Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.999955063609663
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
20.74390.7869-0.043
30.74920.7439019322647850.00529806773521546
40.78040.749199761923960.0312002380760398
50.76780.780398597973923-0.0125985979739232
60.75730.767800566135516-0.0105005661355163
70.73370.757300471857539-0.0236004718575386
80.71360.733701060520015-0.0201010605200155
90.71070.713600903269102-0.00290090326910175
100.70150.710700130356122-0.00920013035612166
110.68740.701500413420649-0.0141004134206488
120.67540.687400633621681-0.0120006336216814
130.67130.675400539265157-0.00410053926515674
140.68490.6713001842634330.013599815736567
150.70030.6848993888733720.0154006111266285
160.73090.7002993079521270.030600692047873
170.73640.7308986249153580.00550137508464255
180.74390.7363997527880620.00750024721193809
190.79280.7438996629659640.0489003370340363
200.81880.7927978025953670.0260021974046326
210.7840.818798831555108-0.0347988315551078
220.77460.784001563733878-0.00940156373387813
230.76770.774600422472338-0.00690042247233758
240.71970.767700310080078-0.0480003100800778
250.73040.719702156960670.01069784303933
260.75670.7303995192775490.0263004807224506
270.7490.756698818151332-0.00769881815133222
280.73280.749000345957098-0.0162003459570975
290.71420.73280072798507-0.0186007279850696
300.69270.714200835849573-0.0215008358495733
310.69740.6927009661699520.00469903383004777
320.69530.697399788842382-0.0020997888423816
330.6990.6953000943569310.00369990564306888
340.69710.698999833739596-0.00189983373959568
350.72460.6971000853716710.0274999146283295
360.73010.7245987642531020.00550123574689787
370.7360.7300997527943230.00590024720567683
380.75850.7359997348641880.0225002651358115
390.77560.7584989889193030.0171010110806968
400.75640.775599231542291-0.019199231542291
410.75680.7564008627441630.00039913725583729
420.75930.7567999820642130.00250001793578747
430.7790.7592998876582180.0197001123417818
440.79780.7789991147480620.0188008852519378
450.81250.7977991551560820.0147008448439184
460.80750.812499339397098-0.00499933939709785
470.77810.807500224652267-0.0294002246522665
480.7710.778101321139971-0.00710132113997097
490.77960.7710003191077390.00859968089226126
500.7630.779599613561383-0.0165996135613826
510.75310.763000745926714-0.00990074592671442
520.74730.753100444903784-0.00580044490378362
530.77070.7473002606510560.0233997393489438
540.76840.770698948500179-0.00229894850017887
550.77020.7684001033064470.00179989669355285
560.7590.77019991911914-0.0111999191191396
570.76490.7590005032839370.00589949671606271
580.75080.764899734897913-0.0140997348979128
590.74940.750800633591191-0.00140063359119114
600.73340.749400062939418-0.0160000629394177


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
610.7334007189850740.6968463373363190.769955100633829
620.7334007189850740.6817061781893220.785095259780826
630.7334007189850740.6700885694524250.796712868517723
640.7334007189850740.6602944196066660.806507018363481
650.7334007189850740.6516655751412770.815135862828871
660.7334007189850740.643864489058150.822936948911998
670.7334007189850740.6366906409172330.830110797052914
680.7334007189850740.6300133796719420.836788058298205
690.7334007189850740.6237419543531050.843059483617042
700.7334007189850740.6178102894895040.848991148480643
710.7334007189850740.6121685032941480.854632934675999
720.7334007189850740.6067778424907690.860023595479378