Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.125332141259147
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
339.5539.440.109999999999999
439.6439.6437865355385-0.00378653553850228
539.839.73331196093150.0666880390684881
639.7939.9016701156643-0.111670115664339
739.7939.8776742609535-0.0876742609534702
839.8639.8666858580949-0.00668585809485478
939.9139.9358479051837-0.0258479051836744
104039.98260833187990.0173916681200623
1140.0140.0747880668855-0.0647880668854981
1240.0140.0766680397347-0.0666680397346937
1340.0140.0683123915612-0.0583123915611949
1439.9640.0610039746649-0.101003974664884
154039.99834493024450.00165506975554308
1639.7640.0385523636809-0.278552363680852
1739.6839.7636407994879-0.0836407994879309
1839.739.67315791899150.0268420810085175
1939.739.69652209448010.00347790551986549
2039.7339.6969579878260.0330420121739579
2139.6439.7310992139633-0.0910992139633038
2239.5639.6296815544103-0.0696815544102591
2339.6739.54094821598980.129051784010244
2439.6639.6671225524131-0.00712255241307957
2539.6639.65622986766790.00377013233208601
2640.0539.65670238642590.393297613574077
2739.9940.0959952184873-0.105995218487273
2840.0640.0227106107910.037289389208965
2940.0840.0973841697868-0.017384169786844
3040.140.1152053745634-0.0152053745634362
3140.140.1332996524108-0.0332996524107614
3240.1240.1291261356709-0.00912613567093956
3340.0740.1479823375459-0.077982337545869
3440.2440.08820864420090.151791355799148
3540.5840.27723297984780.302767020152203
3640.7240.65517941878610.0648205812138798
3740.7240.8033035210273-0.0833035210273181
3840.8940.79286291236250.0971370876374635
3940.940.9750373115518-0.0750373115518173
4041.0440.97563272462070.0643672753793041
4141.2741.1237000130710.146299986929002
4241.2941.372036103699-0.0820361036990036
4341.2941.3817543431618-0.0917543431618455
4441.3341.3702545748635-0.0402545748635461
4541.3441.4052093828004-0.0652093828004183
4641.3741.4070365512239-0.0370365512238635
4741.3341.4323946809541-0.102394680954113
4841.3741.3795613363366-0.00956133633658851
4941.3741.4183629935802-0.048362993580227
5041.4241.41230155603710.00769844396288732
5141.6141.46326641850340.146733581496648
5241.5841.6716568524669-0.0916568524669472
5341.7541.63016930288620.119830697113812
5441.7541.815187940744-0.065187940744039
5541.7541.8070177965463-0.0570177965463117
5641.8541.79987163401530.0501283659847118
5741.8441.906154329462-0.0661543294619733
5841.9741.88786306569690.0821369343030511
5942.0142.0281574635496-0.0181574635496062
6042.0442.0658817497631-0.0258817497630943
6142.0442.0926379346458-0.0526379346457588
6242.0642.0860407095851-0.0260407095851392
6341.9342.1027769716929-0.172776971692933
6441.9341.9511224638704-0.021122463870384
6541.9941.94847514024480.0415248597551638
6642.0342.01367953983340.0163204601665612
6742.0342.0557250180524-0.025725018052448
6842.1242.0525008464560.0674991535439915
6942.2242.15096065990290.0690393400971487
7042.2142.2596135082283-0.0496135082283473
7142.2342.2433953410067-0.0133953410067136
7242.2242.2617164742354-0.041716474235443


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7342.246488059193742.053766061070642.4392100573169
7442.272976118387541.982843251930642.5631089848443
7542.299464177581241.9222735208442.6766548343224
7642.325952236774941.864871160191942.787033313358
7742.352440295968741.808094046079842.8967865458575
7842.378928355162441.750763655495843.007093054829
7942.405416414356141.692256708385843.1185761203264
8042.431904473549941.632218706936143.2315902401636
8142.458392532743641.570440155731543.3463449097557
8242.484880591937341.506795770263343.4629654136113
8342.511368651131141.441211809548143.5815254927141
8442.537856710324841.373647312469743.7020661081799