| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0.170287662769946 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 16.69 | 16.68 | 0.0100000000000016 |
| 4 | 16.61 | 16.6917028766277 | -0.0817028766277019 |
| 5 | 16.58 | 16.5977898847252 | -0.0177898847251896 |
| 6 | 16.6 | 16.5647604868344 | 0.0352395131656138 |
| 7 | 16.6 | 16.5907613411685 | 0.00923865883148878 |
| 8 | 16.62 | 16.5923345707881 | 0.0276654292119467 |
| 9 | 16.62 | 16.6170456520681 | 0.00295434793191518 |
| 10 | 16.6 | 16.6175487410724 | -0.0175487410724173 |
| 11 | 16.63 | 16.5945604069706 | 0.0354395930293556 |
| 12 | 16.66 | 16.6305953324371 | 0.0294046675628721 |
| 13 | 16.66 | 16.6656025845509 | -0.00560258455093887 |
| 14 | 16.65 | 16.6646485335223 | -0.0146485335222906 |
| 15 | 16.5 | 16.6521540689858 | -0.152154068985769 |
| 16 | 16.39 | 16.4762441081972 | -0.0862441081972456 |
| 17 | 16.34 | 16.3515578005847 | -0.0115578005846579 |
| 18 | 16.35 | 16.2995896497363 | 0.0504103502636646 |
| 19 | 16.35 | 16.3181739104621 | 0.0318260895378515 |
| 20 | 16.38 | 16.3235935008647 | 0.0564064991353384 |
| 21 | 16.36 | 16.3631988317674 | -0.00319883176744895 |
| 22 | 16.38 | 16.3426541101822 | 0.0373458898178249 |
| 23 | 16.39 | 16.3690136544733 | 0.0209863455266834 |
| 24 | 16.41 | 16.3825873702031 | 0.02741262979686 |
| 25 | 16.41 | 16.4072554028616 | 0.00274459713837416 |
| 26 | 16.41 | 16.4077227738936 | 0.0022772261064361 |
| 27 | 16.45 | 16.4081105574048 | 0.0418894425951706 |
| 28 | 16.41 | 16.4552438126791 | -0.0452438126790931 |
| 29 | 16.44 | 16.4075393495632 | 0.0324606504368319 |
| 30 | 16.47 | 16.4430669978581 | 0.0269330021419485 |
| 31 | 16.47 | 16.4776533558442 | -0.00765335584418025 |
| 32 | 16.49 | 16.4763500837651 | 0.013649916234872 |
| 33 | 16.54 | 16.4986744960978 | 0.0413255039022289 |
| 34 | 16.62 | 16.5557117195701 | 0.0642882804299312 |
| 35 | 16.69 | 16.646659220588 | 0.0433407794120164 |
| 36 | 16.72 | 16.7240396206167 | -0.0040396206166875 |
| 37 | 16.72 | 16.7533517230634 | -0.0333517230633902 |
| 38 | 16.71 | 16.7476723360936 | -0.0376723360935749 |
| 39 | 16.89 | 16.7312572020291 | 0.158742797970884 |
| 40 | 16.93 | 16.9382891420771 | -0.00828914207714249 |
| 41 | 16.91 | 16.9768776034465 | -0.0668776034464571 |
| 42 | 16.93 | 16.9454891726639 | -0.015489172663905 |
| 43 | 16.93 | 16.9628515576527 | -0.0328515576527266 |
| 44 | 16.93 | 16.9572573426817 | -0.0272573426816933 |
| 45 | 16.95 | 16.9526157535031 | -0.0026157535031075 |
| 46 | 16.93 | 16.9721703229527 | -0.042170322952682 |
| 47 | 16.95 | 16.9449892372188 | 0.00501076278118617 |
| 48 | 16.95 | 16.9658425083015 | -0.0158425083015175 |
| 49 | 16.95 | 16.9631447245904 | -0.0131447245904397 |
| 50 | 16.95 | 16.9609063401622 | -0.0109063401621796 |
| 51 | 16.92 | 16.9590491249866 | -0.0390491249865832 |
| 52 | 16.91 | 16.9223995407594 | -0.0123995407594109 |
| 53 | 16.9 | 16.9102880519441 | -0.0102880519440696 |
| 54 | 16.96 | 16.8985361236241 | 0.0614638763759459 |
| 55 | 16.96 | 16.9690026634769 | -0.00900266347689893 |
| 56 | 16.95 | 16.9674696209547 | -0.0174696209547136 |
| 57 | 16.92 | 16.9544947600329 | -0.0344947600328567 |
| 58 | 16.87 | 16.9186207279691 | -0.0486207279690518 |
| 59 | 16.87 | 16.860341217841 | 0.0096587821589722 |
| 60 | 16.88 | 16.8619859892801 | 0.0180140107199129 |
| 61 | 16.88 | 16.8750535530627 | 0.00494644693731061 |
| 62 | 16.86 | 16.8758958719507 | -0.0158958719506614 |
| 63 | 16.88 | 16.8531890010685 | 0.0268109989315057 |
| 64 | 16.88 | 16.8777545834131 | 0.00224541658693411 |
| 65 | 16.88 | 16.8781369501556 | 0.001863049844399 |
| 66 | 16.88 | 16.8784542045592 | 0.00154579544077293 |
| 67 | 16.88 | 16.878717434452 | 0.00128256554804196 |
| 68 | 16.87 | 16.8789358395415 | -0.00893583954147914 |
| 69 | 16.92 | 16.8674141763111 | 0.0525858236889256 |
| 70 | 16.94 | 16.9263688933219 | 0.0136311066781047 |
| 71 | 17.03 | 16.9486901026191 | 0.0813098973809225 |
| 72 | 17.02 | 17.0525361750041 | -0.0325361750041395 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 73 | 17.0369956658072 | 16.9540186699208 | 17.1199726616936 |
| 74 | 17.0539913316144 | 16.9262613724269 | 17.1817212908019 |
| 75 | 17.0709869974216 | 16.9016099229739 | 17.2403640718694 |
| 76 | 17.0879826632288 | 16.8772566659362 | 17.2987086605215 |
| 77 | 17.1049783290361 | 16.8522634468093 | 17.3576932112628 |
| 78 | 17.1219739948433 | 16.8262274782019 | 17.4177205114847 |
| 79 | 17.1389696606505 | 16.7989574129001 | 17.4789819084009 |
| 80 | 17.1559653264577 | 16.7703604733912 | 17.5415701795242 |
| 81 | 17.1729609922649 | 16.7403946553461 | 17.6055273291837 |
| 82 | 17.1899566580721 | 16.7090458144988 | 17.6708675016454 |
| 83 | 17.2069523238793 | 16.6763157014465 | 17.7375889463121 |
| 84 | 17.2239479896865 | 16.642215315598 | 17.8056806637751 |
