Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0
gamma0.390555699717276


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1315.57915.45480899225990.124191007740077
1416.34816.4202003344058-0.0722003344058351
1515.92815.92395789432380.00404210567620922
1616.17116.0720325188880.0989674811120338
1715.93715.80957244025820.127427559741818
1815.71315.5742003464080.138799653591967
1915.59416.8367734825685-1.24277348256845
2015.68315.33262108787710.35037891212286
2116.43814.93228462815211.50571537184791
2217.03216.22888977240110.803110227598886
2317.69617.9113593373384-0.215359337338423
2417.74517.37748455029510.367515449704918
2519.39418.10180191642421.2921980835758
2620.14820.4300272021554-0.282027202155398
2720.10819.6150954564790.492904543521036
2818.58420.2781339945216-1.6941339945216
2918.44118.16215660590060.278843394099372
3018.39118.01454355281090.376456447189117
3119.17819.698587106943-0.52058710694298
3218.07918.8463499802461-0.767349980246134
3318.48317.20715650532581.27584349467424
3419.64418.2427139304671.40128606953296
3519.19520.6515420777206-1.45654207772061
3619.6518.84589221521510.804107784784897
3720.8320.04044839555950.789551604440515
3823.59521.93936177151011.65563822848985
3922.93722.9633457661497-0.0263457661497206
4021.81423.1247993233655-1.31079932336552
4121.92821.31128501660310.616714983396893
4221.77721.41289689175930.364103108240737
4321.38323.3169967156555-1.93399671565551
4421.46721.00811677926220.458883220737789
4522.05220.4238785086081.62812149139196
4622.6821.75730484495960.922695155040408
4724.3223.83653242986470.483467570135307
4824.97723.86629867466481.11070132533521
4925.20425.4615349017819-0.257534901781895
5025.73926.5367360099208-0.79773600992079
5126.43425.04592443279731.38807556720273
5227.52526.64363589281310.881364107186915
5330.69526.87929503317333.81570496682665
5432.43629.95702184804272.47897815195727
5530.1634.7076133781679-4.54761337816786
5630.23629.61302707176290.622972928237058
5731.29328.74956777861462.54343222138536
5831.07730.85742662720270.219573372797289
5932.22632.6456114769509-0.419611476950934
6033.86531.61094910752512.25405089247486
6132.8134.5065164800257-1.6965164800257
6232.24234.5311640980212-2.28916409802123
6332.731.36262642403281.33737357596718
6432.81932.9487631287749-0.12976312877489
6533.94732.04074574718541.90625425281459
6634.14833.12634936690141.02165063309862
6735.26136.5371223120473-1.27612231204731
6839.50634.61401230613074.89198769386925
6941.59137.55092934013384.04007065986624
7039.14840.9984345390672-1.85043453906719
7141.21641.11269221876740.103307781232587
7240.22540.4174767310281-0.192476731028108


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7340.978848032414437.954413273113444.0032827917154
7443.117184102985438.729412695366747.5049555106041
7541.926258144528136.700126643756447.1523896452999
7642.232633462812436.166183161411648.2990837642131
7741.218684009006534.575700217806847.8616678002062
7840.213172318373933.067456914237547.3588877225103
7943.01859832956134.805283535277151.2319131238449
8042.21950822855633.617975006866450.8210414502455
8140.127258036970731.418526254225148.8359898197162
8239.557007191231930.463359307711748.650655074752
8341.54177125632731.533915517068751.5496269955853
8440.7365994860656-27.8335770469334109.306776019065