740 | 2651.83 | 2420 | 1.0958 | 1.03325 |
93 | 1960 | 2141.48 | 2415.83 | 0.886434 | 0.915257 |
94 | 3060 | 2768.53 | 2412.5 | 1.14758 | 1.10528 |
95 | 2300 | 2346.99 | 2405.83 | 0.97554 | 0.97998 |
96 | 2240 | 2384.76 | 2395.83 | 0.995378 | 0.939298 |
97 | 2580 | 2418.98 | 2389.17 | 1.01248 | 1.06656 |
98 | 2740 | 2575.02 | 2382.5 | 1.08081 | 1.06407 |
99 | 2260 | 2361 | 2377.5 | 0.99306 | 0.957221 |
100 | 2400 | 2352.94 | 2372.5 | 0.991757 | 1.02 |
101 | 1820 | 2126.66 | 2367.5 | 0.898273 | 0.855801 |
102 | 2440 | 2479.46 | 2367.5 | 1.04729 | 0.984084 |
103 | 2080 | NA | NA | 0.875601 | NA |
104 | 2680 | NA | NA | 1.0958 | NA |
105 | 1900 | NA | NA | 0.886434 | NA |
106 | 3000 | NA | NA | 1.14758 | NA |
107 | 2240 | NA | NA | 0.97554 | NA |
108 | 2300 | NA | NA | 0.995378 | NA |