Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.69078213740303
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
2101.1499.231.91
3100.8100.549393882440.25060611756021
498.93100.722508111974-1.7925081119743
5100.9799.48427552707241.48572447292757
6101.69100.5105874540731.17941254592667
7102.14101.3253045734280.814695426571504
8102.52101.8880816215280.631918378471966
9103.4102.3245995496731.07540045032685
10105.83103.0674669713142.76253302868588
11104.35104.975775441516-0.625775441516225
12106.61104.5435009444912.06649905550869
13105.63105.971001578997-0.341001578996952
14106.73105.73544377940.994556220600373
15106.19106.422465451233-0.232465451233438
16107.26106.2618824699580.998117530041966
17106.27106.95136423074-0.68136423073986
18107.45106.4806899910790.969310008920601
19107.63107.1502720308480.479727969152265
20107.45107.481659542751-0.0316595427507451
21107.74107.459789696140.280210303859803
22108.15107.6533539687630.496646031237191
23108.99107.9964281757540.993571824246416
24108.83108.682769844170.147230155830059
25110.78108.7844738059041.99552619409559
26110.66110.1629476555050.497052344494506
27108.51110.506302536437-1.99630253643659
28108.29109.127292403414-0.837292403413826
29109.33108.5489057673520.781094232647689
30107.06109.088471710894-2.02847171089385
31108.02107.6872396867810.332760313218984
32109.43107.9171045671891.51289543281068
33109.85108.9621857079340.887814292066423
34110.5109.5754719622240.924528037775829
35109.9110.214119416248-0.314119416247976
36110.92109.9971313344920.922868665507593
37108.36110.634632523794-2.27463252379403
38109.01109.063357007201-0.0533570072011287
39108.03109.026498939721-0.996498939721306
40106.28108.338135272221-2.05813527222077
41106.6106.916412189812-0.316412189811544
42108.06106.6978403010331.36215969896685
43107.42107.63879588937-0.218795889369744
44107.58107.4876555972560.0923444027440752
45107.59107.5514454611610.0385545388393211
46109.66107.5780782479072.08192175209329
47107.85109.016232605724-1.16623260572358
48110.74108.2106199536332.52938004636727
49108.8109.957870508367-1.15787050836688
50109.18109.1580342437610.0219657562387283
51108.38109.173207795806-0.793207795805543
52108.59108.625274019214-0.035274019214242
53109.52108.6009073568270.919092643173357
54108.71109.235800137349-0.525800137349336
55109.78108.8725867946240.907413205375647
56109.77109.4994116281410.270588371858523
57109.34109.68632924201-0.346329242010313
58111.86109.4470911879692.41290881203074
59110.74111.113885494502-0.37388549450246
60110.67110.855612073466-0.185612073466061
61111.36110.7273945686290.632605431370635
62112.21111.1643871006441.04561289935566
63110.2111.886677814157-1.68667781415741
64110.99110.7215509085830.268449091416514
65110.43110.906990745736-0.476990745736074
66110.72110.5774940588750.142505941124952
67111.19110.6759346174780.51406538252202
68111.52111.0310418011810.488958198818551
69111.99111.3688053908620.62119460913793
70111.65111.797915530706-0.147915530705603
71114.45111.695738124252.75426187575032
72115.58113.5983330297481.98166697025184


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73114.96723317508112.70588599567117.228580354489
74114.96723317508112.218807812987117.715658537173
75114.96723317508111.80590546727118.12856088289
76114.96723317508111.441025044334118.493441305826
77114.96723317508111.110512458394118.823953891765
78114.96723317508110.806170138825119.128296211334
79114.96723317508110.522618850208119.411847499952
80114.96723317508110.256103013215119.678363336944
81114.96723317508110.003877625938119.930588724222
82114.96723317508109.763864149883120.170602200276
83114.96723317508109.534443825441120.400022524718
84114.96723317508109.314326752476120.620139597684