Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 100.44 | NA | NA | 1.00223460174241 | NA |
2 | 100.47 | NA | NA | 0.998605405436807 | NA |
3 | 100.49 | NA | NA | 0.998680354916065 | NA |
4 | 100.52 | NA | NA | 0.998493185427312 | NA |
5 | 100.47 | NA | NA | 0.998698169639976 | NA |
6 | 100.48 | NA | NA | 0.998319439145954 | NA |
7 | 100.48 | 100.410497817474 | 100.638333333333 | 0.997736096094667 | 1.00069218043966 |
8 | 100.53 | 100.547493391674 | 100.68125 | 0.998671484429062 | 0.999826018619824 |
9 | 100.62 | 100.688553346225 | 100.718333333333 | 0.999704324067699 | 0.999319154522069 |
10 | 100.89 | 101.014428658455 | 100.755833333333 | 1.00256655437772 | 0.998768209055795 |
11 | 100.97 | 101.133387945496 | 100.8 | 1.0033074200942 | 0.998384431206995 |
12 | 101.01 | 101.151667801883 | 100.850833333333 | 1.00298296462812 | 0.998599451645613 |
13 | 101.02 | 101.128394500065 | 100.902916666667 | 1.00223460174241 | 0.998928149699196 |
14 | 100.92 | 100.815873048215 | 100.956666666667 | 0.998605405436807 | 1.00103284283155 |
15 | 100.93 | 100.879615467774 | 101.012916666667 | 0.998680354916065 | 1.00049945206465 |
16 | 100.98 | 100.915626057002 | 101.067916666667 | 0.998493185427312 | 1.0006378986636 |
17 | 101.07 | 100.989191162469 | 101.120833333333 | 0.998698169639976 | 1.00080017313339 |
18 | 101.1 | 101.004137322726 | 101.174166666667 | 0.998319439145954 | 1.00094909654015 |
19 | 101.11 | 100.998330667423 | 101.2275 | 0.997736096094667 | 1.00110565523053 |
20 | 101.19 | 101.146280169212 | 101.280833333333 | 0.998671484429062 | 1.00043224358537 |
21 | 101.31 | 101.311702374894 | 101.341666666667 | 0.999704324067699 | 0.999983196660857 |
22 | 101.52 | 101.671527487637 | 101.41125 | 1.00256655437772 | 0.998509636951647 |
23 | 101.61 | 101.820235483502 | 101.484583333333 | 1.0033074200942 | 0.997935228861891 |
24 | 101.65 | 101.865457345044 | 101.5625 | 1.00298296462812 | 0.997884883152157 |
25 | 101.66 | 101.869630507603 | 101.6425 | 1.00223460174241 | 0.99794216876454 |
26 | 101.56 | 101.578557926618 | 101.720416666667 | 0.998605405436807 | 0.999817304685197 |
27 | 101.75 | 101.670237415415 | 101.804583333333 | 0.998680354916065 | 1.00078452245822 |
28 | 101.83 | 101.755192410416 | 101.90875 | 0.998493185427312 | 1.00073517220903 |
29 | 101.98 | 101.897590372604 | 102.030416666667 | 0.998698169639976 | 1.00080874952091 |
30 | 102.06 | 101.988313903151 | 102.16 | 0.998319439145954 | 1.00070288540036 |
31 | 102.07 | 102.059672439644 | 102.29125 | 0.997736096094667 | 1.00010119139234 |
32 | 102.1 | 102.27685951221 | 102.412916666667 | 0.998671484429062 | 0.998270776859464 |
33 | 102.42 | 102.495518911978 | 102.525833333333 | 0.999704324067699 | 0.999263197915585 |
34 | 102.91 | 102.900506988879 | 102.637083333333 | 1.00256655437772 | 1.00009225426967 |
35 | 103.14 | 103.084820877579 | 102.745 | 1.0033074200942 | 1.00053527883108 |
36 | 103.23 | 103.156797912002 | 102.85 | 1.00298296462812 | 1.00070961962255 |
37 | 103.23 | 103.183810629138 | 102.95375 | 1.00223460174241 | 1.0004476416463 |
38 | 102.91 | 102.91793742666 | 103.061666666667 | 0.998605405436807 | 0.999922876158829 |
39 | 103.11 | 103.028026581287 | 103.164166666667 | 0.998680354916065 | 1.00079564193777 |
40 | 103.14 | 103.099829900124 | 103.255416666667 | 0.998493185427312 | 1.00038962333803 |
41 | 103.26 | 103.211294589918 | 103.345833333333 | 0.998698169639976 | 1.0004719000016 |
42 | 103.3 | 103.262003120928 | 103.435833333333 | 0.998319439145954 | 1.0003679657369 |
43 | 103.32 | 103.289797901454 | 103.524166666667 | 0.997736096094667 | 1.00029240156492 |
44 | 103.44 | 103.475265293525 | 103.612916666667 | 0.998671484429062 | 0.999659191078905 |
45 | 103.54 | 103.663090253795 | 103.69375 | 0.999704324067699 | 0.99881259324323 |
46 | 103.98 | 104.027558890425 | 103.76125 | 1.00256655437772 | 0.999542824123414 |
47 | 104.24 | 104.16086808563 | 103.8175 | 1.0033074200942 | 1.00075970866818 |
48 | 104.29 | 104.176497259374 | 103.866666666667 | 1.00298296462812 | 1.00108952348765 |
49 | 104.29 | 104.146373444562 | 103.914166666667 | 1.00223460174241 | 1.00137908359829 |
50 | 103.98 | 103.828748773535 | 103.97375 | 0.998605405436807 | 1.00145673744749 |
51 | 103.98 | 103.908945877686 | 104.04625 | 0.998680354916065 | 1.0006838114054 |
52 | 103.89 | 103.959782156074 | 104.116666666667 | 0.998493185427312 | 0.999328758154102 |
53 | 103.86 | 104.042294691906 | 104.177916666667 | 0.998698169639976 | 0.998247878976085 |
54 | 103.88 | 104.055251108616 | 104.230416666667 | 0.998319439145954 | 0.998315787941996 |
55 | 103.88 | 104.045167270872 | 104.28125 | 0.997736096094667 | 0.998412542598523 |
56 | 104.31 | 104.191395970484 | 104.33 | 0.998671484429062 | 1.00113832844268 |
57 | 104.41 | 104.351220063528 | 104.382083333333 | 0.999704324067699 | 1.00056328940319 |
58 | 104.8 | 104.71974754901 | 104.451666666667 | 1.00256655437772 | 1.00076635451162 |
59 | 104.89 | 104.887429875681 | 104.541666666667 | 1.0033074200942 | 1.00002450364473 |
60 | 104.9 | 104.953391147393 | 104.64125 | 1.00298296462812 | 0.999491287067441 |
61 | 104.9 | 104.976557773005 | 104.7425 | 1.00223460174241 | 0.999270715532792 |
62 | 104.54 | 104.695038962752 | 104.84125 | 0.998605405436807 | 0.998519137446362 |
63 | 104.67 | 104.809838781183 | 104.948333333333 | 0.998680354916065 | 0.998665785742933 |
64 | 104.87 | 104.910430876366 | 105.06875 | 0.998493185427312 | 0.999614615286315 |
65 | 105.04 | 105.058470079515 | 105.195416666667 | 0.998698169639976 | 0.999824192380675 |
66 | 105.09 | 105.151322659511 | 105.328333333333 | 0.998319439145954 | 0.999416815138788 |
67 | 105.1 | 105.224990204504 | 105.46375 | 0.997736096094667 | 0.998812162355529 |
68 | 105.46 | 105.450554267102 | 105.590833333333 | 0.998671484429062 | 1.00008957499526 |
69 | 105.83 | 105.674162119045 | 105.705416666667 | 0.999704324067699 | 1.00147470183658 |
70 | 106.27 | 106.085744479349 | 105.814166666667 | 1.00256655437772 | 1.00173685466935 |
71 | 106.46 | 106.271158025895 | 105.920833333333 | 1.0033074200942 | 1.00177698236862 |
72 | 106.52 | 106.345447920383 | 106.029166666667 | 1.00298296462812 | 1.00164136860609 |
73 | 106.53 | 106.375927835688 | 106.13875 | 1.00223460174241 | 1.00144837434039 |
74 | 105.96 | 106.101408242075 | 106.249583333333 | 0.998605405436807 | 0.998667235012069 |
75 | 106 | 106.213816913469 | 106.354166666667 | 0.998680354916065 | 0.997986919972539 |
76 | 106.15 | 106.287103355774 | 106.4475 | 0.998493185427312 | 0.998710065930437 |
77 | 106.32 | 106.398390123782 | 106.537083333333 | 0.998698169639976 | 0.999263239568847 |
78 | 106.41 | 106.445810198937 | 106.625 | 0.998319439145954 | 0.999663582823313 |
79 | 106.41 | NA | NA | 0.997736096094667 | NA |
80 | 106.81 | NA | NA | 0.998671484429062 | NA |
81 | 106.99 | NA | NA | 0.999704324067699 | NA |
82 | 107.35 | NA | NA | 1.00256655437772 | NA |
83 | 107.53 | NA | NA | 1.0033074200942 | NA |
84 | 107.56 | NA | NA | 1.00298296462812 | NA |